支持新农村建设需要增强农村信用社服务功能

在建设社会主义新农村的战略要求下,现行农村金融体系需要积极地进行变革和创新,以满足日益增长的农村金融需求。办好农村信用社是形成完善的新型农村金融体系的重中之重,也是当前农村信用社改革面临的重大课题。     

农村合作组织、集体行动和公共水资源的供给——社会资本视角下的渭河流域农民用水者协会绩效分析

通过运用交易成本理论、社会资本理论等方法,对农民用水者协会这种制度创新的思路进行可行性分析和绩效评价,并论证了农民用水者协会作为一种农村合作组织,是一种有效的制度创新和制度安排.     

长江经济带休闲渔业产业化发展潜力评价与分析

在界定休闲渔业产业化概念的基础上,从经济、社会、产业和支撑四个方面,创新性地选取26项指标构建休闲渔业产业化发展潜力评价指标体系,采用因子分析法和层次分析法对长江经济带11个省份休闲渔业产业化发展潜力进行科学评价。结果表明,长江经济带休闲渔业产业化发展潜力呈现东部沿海地区和中部的湖北相对领先,中部其余省份和西部地区相对落后的分布格局。进一步采用聚类分析法将长江经济带休闲渔业产业化发展潜力划分为四个等级,并分析不同等级地区存在的优势和不足,据此提出促进各地休闲渔业产业化发展的建议。     

中国经济思想史学会第十三届年会综述

本文介绍了中国经济思想史学会第十三届年会的主要议题,时与会代表围绕会议主题所提交论文的学术观点以及所进行的学术讨论进行了概括性和综合性的介绍与总结.     

基于动态贝叶斯网络的邻近下穿隧道深基坑施工风险分析

为了减小邻近既有下穿隧道深基坑施工风险及灾害损失,科学预防施工安全事故,提出了一种基于动态贝叶斯网络（DBN）的深基坑施工风险分析模型。首先,运用BWM（best worst method）确定准则的权重;其次,基于关联规则挖掘风险因素间的相互关系,并以此构建DBN结构模型;最后,以新建厦门北站地下一层社会连廊深基坑工程为例,对提出的方法进行有效性和适用性检验。结果表明：基坑围护结构的安全度在静态被评为“较高”和“极高”的概率分别为34.6%和36.1%,且此结果随着输入风险证据发生动态变化,运用反向推理也能迅速找出围护桩渗水风险;提出的模型能明确邻近既有下穿隧道深基坑施工风险传递过程中的关键风险点,并能进行动态风险预测以及事故后致因诊断,从而实现邻近既有下穿隧道深基坑施工风险的动态管控。所提出的优化DBN模型对工前风险评估、先验分析和风险诊断有较好的适用性和较高的准确性,可为邻近既有隧道深基坑施工过程中的安全管控提供有效的决策支持,大幅提高风险控制效率。     

抓住机遇发展山东远洋渔业

文阐述了山东省远洋渔业发展的现状、成就和存在的主要问题,并提出了加快山东省远洋渔业发展的战略和相应的措施。     

Voluntary association membership of outdoor recreationists: An exploratory study

Abstract

Research on the political activity of outdoor recreationists has focused primarily on their associational affiliations and concern for the environment. This article reviews literature on theories of collective behavior, recreation motivations, and environmental concern. The study considers outdoor recreation as a social movement and investigates relationships between incentives for voluntary membership in environmental and outdoor recreation associations, motivations for participation in outdoor recreation activities, and environmental concern. Members of associations were found to be significantly different than nonmembers on several variables including value for outdoor recreation, incentives for association membership, intellectual motivations for outdoor recreation, environmental concern, education level, and age. Results suggest that association efforts to obtain instrumental benefits, or public goods that accrue to all of society, are a primary incentive for outdoor recreationists to join voluntary associations. A common thread of intellectual pursuit distinguished members from nonmembers, suggesting that intellectual benefits may help define the relationship between outdoor recreation and associational affiliation behaviors.     

Accessing Tourists’ Unconscious Associations about International Destinations: Data Fuzzification of Reaction Times in the Implicit Association Test

Starting with the proposition that shorter reaction time implies stronger implicit preference, this study assesses destination-related top-of-mind awareness (TOMA) by examining respondent reaction time to specific destination icons. A total 87 college students were recruited to complete self-report surveys and computer-based implicit association tests (IAT). The results show that participants’ responses vary depending on the two measures (i.e., self-report surveys and IATs). Through a data fuzzification method, the study demonstrates that the IAT would enhance our understanding of tourist TOMA, particularly related to familiarity issues. The implications of the study pertain to destination marketing are fully discussed.     

Hotel school alumni’s intentions to use communication channels – a cross-generational comparison study

ABSTRACT

Alumni communication is vital in sustaining the relationship between alumni and their alma maters. This research investigated four cohorts of alumni, and their intentions to use a range of traditional and digital communication channels, including social media. An online questionnaire was sent to 8060 alumni and resulted in 595 usable responses, yielding a 7% response rate. The research results showed that alumni have the highest intentions to use the alumni e-newsletter and the alumni Website and the lowest intentions to use social media, e.g., Twitter, Instagram, and YouTube. Among alumni cohorts, significant statistical differences in their intentions to use these communication channels were identified. Given our findings, alumni communication staff are encouraged to leverage different communication channels targeting alumni in different age groups.