Detecting periods of exuberance: A look at the role of aggregation with an application to house prices

The recently developed SADF and GSADF unit root tests of Phillips and Yu (2011) and Phillips et al. (2015a,b) have become popular in the literature for detecting exuberance in asset prices. In this paper, we examine through simulation experiments the effect of cross-sectional aggregation on the power properties of these tests. The simulation design considered is based on simulated data and actual housing data for both U.S. metropolitan areas and international housing markets and thus allows us to draw conclusions for different levels of aggregation. Our findings suggest that aggregation lowers the power of both the SADF and GSADF tests. The effect, however, is much larger for the SADF test. We also provide evidence that tests based on panel data techniques, namely the panel GSADF test recently proposed by Pavlidis et al. (2016), can perform substantially better than univariate tests applied to aggregated series. Furthermore, we also illustrate the date-stamping procedure under the univariate/panel GSADF procedure uncovering novel evidence on the role of interest rates and policy uncertainty as factors explaining episodes of widespread mildly explosive dynamics in housing markets.     

Evolution of the Corporation in the United States: Stabilized Scarcity and Vested Interests

The widening of markets beginning in the late nineteenth century in the United States involved changes in the financial and legal institutions supporting production for large-scale markets. The evolution of the corporation under these circumstances reflects the role of the legal system in formulation of formal rules which favor vested interests. As Thorstein Veblen said, “A constitutional government is a business government.”

This article examines the co-evolution of the legal system and the economic system as they relate to the merger movement at the turn of the twentieth century, the increased use of the corporate form, and the emphasis on pecuniary values over production to secure stabilized scarcity in the midst of cutthroat competition and deflation. The resultant financialization of the economy which continues today was reinforced by such legal rules as the Fourteenth Amendment’s protection of property, including intangible property, and the Rule of Reason accommodating some instances of monopolization. These stabilization policies have secured the rentiers’ return at the cost of the long term health of the national economy. John R. Commons’ observations on artificial selection and the use of law to make capitalism better offer a solution through laws regulating the detrimental aspects of financialization.     

Sixty years of Accounting & Finance: a bibliometric analysis of major research themes and contributions

This article offers a systematic review of the major contributions in the journal Accounting & Finance over the past 60 years. We apply several different bibliographic tools to model highly cited articles and major strands of research that have significantly advanced research in accounting and finance across the Asia-Pacific region. An analysis of bursting (or ‘hot’) topics shows major research trends over time, including recent ‘hot’ topics such as China-related research, corporate social responsibility and sustainable finance. The article concludes by highlighting new research directions - Accounting & Finance has opened towards more interdisciplinary research and greater diversity in methods.     

Public investment allocation across Ecuadorian Provinces

We propose a theoretical framework which allows us to obtain a tractable equation for empirical implementation that relates the growth rate of public investment per capita by the central planner to variables typically associated with traditional public investment allocation criteria. Panel data for the Ecuadorian provinces over the period 2008–2015 are used. The results suggest that the central planner managed to deal with the traditional equity-efficiency trade-off, as well as the decongestion of some public services such as public transport and education. Additional evidence was also found that might raise suspicions regarding distributive politics.     

The role of intergenerational mobility in internal migration

This paper investigates the role of intergenerational mobility in the internal migration decisions of families. The geographic variation in intergenerational mobility suggests that if parents value their children's human capital accumulation and future outcomes, they would have an incentive to move to areas with a higher upward mobility. To identify the effect of intergenerational mobility on family migration, we first use an instrumental variable approach, based on a heteroskedastic covariance restriction, which addresses measurement-error and omitted-variable biases. Then, we apply the semiparametric maximum score estimation method to our empirical model, which yields a consistent estimator when families' choice sets are partially observed. We find that highly educated families with school-aged children choose areas that favor upward mobility. Our welfare analysis indicates that a unit increase in the absolute upward mobility of a commuting zone is equivalent to approximately a $722 higher mean wage in the local labor market.     

The transmission of financial shocks in an estimated DSGE model with housing and banking

We develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with housing and banking to study the transmission of financial shocks between the financial and real sectors. A deterioration in the bank's balance sheet induced by financial shocks could have amplified and persistent impacts on real activities. The amplification of the shocks are originated from financial frictions tied to households and banks. We find that a disruption in bank net worth initiated by capital quality shocks generates a decline in household loans, house prices and output. Bank liquidity shocks also have negative effects on these variables. Housing preference shocks could generate a positive comovement between house prices and output. All these findings are qualitatively consistent with empirical evidence, suggesting that these financial shocks are critical to the dynamics of house prices and other macroeconomic variables.     

On the Effectiveness of Loan-to-Value Regulation in a Multiconstraint Framework

Models in the infinite horizon macro-housing literature often assume that borrowers are constrained exclusively by the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Motivated by the Swedish microdata, I explore an alternative arrangement where borrowers are constrained by a collateral constraint and by a debt-service-to-income ratio. While stricter LTV limits are often considered as a measure to tackle the rise in household indebtedness, I find that policy designed to lower the maximum permissible LTV ratio may actually leave the debt-to-GDP ratio unchanged and increase housing prices in equilibrium if borrowers are bound by two constraints at the same time.     

Re-conceptualizing intellectual property regimes in international business research: Foreign-friendliness paradoxes facing MNCs in China

This article seeks to better explain the complex challenges that intellectual property (IP) regimes pose to foreign multinational corporations (MNCs). It draws on in-depth research into the appropriability and entrepreneurial risks as well as transaction costs that China’s IP regime has posed to foreign MNCs to date, and forecasts how these risks and costs may evolve in the future. I find that, contrary to conventional wisdom, IP regimes are not always best conceptualized as either “weak” or “strong”. Instead, I illustrate that complex “foreign-friendliness paradoxes” are possible in IP regimes, show how they evolve, and explain them with a more robust framework than previously available. These findings help re-conceptualize IP regimes in IB research.     

环境规制、政府研发资助对绿色技术创新的影响——基于中国内地省级层面数据的实证分析

绿色技术创新是突破“经济-环境”压力的关键所在。政府行为能够有效弥补绿色技术创新在市场经济体制下存在的天然不足。为进一步探究政府政策对绿色技术创新的影响，基于绿色技术创新的“双重外部性”特征，以我国内地31个省（市、区）2009-2017年面板数据为样本，探究环境规制、政府研发资助对绿色技术创新的直接影响效应及交互效应。结果发现，环境规制与政府研发资助均对绿色技术创新有显著正向影响，政府研发资助影响效应更大；两者互补耦合更有利于促进绿色技术创新。     

Natural resources,economic growth and geography

Worldwide materials extraction increased by a factor of 8.4 over the course of the 20th century. In the meantime, global GDP and population increased by factors of about 22 and 4, respectively. This reveals that one of the key factors driving the increase in the exploitation of the resources was the growth in world population, although mitigated by the reduction in the intensity in the use of the resources in production. In this paper, we present a model that combines the theory of endogenous growth and the economy of natural resources, but taking into account the geographical distribution of economic activity. Indeed, the New Economic Geography provides insights about two elements that, although speeding up GDP growth, can curb the pressure on natural resources, namely the reduction in transports costs and a boost to pace of innovation.