基于上海港的集装箱联运径路选择的研究

首先分析了上海港集装箱运输需求的构成,提出内陆区域的诱发型需求将逐渐发展成为上海港集装箱运输主流的观点。在此基础上,设计了上海至成都的集装箱运输径路。基于评价结果,论文提出借助港口集装箱运输快速发展的势头,采取海铁联运组织方式,实现集装箱枢纽港对内陆集装箱运输发展的带动与促进作用。     

产品内分工条件下上海制造业的升级路径：以上海大众为例

文章分析了产品内分工条件下上海制造业在国际制造业分工中的地位,指出上海制造业目前面临的最大问题是欠缺核心技术与自主品牌。因此,通过自主创新提升技术能级以及培育自主品牌是上海制造业升级的必然选择。但创新能力的提升和品牌的培育是个复杂的技术、经济和社会过程。因此,现阶段通过大规模的创建具有自主知识产权的国际品牌来实现上海制造业整体升级尚不现实。上海制造业在参与国际竞争和和产品价值链分工中,还要走一段时期的“国际代工”道路,并通过嵌入全球生产网络来提高技术能力,进而提升在国际分工中的位置。文章以上海大众为例,分析了上海大众升级的约束条件,以及上海大众实现由OEM、ODM向OBM升级的策略选择。     

进一步提高Shibor报价的可交易性

Shibor自正式运行以来已经对中国的利率市场化改革产生了积极而深远的影响。结合国外经验和国内现状,文章认为,在Shibor培育过程中提高报价的可交易性是Shibor能否真正成为利率基准的根本所在。目前,Shibor短端报价的可交易性已得到了市场的认可,文章从扩大以Shibor为基准的回购交易、拓宽Shibor报价行多元性等方面就提高中长端Shibor可交易性提出建议。     

关于加快推进上海征信业发展的思考

市场经济的实质是信用经济,伴随着我国经济的高速增长,信用交易的规模与范围也在不断扩大,信用交易的发展要求有更完备、更高程度的信用制度与之相适应。2006年上海人均GDP超过了7000美元。已经进入以信用方式为主的交易阶段,如何加快发展上海的征信体系建设,探索适合上海国际金融中心建设的上海模式已经成为当务之急。     

江浙沪二省一市银行结算账户及资金往来分析

江浙沪两省一市作为地域相连、文化相近、结构互补的较为完整的城市经济区域,是我国经济发展的重心区,并将继续对我国未来的经济发展产生越来越大的影响。本文试图通过采用人民币银行结算账户管理系统及支付管理信息数据,对江浙沪二省一市银行结算账户流入流出、单位存款人的行业归属及资金往来情况进行实证比较分析,来提出推动长江三角洲地区金融一体化的决策依据。     

基于模糊评价法的小微文化企业孵化集聚环境研究——以上海为例

研究构建了10个因子指标、若干解释指标构成的评价体系。利用模糊评价法,以上海百余家小微文化企业为对象,考察研究企业孵化集聚环境。结果显示,宏观层面,上海的优势体现在规范高效的政府管理、国家战略支撑下的有利政策等方面,市场、人才、金融环境等原本应有的城市优势,却可能受到国有、外资企业的挤压,反被放大为小微企业的弱势。微观层面,小微文化企业孵化集聚生态尚未建立。     

The state of foresight in food and agriculture: Challenges for impact and participation

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The role of price risk in China’s agricultural and fisheries exports to the US

This article explores the effect of price risk on the US importers’ optimal allocation of agriculture imports between the major supplier, China, and other competing countries. We first modify a demand system to account for the impacts of own-price risk and cross-price risk, and then apply the model to 16 agricultural and fisheries commodities exported to the US. The estimation results show that importers are sensitive to price risks of 14 Chinese commodities. Comparisons between price risk–trade relations of agricultural and fisheries products and between trade effects of cross-price risk on Chinese goods and substitutes provide strong evidence for explaining the observed trade patterns. Our study highlights the importance of price stability in promoting international trade, especially from developing countries to developed countries.     

上海休闲食品企业发展战略研究

上海休闲食品企业在面临发展的极大机遇的同时,市场竞争的强度和风险也在与日俱增,因此有必要实施成本领先、差异化、集中等战略,通过新产品开发、品牌建设和市场拓展,实现快速、健康、可持续的发展。     

The performance of Botswana's traditional arable agriculture: growth rates and the impact of the accelerated rainfed arable programme (ARAP)

This study assesses the performance of Botswana's traditional arable agriculture for the 1968-90 period. Growth rate and arable sub-sector production models are specified and estimated to determine how the sub-sector performed over time, and to capture the impact of the Accelerated Rainfed Arable Programme (ARAP). Growth rate model results indicate that cultivated area increased by about 2.2% per year during the 1968-90 period. However, crop output remained unchanged and yields declined by about 6.1% per year during the review period. Sub-sectoral model results reveal that cultivated area, output and yields rose by about 27%, 120% and 74% (respectively) due to the implementation of ARAP. Therefore, ARAP was effective in improving rural household food security and welfare. However, it is further argued that the program was unsustainable since it involved phenomenal government outlays and has led to an unprecedented input substitution from animal traction to tractor traction, which seems to be unjustified given the current economic fundamentals of the country's traditional arable farming. Moreover, the results reveal loss of productivity in the sub-sector over time. Therefore, the challenge facing policy makers is to devise new ways of reversing the current trend.