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农地非农化与人类活动的动力学演化分析 总被引:4,自引:1,他引:4
研究目的:建立农地非农化与人类经济活动、人口增长的非线性动力学模型。研究方法:数学建模与数值模拟。研究结果:(1)当农地承载力较大时,可持续利用的土地资源总量可维持在一个较低的水平,农地非农化水平较高。(2)过度的农地非农化、低效率土地资源利用等一些减小资源承载力的人类活动,都将导致人口—土地资源系统作较快的非周期运动,而剧烈的变化意味着灾变。(3)农地非农化水平一定时,提高经济发展水平,可促使土地资源持续利用。(4)当前,大量的农地被非农化,提高土地资源承载力尤为重要。研究结论:农地非农化—人口增长—经济发展是一个复杂非线性系统,不同的土地利用和人口发展方向,将形成不同的平衡态,进而导致系统演化趋势迥异。 相似文献
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A price discrimination model is proposed to explain why firms provide extraneous information on Internet sites selling agricultural inputs. Whether an informative site is offered depends on price discrimination potential, which depends on how much farmers reveal heterogeneity by Internet behavior. Price discrimination is greater if information benefits are negatively correlated with farm size (or other characteristics), explaining why extraneous (not product-related) information is offered on Internet sales sites. Price discrimination adversely affects some farmers but may be beneficial on average because it generates free information. Outcomes depend on whether Internet users are aware of price differentials on the basis of clickstream information. 相似文献
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Joan Pujol Meri Raggi Davide Viaggi 《The Australian journal of agricultural and resource economics》2006,50(3):361-380
The viability of irrigated systems in Southern Europe is closely linked to efficient institutional settings and water‐allocation mechanisms. A significant, although not widely used, mechanism for water allocation is an intra‐sectorial water market. The objective of this paper is to evaluate to what extent water markets may contribute to the improvement of the efficiency of water allocation and to the profitability of irrigated agriculture. The related issues of water allocation among farm types and farm specialisation are also addressed. The analysis is based on a basin‐level linear programming model, comparing the situation with and without a market. It includes both fixed and variable transaction costs and estimates their combined effects on market performances. The model is applied in two areas in Southern Italy and Spain, and simulates the behaviour of different farm types, derived from cluster analysis on a sample of farms in each area. The paper confirms that water markets could potentially improve the economic efficiency of water use, in terms of higher profit per hectare, given limited water availability. The potential improvements are associated with a more intense specialisation of farms and are strongly differentiated among farmers, particularly where significant restrictions to water availability occur. This corroborates the expectations of institutional difficulties in implementing water markets. However, the exchanges, and consequently the potential effects of water markets, are heavily affected by the actual level of water availability, as well as the size and the structure (fixed vs. proportional) of transaction costs. The paper calls for a more in‐depth analysis of the connections between market performances and institutional settings, as related to the issue of water‐agriculture policy design and coordination. 相似文献
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现代农业园区土地经营模式探讨 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
我国现代农业园区仍处在初级发展阶段,诸多方面都有待规范与整合。针对现代农业园区面临的主要问题,文章提出了解决现代农业科技园区诸多矛盾的思路,主要体现在确定土地经营的性质,规范发展方向与模式,确定土地经营的收益分配原则;并从法律法规的完善、园区规划的审批、规划执行和经营过程中的监管以及农户利益的保障等方面提出了应对措施。 相似文献