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21.
为研究中国商品期货市场假日效应的存在性及其特征,本文从收益和波动出发,在构建学生分布随机波动模型的基础上采用贝叶斯MCMC模拟技术对中国铜、铝、橡胶、大豆、豆粕和小麦期货市场的假日效应进行了实证分析,研究结果显示:假日前和假日后信息对商品期货交易收益及其波动均具有显著的影响,对不同交易品种而言,其影响方向及影响程度均存在一定差异;更具体地,对各类假日分别进行分析发现,元旦、春节、劳动节和国庆节的假日前和假日后信息对商品期货收益及其波动均具有显著的影响,且比分类之前假日前和假日后信息的影响能力明显增强,其个性特征也更加突出。 相似文献
22.
《Futures》2015
The current study draws on the collective futures framework to examine how visions of future societies where most people consume plant-based, vegetarian or vegan diets are related to current support for social change towards plant-based diets. Participants were 506 university students in Aotearoa New Zealand invited to imagine a society in 2050 where most individuals consume a plant-based, vegetarian, or vegan diet. A thematic analysis was conducted on responses to an open-ended item asking how these future societies would be different to today. Participants reported a variety of potential positive and negative outcomes for individuals and wider society. Subsequent analyses of attitudes scales investigated the relationships between the collective dimensions of plant-based future societies and support for policies to promote plant-based diets. For a vegetarian future, the strongest predictor of current support for social change was the expectation that widespread vegetarianism would reduce societal dysfunction. For a vegan future, the strongest predictor of support for social change was an expectation of increased warmth in a vegan society. Implications for theory and advocacy are discussed. 相似文献
23.
论中国期货市场价格操纵行为监控体系的构建 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
为防范我国期货市场的价格操纵行为，在详细剖析期货市场价格操纵行为的具体表现形式及其成因的基础上，采用定性与定量相结合的方法系统构建了防范期货市场价格操纵行为的监控体系，包括监控组织机构、监控数据库系统、价格和仓单自动监控系统、大户监控报告系统、不当交易举报系统和监控反应机制六个部余对扼制我国期货市场的价格操纵行为给出具体的对策建议。 相似文献
24.
股指期货套期保值理论及模型的演进与实证研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
将对股指期货套期保值策略进行比较全面的理论和实证研究。首先,概述了股指期货套期保值的相关理论,综述了套期保值的关键环节是最优套期保值比率的确定的相关的模型;其次,运用协整等分析方法,采用最小二乘回归模型（OLS）、向量自回归模型（VAR）、误差修正模型（ECM）、广义自回归条件异方差模型（GARCH）,分别对中国沪深300股指期货最优套期保值比率进行了实证研究,并对各模型的套期保值绩效做出了评价,得出ECM模型是最优的,是最适合中国沪深300股指期货的套期保值率估计模型。 相似文献
25.
Craig Morton Thomas Martin Budd Gillian Harrison Giulio Mattioli 《International Journal of Sustainable Transportation》2017,11(7):493-506
A mixture of potentially significant changes in technology, commercial structures, and social practices is currently entering the automobility system. These changes have the potential to combine together and lead to a substantial shift in the manner in which society fuels, owns, and makes use of its cars. This paper reports a research project that made use of focus groups to examine the narratives of British transport professionals concerning forthcoming developments in the automobility system. Specific attention was given to what the expectations for future change in automobility are, if these changes will likely lead to a transition toward a more sustainable system and the manner in which a transition of this nature could be facilitated. The oral testimony offered during the focus groups has been assessed qualitatively using thematic analysis. The results suggest that there is a commonly held view that the automobility system is entering a stage of flux, which may lead to considerable changes in system configuration. However, the attainment of a sustainable transition for the system will likely be inhibited by a series of institutional, societal, and physical barriers, which may restrict system developments. 相似文献
26.
This study examines the impact of trading activities on price discovery in the Bitcoin futures markets. We find that trades of hedgers are positively correlated with the modified information shares in both CME and CBOE futures markets, suggesting that their trading promotes futures market efficiency. Retailers’ trading activity relates negatively to the price discovery of the CME Bitcoin futures and thus destabilizes the market. Speculators exert positive (negative) impact on the price discovery in the CME (CBOE) Bitcoin futures. Our finding that CME’s Bitcoin futures exhibit superior price discovery than CBOE’s provides plausible justification for CBOE’s decision in March 2019 to suspend further listings of Bitcoin futures contracts. 相似文献
27.
Chen-Chin Chu 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》1991,1(3):281-291
This study examines the timing and speed with which inflation futures prices absorb inflation information. Results of the study show that inflation futures prices already reflect the expected inflation. Moreover, 71% of unexpected inflation has been reflected in futures prices about 25 business days prior to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) announcement, which usually coincides with the end of the CPI measurement period. Reaction to the remaining 29% occurs on and shortly after the CPI announcement date, especially on day 0 and day 2. The inflation risk premium that investors are willing to pay to avoid uncertain inflation is estimated to be 1.41% per annum. 相似文献
28.
A duration-based hedge ratio is the conventional method to hedge against price changes of a fixed-income instrument. However, the relationship between bond prices and interest rates is nonlinear, creating a convexity effect. Moreover, term structure changes often are nonparallel in nature, which causes imperfect hedges for the duration-based hedging model. One solution to these problems is to dynamically change the duration-based hedge ratio; however, this procedure is costly and is not effective when jumps in prices occur. A superior solution is to develop a two-instrument hedge ratio that simultaneously hedges both duration and convexity effects. This paper first presents such a two-instrument hedge ratio and then we examine its effectiveness. The simulation results show that this duration-convexity hedge ratio is vastly superior to alternative hedge ratio methods for both simple and complex changes in the term structure. 相似文献
29.
We examine the lead‐lag relation between index futures and the underlying index under three types of short‐selling restrictions on stocks in Hong Kong. Our results indicate that lifting short‐selling restrictions can enhance the informational efficiency of the stock market relative to the index futures. We also investigate the impact of two market characteristics, market conditions and the magnitude of mispricing on the lead‐lag relations under different short‐selling regimes. Our findings suggest that if we remove restrictions, the contemporaneous price relation between the futures and cash markets becomes stronger particularly in the falling market and when the cash market is relatively overpriced. 相似文献
30.
This paper investigates the responses of market interest rates to US monetary policy announcements for the US and two emerging economies, Hong Kong and Singapore which are similar on many respects but have experienced opposite exchange rate regimes in the last twenty years. Our results, based on market expectations extracted from federal fund futures rates, document that FOMC announcements significantly affect the term structure of interest rate in the US and both Asian countries. Further, international interest rate differentials around FOMC meeting dates tend to be negative for short maturities with the impact gradually dissipating as bond maturity increases. Finally, for the case of Singapore, we find that domestic interest rates react to both external and domestic monetary policy announcements with a magnitude that is larger over the full bond maturity spectrum for domestic announcements. These results are robust to time-varying futures risk premia and alternative measures of interest rates expectations. 相似文献