湄公河流域洪旱灾害损失分析

受海洋气候及气候变化的影响,湄公河流域洪旱灾害频发。澜湄合作及中国-东盟合作机制是我国发展周边外交的重要内容。搜集整理近几十年来湄公河流域洪旱灾害事件资料,分析了流域洪旱灾害损失情况、成因及影响因素,结果表明:洪旱灾害是湄公河流域的主要灾害形式,流域4国洪水发生次数占总自然灾害次数的50%左右;洪旱灾害对流域各国的人口、交通、农业、经济等方面的影响均比较显著;气候变化是引起湄公河流域洪旱灾害的主要原因。     

江西省林业雨雪冰冻灾害调研报告

江西林业在这次雨雪冰冻灾害中受损严重。全省林地受灾面积356.7万hm2,占总有林地面积40%,其中毛竹林73.9万hm2,占全省毛竹林面积90%,受损毛竹6亿根。林业直接经济损失154亿元。林业灾害使林农生产生活出现困难,森林资源恢复需要一些时间,生态平衡受到重创,加剧了原本就紧张的木材供需矛盾。林业恢复重建面临受损木材清理和补植补造任务重,劳力、经费缺口大,林农近期生活来源无保证,贷款造林者无力偿还到期债务,灾后问题缺乏技术指导及相应保障措施等问题。需从高层面、深层次深刻认识解决急需解决的问题。     

基于WebGIS的高速公路气象信息服务系统研究

基于Super Mapi Client/i Server,探索了高速公路气象信息服务系统的设计方法与开发技术。提出了三层B/S系统结构、功能模块化、HTML5+CSS3+Java Script界面设计组合、空间数据库引擎+关系数据库系统的系统设计方案,开发实现了气象实况信息查询、气象信息预警服务、气象信息统计,路径导航等服务功能,为公众驾车安全出行提供了便捷的信息服务平台。     

黑龙江省西部松嫩低平原盐碱地质灾害分布调查的思考

本文是在充分利用前人研究成果的基础上,运用多年积累的勘察资料和工作经验,投入1:250000区域地质调查、1:250000遥感地质解译、样品采集与化验分析等工作,运用遥感解译与地面调查相结合的方法科学合理的为黑龙江省西部松嫩低平原盐碱地质灾害分布及危害程度的进一步评价提供科学依据。     

基于多情景的景区自然灾害风险评价方法研究——以九寨沟树正寨为例

文章采用参与式地理信息系统(PGIS)技术,模拟景区未来典型自然灾害风险情景,建立典型致灾因子强度与灾害风险情景对应关系;对旅游资源、旅游设施进行分类,分析游客居民景区内时空分布特征,建立致灾因子强度与景区承载体的脆弱性对应关系;最后通过拟合风险曲线,建立景区综合灾损模型并预测出多情景年均损失。综合景区利益相关方可接受风险,基于灾损和防灾成本进行风险决策。案例研究以九寨沟树正景群为例,模拟九寨沟在分别遭遇20、50、100、200、500、1000年一遇6种暴雨情景下引发泥石流的流速、流量和冲击力,建立6种情景泥石流与树正景群脆弱性关系;预测6种情景潜在损失和人员伤亡;结合可接受风险,提出九寨沟树正寨未来自然灾害防灾降险措施。     

Crisis Communication and Recovery for the Tourism Industry

Abstract

As the number of disasters and crises affecting the tourism industry increases, it is becoming necessary to understand the nature of these disasters and how to manage and limit the impacts of such incidents. This paper defines crises and disasters before discussing the area of crisis communication management and crisis communication in the tourism industry. The paper then applies the foot and mouth disease (FMD) which occurred in the United Kingdom to crisis communication theory at a national level (by examining the response of the British Tourist Authority) and at a local level (by examining the response of a District Council). The response was limited in part because of a lack of preparedness, but also due to the nature of the foot and mouth outbreak, and the speed and severity of international media coverage. Action was taken in the emergency phase of the crisis and was reactive involving inconsistency in developing key messages to stakeholders, partly due to confusion and a lack of information at the national level. Recovery marketing was also limited due to the length of time of the disease outbreak. This paper provides lessons for destinations and organisations are discussed which may help develop crisis communication strategies for tourism organisations.     

自然策化安全系统构架危岩体的预警

仅仅立足于预警,是一个被动措施,换句话说仅仅等待滑坡的发生,而人类的期望是最好不要发生这类事件。为此,人类必须立足于主动的地位,积极采取必要而正确的措施避免滑坡的发生,这类措施在多数场合主要是科学地布置好地表排水系统,合理布局林、地、田,而不是挡土墙等大规模工程。     

汶川地震灾后重建资金筹集方式探究

汶川大地震给我国造成了巨大损失,尤其使四川面临着经济建设与发展的严峻考验。资金来源对于灾后的重建是关键问题。财政资金、对口支援、国内外援助等资金筹措渠道固然重要,但灾区的未来发展不能光靠扶助。本文在阐述了上述筹资方式的基础上,基于多种筹资方式互补的思想,对灾后资金的特点、优劣势及其灾后重建的适用性进行了再思考,进一步探究灾区筹资方式的多样化与互补性。     

Disaster‐Relief Logistics With Limited Fuel Supply

Disaster‐relief logistics consists of providing adequate emergency supplies rapidly to the affected people so as to minimize human suffering and death. This study empirically examines the impact that the shortage of fuel, a commonly encountered problem in many disaster situations, can have on the effectiveness of disaster‐relief logistics operations. We focus on investigating the following two issues: (1) whether the shortage of fuel is more damaging in attaining logistical goals than the equivalent‐sized shortage in emergency supplies themselves, and (2) what types of vehicles should be used when the fuel supply is limited. Results suggest that the shortage of fuel may be more damaging than the shortage of emergency supplies, and that smaller trucks may be preferred to larger trucks when the shortage of fuel becomes severe.     

Perceptions of pre-service teachers on seismic risk and their implications for science education: a comparative study between Spain and Portugal

Abstract

This study investigated the importance given by two groups of pre-service teachers of primary education from Spain and Portugal to seismic risk in a framework of different natural risks, both in personal terms and as future teachers. A questionnaire was used for data collection. Some questions about the seismic phenomenon were also included. The sample groups consisted of 110 students from an institution in Spain and 121 from one in Portugal. Both institutions are in cities affected by the historic Lisbon earthquake of 1755. The results showed that the risk of forest fire was the first choice for classroom study in both cases. The Spanish group was also more focused on the importance of other risks like flood and drought. The Portuguese group showed a greater concern with seismic risk, frequently referring to their own historic earthquake of 1755. A few gaps in knowledge concerning earthquake prediction and comparing seismic risk in different regions of their own countries were also found. In accordance with the results, it is suggested that training courses for primary school teachers should include Disaster Risk Education in Science Education for a better understanding of the impact of various hazards and a greater concern with seismic risk due to its particular features, especially in regions where the seismic pattern is characterized by long seismic cycles with major earthquake episodes.