全面理解人力资本的经济价值——教育经济学与培训经济学的融合

教育经济学不应只是正规学校教育的经济学,在终身学习的理念下,正规学校教育的结束并不意味着学习步伐的停滞和人力资本投资的终结。教育经济学未来拓展的路径,除了理论基础上的"外延式"发展外,还可以在原有的人力资本理论框架内走一条"内涵式"发展的道路,即强调综合考察人力资本投资的多种途径,特别是教育和培训这两种最主要的人力资本投资形式,让教育经济学走出正规学校教育经济学的固有领地,团结在人力资本理论的名义下,与培训经济学融合,走向人力资源开发研究的广阔天地,惟其如此,才能全面、深入地研究人力资本的经济价值及其实现机制。     

A model of fractional cointegration, and tests for cointegration using the bootstrap

The paper proposes a framework for modelling cointegration in fractionally integrated processes, and considers methods for testing the existence of cointegrating relationships using the parametric bootstrap. In these procedures, ARFIMA models are fitted to the data, and the estimates used to simulate the null hypothesis of non-cointegration in a vector autoregressive modelling framework. The simulations are used to estimate p-values for alternative regression-based test statistics, including the F goodness-of-fit statistic, the Durbin–Watson statistic and estimates of the residual d. The bootstrap distributions are economical to compute, being conditioned on the actual sample values of all but the dependent variable in the regression. The procedures are easily adapted to test stronger null hypotheses, such as statistical independence. The tests are not in general asymptotically pivotal, but implemented by the bootstrap, are shown to be consistent against alternatives with both stationary and nonstationary cointegrating residuals. As an example, the tests are applied to the series for UK consumption and disposable income. The power properties of the tests are studied by simulations of artificial cointegrating relationships based on the sample data. The F test performs better in these experiments than the residual-based tests, although the Durbin–Watson in turn dominates the test based on the residual d.     

Bureaucratic integration and regional specialization in China

Fiscal decentralization introduced as part of China's economic reform since 1979 has unleashed strong incentives for China's local governments to pursue economic development, but the same incentives have also led to local protectionist policies inhibiting the process of regional specialization. This paper focuses on the constraints or freedom with which local governments can implement their protectionist policies. Using a panel data of 29 China's regions over the time period of 1985–1997, we find that China's political system of bureaucratic integration (specifically, concurrent appointment of local government officials in the central government) imposes constraints on the local governments from practicing protectionism. We also find that the effectiveness of local protectionist policies is limited by market competition, specifically, competition from foreign-invested firms operating in China and foreign imports. Our results on the role of local protectionism remain robust to controls for the regional variations in the size of the economy and the stage of economic development.     

Catching up: The role of demand, supply and regulated price effects on the real exchange rates of four accession countries

The main aim of this paper is to examine the exchange rate behaviour of a group of four transitional, EU accession countries, with a view to making policy recommendations regarding their full accession to the European Monetary Union. We employ a dynamic OLS panel estimator to investigate the relative importance of demand and supply influences on the exchange rates of these countries. Our analysis shows that both supply‐ and demand‐side effects are important for the accession countries, although their overall effect on inflation differentials and competitiveness seems to be small. An additional focus of the paper is the examination of the role that administrated, or regulated, prices and the productivity of the distribution sector play in the real exchange rate dynamics. Using a unique database we show that administrative prices have been a powerful force behind price and real exchange developments for our group of accession countries. The distribution sector is shown to have an independent effect on the internal price ratio over and above that generated by the Balassa–Samuelson effect.     

浅论我国农村环境的法律体系建设

本文分析了我国农村环境法律体系在立法、执法等方面存在的问题,据此提出了健全和完善农村环保法制的一些设想。     

温台沿海产业带区域物流一体化对策研究

温台沿海产业带经济一体化是浙江经济发展的重点，对带动浙江省经济发展有重要意义。构建温台沿海产业带区域一体化的物流体系，将加速该区域产业集聚，提升区域综合竞争力，进一步促进经济一体化的进程。文章分析了温台两地物流发展的现状及制约因素，提出了促进温台沿海产业带区域物流一体化发展的若干对策。     

信息技术在工程建设领域中应用的发展趋势--信息孤岛与信息集成

详细分析了国际上信息技术在工程建设领域中应用的发展趋势，主要包括三个方面的内容：首先是介绍信息技术在工程建设领域中应用的信息孤岛现象，然后引进并阐述总体项目系统的概念，最后则描述了基于信息模型的集成和基于Internet的集成等两种解决思路。     

战略联盟信息系统整合

分析了战略联盟信息系统整合的目的，必要性，存在的风险因素，提出了战略联盟信息系统整合的对策。     

我国股票市场的混沌探析

运用混沌理论对我国股票市场进行了实证研究 ,结果显示我国股票市场是一个低自由度的混沌系统 ,具有自相似的非线性结构 ,并且这种非线性结构可以用 GARCH( 1 ,1 )模型来拟合。     

动态环境下企业战略资源的整合与利用机制

在动态复杂环境下产生和发展起来的战略资源观是对传统资源观的进一步深化.如何使战略资源获得新的生命力,正成为组织赢得持续竞争优势的新探索.从企业整合、利用战略资源的视角看,其动态组合、创新及充分利用与开发等方面就显得尤为重要.但值得说明的是,企业的知识创新及提升学习能力才是保障战略资源合理利用的根本.