欧元区统一货币政策绩效及其对中国的启示

欧元产生以来,欧洲中央银行在统一货币政策的框架下较好的实现了物价稳定的首要任务,却未能有效促进欧元区的经济增长、充分就业和国际收支平衡,主要原因在于:成员国经济基本面的差异使统一货币政策产生了巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应。由此给当前正致力于货币合作的东亚地区带来了一个重要启示:应不断加强各国间的政策协调,确保主要经济指标高度趋同,为将来单一货币的实行奠定重要基础。     

对外贸易摩擦的实证分析

从我国改革开放以来,对外贸易的发展取得了举世瞩目的成就。但随着贸易量的扩大,贸易摩擦逐渐成为困扰我们的"心结"。纵观这个过程,不难发现摩擦的发展其实是符合客观事物的发展规律的。我们可以"顺势而为",只要是"适者","得道"是自然。     

发达国家反倾销贸易保护主义探源——基于经济理性角度的分析

发达国家的反倾销从本质上看具有贸易保护主义的性质.从经济学角度考察,只有针对掠夺性倾销的反倾销才是经济理性的和具有经济效率的;从经济理性角度考察发达国家反倾销目的演化的历程,发现发达国家的反倾销以保证"公平竞争"为名偏离了经济效率的轨道,而反倾销措施直接限制进口的结果使得反倾销必然成为发达国家不顾经济效率而体现其对产业保护关注的工具.     

山东省加工贸易企业环保问题研究

探讨了山东省加工贸易企业可持续发展的实证研究。以循环经济为理论基础,采用调查问卷的研究方法,选择山东省济南、青岛、日照的加工贸易企业为实证研究对象,分析了山东省加工贸易企业环保情况及存在的问题,并提出了相关的对策建议,包括加强地方立法、提高科技创新能力以及加强加工贸易企业环境保护的监管力度等方面。     

Does Trade,Technology, or Education Expel Traditional Sectors? Some Evidence from the Collapse of the Silk Sector in South Korea*

Rapid economic growth and development often drives out traditional activities. We determine how increased trade, technology, and access to education in South Korea led to the collapse of its silk sector. Results show that although the imports of silk yarn and fabric reduced domestic silk output and prices, trade liberalization was not the sole contributor to the collapse. Inelastic labor demand for unskilled workers, skill‐biased technology, and especially increased access to education all led to a sharp rise in the relative wage of unskilled workers, and the ensuing rise in production costs contributed to the silk sector's collapse.     

Estimating International Interindustry Linkages: Non-survey Simulations of the Asian-Pacific Economy

This paper evaluates a recently published semi-survey international input–output table for nine East-Asian countries and the USA with four non-survey estimation alternatives. A new generalized RAS procedure is used with stepwise increasing information from both import and export statistics as optimisation constraints on the four non-survey tables. The results show that the estimated table improves when increasing information from both sources is used, despite the well known inconsistencies between import and export data in trade statistics. It is concluded that the new procedure can be useful as a critical analysis of newly published (semi-)survey international tables and/or as an early updating tool during the construction process.     

Looking Through the Trade Surplus Prism

Huge trade surplus attracks more and more attention to the China＇s economy operation, a controversial topic on people＇s lips as well.     

运用模糊综合决策进行供应商选择

供应链中供应商是否适合企业对到核心企业生产的好坏、成本的高低和产品质量的优劣影响很大。利用模糊综合决策给出了选择供应商的一种简单易行的办法,并举例说明了该方法的可行性与准确性。     

贸易条件变动影响因素的主成分分析——以浙江省为例

文章采用多元统计中的主成分分析方法,以浙江省为例,对影响贸易条件变动的因素进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,名义汇率对收入贸易条件有显著影响,经济发展水平、国内市场规模、基础设施建设投入和人民生活水平的提高对促进收入贸易条件的改善起到了积极作用,而外商投资、研发投入对收入贸易条件影响较小。为此,文章提出了相应的政策建议。     

Agro-Manufactured Export Prices, Wages and Unemployment

This article estimates the impacts of world agricultural trade liberalization on wages and unemployment in Argentina in the presence of individual labor supply responses and adjustment costs in labor demand. After a 10% increase in agro-manufactured export prices, I find that: ( a ) the employment probability would increase by 1.36 percentage points, matched by a decline in the unemployment probability of 0.75 percentage points and an increase in labor market participation of 0.61 percentage points; ( b ) the unemployment rate would decline by 1.23 percentage points; ( c ) expected wages would increase by 10.3%, mostly due to higher employment probabilities.