Worker separations in a nonstationary corporate environment

Assessing ten years of unique personnel data from a large firm, this paper investigates how determinants of worker turnover differ between periods of corporate expansion and decline. Performance and career progress considerably reduce the hazard of job separation during downsizing for blue-collar workers, but are less important for white-collar workers. Effects of firm-tenure, occupation, education, training, part-time status, and gender are largely in accordance with the implications from existing models. But no model generates all patterns observed in the data. Age effects are sensitive to retirement options and discontinuous, dropping in response to the anticipation of becoming eligible for early retirement during downsizing and jumping at the actual retirement age.     

Regulation And The Rise In Asset-Based Mutual Fund Management Fees

In this article I explain why asset‐based fees are common for mutual fund management companies and why the average fee has increased recently. I argue that Securities and Exchange Commission fee regulations make alternative fee types illegal or unattractive. Management companies can maintain higher fees because regulations and brand‐name capital partly insulate them from competition and because investors cannot easily distinguish between performance‐oriented and marketing‐oriented fund companies. Index funds and unit investment trusts may offer competition to mutual funds in the future because they are designed to minimize management fees.     

跨国公司与发展中国家的社会稳定--兼论对中国的影响

跨国公司作为全球化的驱动器既给发展中国家的政治、经济与社会稳定带来正面影响，甚至成为社会稳定的一种标志，但又不可避免地产生一些负面效应。中国要在开放中坚持双赢的策略并加大风险意识，同时应倡导跨国公司承担更大的社会责任。     

The Random Walk Hypothesis in the Emerging Indian Stock Market

This paper examines the random walk hypothesis in the emerging Indian stock market using daily data on individual stocks. The statistical evidence in this paper rejects the random walk hypothesis. The results suggest that daily returns earned by individual stocks and by an equally weighted portfolio show significant non–linear dependence and persistent volatility effects. The non–linear dependence takes the form of ARCH–type conditional heteroskedasticity and does not appear to be caused by nonstationarity of underlying economic variables. Though conditional volatility is time varying, it does not explain expected returns.     

Seasonality and non-linear price effects in scanner-data-based market-response models

Scanner data for fast moving consumer goods typically amount to panels of time series where both N and T are large. To reduce the number of parameters and to shrink parameters towards plausible and interpretable values, Hierarchical Bayes models turn out to be useful. Such models contain in the second level a stochastic model to describe the parameters in the first level.     

Terrorism activities and long-term annual management forecasts

We study the effects of terrorist attacks on firms’ long-term annual management earnings forecasts bias. We find that the managers of firms located closer to the epicenters of attacks are more likely to issue optimistic long-term annual earnings forecasts relative to the managers of a control group of unaffected firms. The exposure effect is stronger for more severe terrorist events, and firms with more uncertain fundamentals and less geographic diversification. In addition, we document that managers’ forecast optimism intensifies for firms with stronger negative stock market reaction to the terrorist event, for CEOs with higher ability and for companies that are more likely to issue equity or engage in acquisitions following the terrorist event. Overall, our results are consistent with the idea that long-term annual earnings forecasts are used by managers to counterbalance the short-term pessimistic response to terrorist attacks.     

传统跨国公司理论及其发展路径

二战后，特别是20世纪60年代以来，跨国公司进入了高速发展时期。不仅跨国公司的规模不断扩大，实力日益增强，而且其海外子公司数目迅速增加，海外生产经营比重也直线上升。跨国公司的发展引起了西方学者的极大关注，以此为研究对象发表了大量的论著，提出了一系列旨在阐明跨国公司对外扩张动因及其余件的理论和模型，已经形成了数十种跨国公司理论流派。本文对其中具有代表性的跨国公司理论作一个系统的回顾。     

跨国公司会计风险的管理

会计风险是跨国公司必须解决的汇率风险。本文分析了会计风险的特征,以及解决会计风险的管理方法和策略。     

技术型跨国企业实施知识产权战略的动因探析

知识产权战略作为技术型跨国企业的重要竞争战略,企业在实施该战略时有其内在和外在的动因。分析知识产权战略与企业战略及其他职能战略的内在联系,揭示技术型跨国企业实施知识产权战略的内在动因;分析国际经济和贸易环境的变化、技术进步带来的影响,揭示技术型跨国企业实施知识产权战略的外在动因。     

论企业跨国并购对我国经济的影响

跨国并购包括外国企业对我国企业的并购以及我国企业对外国企业的并购,本文仅分析外国企业对我国企业进行并购而可能对我国的经济产生的影响。首先,作者从我国的市场结构、就业、资本形成三个方面分析了跨国并购对我国宏观经济的影响,其次,作者从我国的本土品牌、并购中的技术外溢以及我国的公司治理几个方面探讨了跨国并购对我国微观经济造成的影响。