The world in 2050 and the New Welfare scenario

The PASHMINA (paradigm shifts modeling and innovative approaches) project grew out of the need to improve our understanding of the paradigm shift in the energy-transport-landuse nexus and, more broadly, in world development. In envisioning the world at 2050, we envisaged future growth in four possible directions: growth without limits, growth within limits, stagnation, and New Welfare. The scenario considered as preferable reflects a transition toward a New Welfare, characterized by a high level of cooperation, heightened concern for the environment and for social welfare, and an increased share of immaterial consumption. This scenario is based on the recognition that the development of new technologies – although relevant – turns out to be insufficient to resolve the issue of resource scarcity alone. Important behavioral changes are also needed. In the New Welfare scenario, GDP as a measure of growth becomes obsolete and needs to be replaced with ways of measuring progress that are more reflective of natural, human, and social capital. The New Welfare scenario also charts a pathway toward a low-carbon future, with an overall reduction in energy consumption, density, and intensity, and a greatly reduced reliance on fossil fuels. A new, smart electric grid facilitates active demand management and decentralized production of power. Natural gas or even small nuclear plants tackle problems associated with the intermittency of renewable energy sources. Among other likely shifts under this scenario is a re-conceptualization of production, from short-lived to longer-lasting goods and from private to open source knowledge products and services; growth in recycling and zero-waste processes; and a shift from profit-driven business to entrepreneurship that seeks to satisfy social needs and build local capital. The world undergoes a transition from unequal growth to prosperity in a multi-polar, globally interdependent world. New global democracy networks and institutions are created, and constitutions extend beyond the protection of human rights to the recognition of “nature rights.” Citizens’ income is tied to the social welfare-oriented duties and participatory governance. This scenario further leaves room to new forms of self-regulation of common resources. Actions necessary for the shift to the New Welfare paradigm include the adoption of new metrics for measuring progress, measures to increase public acceptance of technological and societal change, the creation of new global and local institutions devoted to sustainable management of shared environmental resources, sustainable production and consumption patterns, and a low-carbon energy and transport systems.     

From data analysis to storytelling in scenario building. A semiotic approach to purpose-dependent writing of stories

Scenario building is one of the activities that companies frequently carry out in order to understand and communicate aspects or strategies about the future. Methodologies related to scenario building include, in one way or another, two phases, one oriented to the research of data and analysis, and the storytelling focused on communication. This paper identifies the transition from one phase to the other as a cause of loss of consistency and information that can jeopardize the whole process. It also develops a framework to build narratives or stories from the data obtained in the first phase, turning to diverse semiotic concepts in order to bridge this transition. This methodology is illustrated with an example obtained from Telefonica technology scenarios.     

施工中高层框剪结构住宅楼板开裂的预防和处理

进入21世纪以来,人们生活水平不断提高,现代社会对建筑施工项目整体质量要求越来越高。随着高层建筑物数量的增加,建筑物中高层框剪结构住宅楼板施工面临着更大的挑战。要想满足现代社会对建筑整体质量的实际要求,施工企业必须结合实际建设状况,不断强化中高层框剪结构住宅楼板施工,为提升建筑物的整体质量提供技术保障。但是,在实际施工建设过程中,建筑物中高层框剪结构住宅楼板施工受诸多因素的影响仍存在较多问题,如楼板开裂、脱落以及老化等。中高层框架结构一旦出现质量问题,建筑物整体质量将受到严重削弱。因此,建筑施工企业必须采用新技术、新工艺和新材料有效预防和处理中高层框剪结构楼板开裂问题。     

建筑电气安装工程防雷接地施工技术

随着社会经济的飞速发展和城市人口密度的不断增加,城市建筑的楼高在不断增加,在扩容城市人口的同时,也在一定程度上提升了高层建筑物遭受雷击的概率。基于此,论文结合具体工作经验,对建筑电气安装工程防雷接地施工技术的相关问题展开深入研究。     

反腐倡廉环境下创新国有企业领导人员经济责任审计内容探讨

反腐倡廉环境下创新国有企业领导人员经济责任审计内容是一项新的课题。本文对探索创新国有企业领导人员经济责任审计内容的必要性和我国法律规定的国有企业领导人员经济责任审计内容进行了综述，并根据审计实践，提出了“探索开展国有企业绩效审计”等5项审计内容，对创新国有企业领导人员经济责任审计内容进行了探讨，并针对目前创新国有企业领导人员经济责任审计内容面临的困难提出了健全绩效审计法律法规和评价指标、完善企业增资扩股行为的法律法规、加强对基层审计人员的培训学习等3条对策。     

关于建筑监理体系建设的一些探讨

随着国家经济的快速发展,各行各业都在不断地进步和创新以适应时代的脚步,建筑作为国之富强的一项外在体现,应该更加的加强建筑的质量,完善建筑监理体系,建设利国利民的高质量建筑,下面就关于建筑监理体系建设作出一些简单的讨论。     

基于目标管理的团队建设研究

越来越多的组织正在用团队的形式进行生产运营活动,如何建设高效优秀的团队已经被越来越多的企业关注,本文在团队定义的基础上,以目标管理为切入点,详述了组织如何将目标管理运用于团队建设中,讨论了组织在打造高效团队需要遵循的几点原则。     

学生党组织在学生科研团队建设中的作用

我国从十九世纪九十年代起开始逐渐把科学研究引入至本科教育,这种做法得到了教育主管部门的肯定,推动了大学生科研团队的兴起。学生科研团队是通过参加科学研究实践活动的途径培养大学生的科研、创新、协作能力的科研组织。而在我国大学生科研团队的成员构成之中,相当数量的成员是大学生党员。而目前大学生基层党组织在大学生科研团队建设方面的工作相对滞后,本文就大学生科研团队中学生党组织的角色问题进行了探讨。     

楼盘管理系统销售报表模块的设计与实现

楼盘管理系统是一个功能完善的管理系统,由于篇幅的限制,主要介绍了系统中的销售报表模块的设计。系统是基于winform下的Grid View控件来实现的,数据可以导出Excel,方便相关人员的二次处理的需求,整体采用了C/S结构及Web Service技术。     

民办高校党务干部队伍状况对党建工作的影响及对策——以广东省S学院为例

民办高校党务干部队伍作为学校党建工作实施者,其队伍状况在很大程度上将直接影到党建工作质量和水平,进而影响到人才培养质量。目前民办高校党务干部队伍普遍存在队伍结构失衡,党务干部身兼多职,重业务知识学习,轻理论武装,重专业技能培训轻党务能力提升等状况。要改善现状,必须做到:一是加强制度建设,狠抓贯彻落实,争取上层支持;二是加强业务培训,鼓励开展党建工作研究;三是加强党建工作信息化建设,打造符合时代需求的党务干部队伍;四是引进激励措施,提高工作积极性。