中国产业发展环境的变化及其影响

进入“十二五”以来,中国产业发展环境出现若干重大标志性变化,突出地表现为城镇人口超过农村人口,城镇化对产业需求和产业布局的影响日益广泛而深刻;人口老龄化提速、劳动年龄人口数量和占比下降,对产业需求和产业成本（结构）的影响出现重大变化;投资和消费对经济增长的贡献出现转折性变化,培育产业发展新动力、拓展产业发展新空间的重要性迅速凸显;国际形势对中国产业发展的影响日趋复杂严峻,推进产业迈向中高端水平、培育对外经济新优势日趋紧迫。“十三五”期间,科学研判这些变化,有利于积极适应把握引领经济发展新常态。     

从深圳“名单门”事件到我国保障性住房管理

保障房制度实施的全流程包括规划、建设、分配和管理。做好保障房的公共管理,要按照两手抓的方针,既重视保障房规划立项建设等前端工作,又重视保障房的分配使用和监管工作。具体有效措施包括保障房规划立项和资金匹配的科学决策管理、保障房建设与分配计划的有效控制和合理衔接、公房使用管理的法律保障和设立公房分配使用管理的层序性统一机构。深圳保障房制度实施中的"名单门"事件,给我国公共事业管理一个深刻的教训。     

FDI,openness and income

This is an empirical study of the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on income. It presents cross-country evidence that inward FDI is positively correlated with income. In addition, an instrument for FDI is constructed to address the issue of endogeneity. The results show that instrumental-variables (IV) estimates of the impact of FDI on income are positive and greater than OLS estimates, similar to the findings on trade in Frankel and Romer (). The evidence in this paper suggests that inward FDI contributes to higher income, and favours the argument of Irwin and Terviö () that trade openness is subject to measurement error – in particular, trade is an imperfect proxy for many income-enhancing interactions between countries.     

应对高峰期客流的铁路运输组织策略研究

随着我国经济的迅猛发展,铁路客运出现了越来越多的客流高峰期。文章探讨在既有设施设备条件约束下,需要采用特殊运输组织方法解决客流高峰期问题。分析了客流高峰期的组成结构及行程原因后,提出了应对高峰期客流的运输组织策略。     

The Macroeconomic Consequences of Mixing Sunnis and Shias: A Bayesian Errors-in-Variables Approach

How damaging is the Sunni/Shia split to the economies of Islamic countries? Is it better to be one or the other? Or is it better to have an even balance between the two? Answering these questions is complicated by the fact that the data are often missing or imprecisely measured. We employ the technique of Bayesian data augmentation to circumvent these two problems, and find that properly controlling for these features in the data leads to drastically different conclusions than what is found using ordinary least squares. We find that there is nothing in the differential nature of Sunni or Shia Islam to make one more economically prosperous than the other. Nor do we find any support for the popular hypothesis that Sunnis and Shias cannot mix.     

我国广播电视事业发展与经济增长关系的实证研究

“十二五”是发展公共文化服务的大好时期,广播电视作为公共文化服务体系的重要组成部分越来越引起人们的关注.选取2007-2011年相关数据,对我国广播电视事业发展水平进行主成分分析,可知我国广播电视业五年来呈平稳发展趋势；采用回归模型对我国广播电视事业发展与经济增长关系进行实证研究,结果表明二者之间存在良性互动关系和单向因果关系.推动我国经济平稳较快增长,对繁荣我国广播电视事业具有重要意义.     

Foreign direct investment in Mexico Determinants and its effect on income inequality

By conducting panel data analysis across 32 federal entities in Mexico over the period 1994-2006, this paper studies the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) and its effect on income inequality within and between regions. We observe that the level of development and the size of the market have a direct relationship with FDI and therefore, they tend to increase the inequality gap between regions, but there is no evidence suggesting that it creates inequality within them.     

The French Communication Industry Defined and Analyzed through the Social Fabric Matrix,the Filiere Approach,and Network Analysis

This paper examines the relative impact of economic freedom, civil liberties, and political rights on growth. A system of three simultaneous equations is used to unearth the channels through which these institutional dimensions affect economic growth. These include greater efficiency and enlarged investment in physical and human capital. The sample contains 79 countries and six periods covering the years from 1976 to 2005. The results show that the three dimensions of institutional quality are important for economic growth either through a better allocation of resources or, indirectly, through the stimulation of investment in physical and human capital.     

西部开发与区域经济发展的若干理论问题

西部开发过程中需要进一步加强理论研究 ,充分发挥理论的指导作用。本文首先指出 ,西部开发是地区平衡发展的要求。其次西部地区要培养新的增长极 ,发展具有创新能力的行业和主导产业部门 ;要积极创建自己的高技术产业 ,实现超越发展。     

Using surveys of business perceptions as a guide to growth‐enhancing fiscal reforms

This paper assesses the merits of using business perceptions of growth constraints as a guide to growth‐enhancing fiscal policy reforms. Using endogenous growth models in which the government levies an income tax to provide public inputs to the production of private firms, the paper demonstrates that such perceptions of growth constraints may be misleading from a policy perspective. In particular, firms can be expected to systematically overestimate the growth‐enhancing effects of lower tax rates relative to public services and public capital, and underestimate the growth‐enhancing effects of greater provision of public capital relative to taxation and public services. In addition, we show that firms rank different public services and different types of public capital according to the actual costs they impose on firms. It is then shown that these theoretical predictions regarding how firms rank constraints correspond closely to the observed ranking of constraints by firms in the World Bank's Enterprise Surveys.