泛珠三角经济合作及其产业政策问题研究

区域产业协调发展是区域经济协调发展的主要问题之一,目前国家产业政策中缺乏明确的区域产业政策,因此本文从区域经济的理论基础出发,对于泛珠三角经济区域产业政策提出了总体的构想,并给予了相应的政策建议。     

Changing monetary transmission mechanisms within the EU

The paper presents a comparative analysis of monetary transmission mechanisms and changes in them after the secondERM in March 1983. The empirical model investigates the determination of money, income, prices, and interest rates in Germany, Denmark, and Italy based on the cointegratedVAR model. It provides empirical results on the macroeconomic effects of joining theERM and financial deregulation.     

安徽农村公共服务体系建设问题

文章在对安徽省的农村公共服务现状调查的基础上,着重分析了当前农村公共服务工作中存在的突出问题,并结合安徽实际,提出了完善农村公共服务体系建设的建议。     

欧盟粮食政策的发展变化及对我国的启示

从 6 0年代中期到 80年代中期 ,欧盟的粮食自给率从 82 %迅速提高到了 1 1 0 %以上 ,这说明欧盟的粮食政策取得了很大的成功。文章介绍了欧盟粮食政策目标和粮食政策措施的发展变化 ,分析了欧盟粮食政策的操作机制特点 ,并提出了欧盟粮食政策值得我国学习借鉴之处。     

我国汇率的市场化进程模式探析与展望

我国的汇率市场化是政府推进型的汇率市场化。这一特点显示：政府在促进我国汇率市场化进程的同时，也不可避免地产生重汇率水平调节。轻市场培育的问题。这就与政府的目标不一致，它反而阻碍了汇率的市场化。所以,为了促进汇率的进一步市场化，我国政府应该将外汇市场的市场培育作为其一贯目标，以使得汇率的市场化走上一条良性循环的道路。     

Measuring systemic risk-adjusted liquidity (SRL)—A model approach

Little progress has been made so far in addressing—in a comprehensive way—the negative externalities caused by excessive maturity transformation and the implications for effective liquidity regulation of banks. The SRL model combines option pricing theory with market information and balance sheet data to generate probabilistic measure of systemic liquidity risk. It enhances price-based liquidity regulation by linking a bank’s maturity mismatch impacting the stability of its funding with those characteristics of other banks, subject to individual changes in risk profiles and common changes in market conditions impacting funding and market liquidity risk. This approach can then be used (i) to quantify an individual institution’s time-varying contribution to expected losses from system-wide liquidity shortfalls and (ii) to price insurance premia that provide incentives for banks to internalize the social cost of their individual funding decisions.     

When Do Times of Increasing Uncertainty Call for Centralized Harmonization in International Policy Coordination?

Under what conditions do times of increasing uncertainty, such as the ongoing global turmoil, call for international policy harmonization? We shed light on this question by developing a model of interjurisdictional policy coordination taking place under incomplete information and featuring uncertainty about jurisdictions' politico-economic fundamentals. We show how the effect of an increase in uncertainty on the desirability of policy harmonization varies with the pattern of asymmetries in jurisdictions' scale, mutual influence, and magnitude of the increase in uncertainty. Our analysis suggests that the case for policy harmonization as a governance response to growing uncertainty is not compelling.     

Can household-based food consumption surveys be used to make inferences about nutrient intakes and inadequacies? A Bangladesh case study

Household Consumption and Expenditures Surveys (HCES) are increasingly being used to make inferences about individual food consumption, despite the fact that they collect food data at only the household level. Usually the analysis assumes that the household’s food is distributed among its members in direct proportion to each member’s share of the household’s total energy requirements; what is referred to as the adult male equivalent (AME) approach. Using the 2011–2012 Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey—which collected consumption data for all members of rural households using combined 24-hour recall (24HR) and food weighing methods—this study directly compared probability-based average estimates of intakes, intake gaps, and the prevalence of inadequacies as estimated by the 24HR and those calculated using the AME approach for energy and each of four micronutrients: vitamin A, iron, zinc, and calcium.At the population level, for iron, vitamin A, and calcium, more than 97% of all individuals had the same estimated prevalence of adequate or inadequate nutrient intakes using 24HR and AME-based estimates. In the case of energy and zinc, roughly 77 and 83% of the sample population had identical adequacy statuses, respectively. The magnitude of inadequacies (the nutrient gaps) differed by 8 percentage points for energy and less than 3 percentage points for the four micronutrients. Disaggregating intakes and inadequacies by age groups revealed that the vast majority of variance between the two methods was highly concentrated in the first few years of life. Children 3 years of age and younger constituted 7.5% of the population but had 13.1% of the inconsistencies in intake adequacy status. 54% of children 3 and under had at least one pair of inconsistent prevalence estimates. While there are important differences in the levels of estimated energy and micronutrient intakes using 24HR and the AME-based estimates for children 3 and under, the results are remarkably comparable for the rest of the population.