"长三角"区域金融风险分析

在对区域金融风险本质特征和影响因素进行分析的基础上,构造评价指标体系并用粗集方法约简、根据模糊数层次模型(FAHP)对"长三角"区域两省一市的金融稳定状况进行比较分析.     

Assessing supply chain risks with the analytic hierarchy process: Providing decision support for the offshoring decision by a US manufacturing company

This paper reports the process used by a US manufacturing company to assess supply chain risks within the context of an offshore sourcing decision. The case study company was faced with the objective of finding a new supplier for two of its major product lines. Five alternatives were considered: (1) sourcing finished goods from Mexico; (2) sourcing finished goods from China; (3) sourcing parts from China and assembly in the US; (4) sourcing parts from China, assembly in a Maquiladora in Mexico with investment; and (5) sourcing parts from China, assembly in a Maquiladora in Mexico with no investment in the venture. To find the best solution, action research methodology was combined with the application of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Through iterative and structured discussions, 17 risk factors were identified, which were subsequently grouped into main and sub objectives. AHP was then used to evaluate the importance of each risk factor, and to determine the best alternative. This study makes several contributions to the field of purchasing and supply management. First, it provides a comprehensive framework of empirically derived risk factors to be considered in an international sourcing context. Second, it shows how AHP can be used to assess these risk factors and alternatives as part of the framework to facilitate and support the final offshoring decision. And third, it illustrates the successful application of the approach by a US manufacturing company. As such, this paper contributes to the research streams of offshoring and risk management in purchasing and supply, as well as to decision-making under uncertainty and AHP. In addition, it serves as a practical methodology for firms in similar situations.     

我国房地产金融业存在的问题和对策

我国房地产金融存在的问题主要归结为制度缺陷,集中表现在资金来源渠道单一、房地产金融体系不完备、资金融通效率低下和风险高度集中。这些缺陷很大程度上制约了中国房地产业的长期健康发展,应该通过金融体制的改革,建立开放统一的房地产金融体系。同时,在房地产金融体系不完备的情况下,政府应谨慎出台房地产调控政策,以保护房地产业健康发展。     

我所亲历的三次危机

该文以亲身经历为基础,叙述了在华尔街所经历的三次金融危机;从一个从业人员和普通购房者的视角向读者展示了危机的来龙去脉。文章指出理论上,经济的周期性注定6年的繁荣终究会有尽头;而在实践中,多年的低利率带来的信用泛滥,以及华尔街为追求短期暴利而进行无止境的风险叠加．也致使金融风险扩散到社会和世界的每一个角落。     

简论企业财务管理存在的主要问题及其对策略

随着我国社会主义市场经济向纵深推进,财务管理在企业管理中的核心地位日益成为企业家和经济界的共识。财务管理作为企业管理的核心,主要是通过价值形态对企业资金运动进行综合性管理的,财务管理渗透和贯穿于企业的一切经济活动之中。企业资金的筹集、使用和分配都与财务管理有着密切关系。企业的生产、经营、进、销、调、存每一环节都离不开财务的反映、调控。企业的财务监督更是企业整个管理活动的中枢。因此,加强财务管理是企业可持续发展的一个重要问题。文中主要从分析企业财务管理存在的问题出发,提出财务管理应确保的几个问题,进而结合实际提出应对问题的具体策略。     

论我国金融控股公司的模式选择

在全球金融混业浪潮中,金融控股公司成为混业经营首选的组织模式.同时,入世后我国金融业将面临着前所未有的挑战.文中结合美日等国金融业发展状况,提出构建以银行为主体的金融控股公司模式.     

Monetary policy and financial (in)stability: An integrated micro–macro approach

Evidence on central banks’ twin objective, monetary and financial stability, is scarce. We suggest an integrated micro–macro approach with two core virtues. First, we measure financial stability directly at the bank level as the probability of distress. Second, we integrate a microeconomic hazard model for bank distress and a standard macroeconomic model. The advantage of this approach is to incorporate micro information, to allow for non-linearities and to permit general feedback effects between financial distress and the real economy. We base the analysis on German bank and macro data between 1995 and 2004. Our results confirm the existence of a trade-off between monetary and financial stability. An unexpected tightening of monetary policy increases the probability of distress. This effect disappears when neglecting microeffects and non-linearities, underlining their importance. Distress responses are largest for small cooperative banks, weak distress events, and at times when capitalization is low. An important policy implication is that the separation of financial supervision and monetary policy requires close collaboration among members in the European System of Central Banks and national bank supervisors.     

G-3经济“L型”衰退,中国经济“V型”调整

2008年9月以来,随着雷曼兄弟的破产及此后一连串重大金融机构事件的发生,美国次贷危机急剧恶化,并迅速演变为全球性金融危机。各国政府,特别是美国政府采取了一系列紧急救市行动,由于这些政策措施只是暂时稳定了市场信心,未能解决引发危机的根本性问题,因此全球金融危机仍在继续发展,金融市场仍将巨幅波动。金融危机进一步冲击了实体经济增长。基于此次危机的特殊性和严重性,我们认为G-3(美、欧、日,下同)经济体将会陷入"L型"衰退。尽管中国金融体系受到金融危机的直接影响较小,但是危机却通过出口和投资等间接渠道对中国实体经济产生了较大影响。随着中国政府及时出台系列重大应对措施,中国经济有望走出与G-3经济体不同的"V型"调整轨迹。     

基于4P营销变量的商业银行经营绩效研究

长期以来,有关商业银行经营绩效的研究一直是从经济学视角展开的,主要研究产权制度和治理结构对经营绩效的影响。如今,面对管理先进的国际大银行,我国商业银行该如何提高经营绩效更应从管理学的角度加以探讨。文章首先通过对中外商业银行经营绩效的比较分析,找出国内外银行绩效之间存在的差距;接着以4P营销变量(产品、价格、渠道、促销)为研究工具,以国内14家主要商业银行2000～2006年的财务指标面板数据(panel data)为研究样本,实证分析商业银行营销变量与经营绩效之间的关系。结果表明:商业银行营销变量对经营绩效有显著影响。但目前我国商业银行的产品创新能力依然不够;定价机制还不能满足利润最大化的要求;营销费用在不同产品之间的配置还不尽合理。文章最后对我国商业银行如何提高经营绩效提出了一些管理建议。     

基于国家利益的非均衡金融监管国际合作解析

运用供求理论和模型分析金融监管国际合作供求非均衡现状,可以发现,在开放程度、经济体制、金融结构方面的差异是造成金融监管国际合作非均衡的主要原因。据此,应基于国家利益建立分层次的金融监管国际合作;加强国家之间的沟通机制;统一会计准则,加强信息披露合作,推动金融监管国际合作的进步。