证券市场在经济增长中的作用

用实证和时间序列的方法研究了我国证券市场发展和经济增长之间的关系,提出了证券市场把储蓄转化成投资,是证券市场促进经济增长的主要作用。     

日本存款保险制度:演变与启示

1971年日本国会公布《存款保险法》，设立日本存款保险机构。自20世纪80年代末，日本金融机构破产案件不断增加，为适应新的情况，对存款保险法进行了多次修订，日本存款保险机构被赋予许多新的职能和权力，该制度也逐渐完善起来，成为稳定金融体系的重要机构。但，这一制度的缺陷也限制了它的作用．从日本存款保险制度不断演变过程和其与生俱来的缺陷中我们可以得到重要的经验和教训。     

关于上市公司关联交易中的税收筹划分析

税收筹划是企业和国家双赢的选择。当今上市公司中的不当关联交易现象普遍存在，并起着很大的负面作用。如何利用关联交易实现上市公司的税收筹划、提高上市公司的经济效益是目前亟待解决的问题。本文拟就上市公司关联交易如何进行税收筹划进行分析，以期引起企业理财活动的重视。     

A working paper from April 1985: Which demand elasticities do we know and which do we need to know for policy analysis?

This paper presents some results on the theory and estimation of intertemporal allocation mechanisms. The results rely heavily on the distinction between anticipated changes and unanticipated changes.     

日本民生部门低碳社会建设的举措及启示

近年来,节能减排、建设低碳社会已成为发展潮流,日本在此方面走在了前列.本文首先介绍了日本能源消费与二氧化碳排放和低碳社会建设的基本情况;其次,重点分析了日本民生部门建设低碳社会的举措,如:天然气的深度利用、热泵和太阳能的推广应用、零能耗建筑的建设等;最后,从日本建设低碳社会的经验中得到:建设低碳社会将会带来巨大商机、清晰明确的发展目标与路线图和企业技术创新的重要作用、应由点到面再到发展“智能能源网络”的策略等启示.这些举措将对我国推进低碳社会的建设有所帮助.     

Entrepreneurial risk,investment, and innovation

I estimate the effect of uncertainty on risky innovation using a panel of 11,417 manufacturing firms. I find that an increase in uncertainty has a large negative effect on the risky innovation of entrepreneurial firms, while it does not have any significant impact on other firms. This negative effect is stronger for the less diversified entrepreneurial firms in the sample. The estimation results are consistent with the innovation dynamics generated in a model in which entrepreneurs are risk averse and cannot diversify the risk of their business.     

Income and distance elasticities of values of travel time savings: New Swiss results

This paper presents the findings of a study looking into the valuation of travel time savings (VTTS) in Switzerland, across modes as well as across purpose groups. The study makes several departures from the usual practice in VTTS studies, with the main one being a direct representation of the income and distance elasticity of the VTTS measures. Here, important gains in model performance and significantly different results are obtained through this approach. Additionally, the analysis shows that the estimation of robust coefficients for congested car travel time is hampered by the low share of congested time in the overall travel time, and the use of an additional rate-of-congestion coefficient, in addition to a generic car travel time coefficient, is preferable. Finally, the analysis demonstrates that the population mean of the indicators calculated is quite different from the sample means and presents methods to calculate those, along with the associated variances. These variances are of great interest as they allow the generation of confidence intervals, which can be extremely useful in cost-benefit analyses.     

Asymmetric preference formation in willingness to pay estimates in discrete choice models

Individuals when faced with choices amongst a number of alternatives often adopt a variety of processing rules, ranging from simple linear to complex non-linear treatment of each attribute defining the offer of each alternative. In this paper we investigate the presence of asymmetry in preferences to test for reference effects and differential willingness to pay according to whether we are valuing gains or losses. The findings offer clear evidence of an asymmetrical response to increases and decreases in attributes when compared to the corresponding values for a reference alternative, where the degree of asymmetry varies across attributes and population segments.     

Household savings constraints,uncertainty and macroprudential policy

We investigate the impact of macroprudential policy on Irish households' perception of savings adequacy, with a particular focus on households intending to purchase a home. These measures tighten loan-to-value ratios and raise the entry cost for home purchase. We find that the measures have had a significant impact on savings constraints. Indeed, constrained potential buyers, who are planning to purchase, but not presently saving to buy a home, are the group most affected as the macroprudential rules increase the downpayment size required. Heterogeneous effects across households indicate younger, private renting households, and those with relatively uncertain cash flows.     

Determinants of seeking advice within defined contribution retirement savings schemes

We report results from a study of superannuation member advice‐seeking within their plan, explaining observed patterns by member age, gender, issue salience and size‐of‐bet effect. Inquiry mode, frequency and volume of contact with the advice‐provider, and sensitivity of members to legislative change and macroeconomic events are considered. Results show that gender (female more likely than male), age (older rather than younger), balance (larger rather than smaller) and experience (longer rather than shorter) are the strongest advice‐seeking predictors, consistent over time. Findings suggest member engagement around retirement planning may be more effective when considering the factors affecting advice‐seeking behaviour in general.