论国有划拨土地使用权在融资担保业务中抵押价值的实现及风险分析

本文将以融资担保实务中划拨土地使用权抵押所面临的困境为基点,通过对现有法律法规的分析和思考,对国有划拨土地使用权抵押价值的实现与风险控制问题进行论述。     

关于我国推行住房抵押贷款证券化的对策分析

住房抵押贷款证券化是我国未来住房金融发展的必然方向，为了在我国顺利推行住房抵押贷款证券化。应加强培育住房抵押贷款一级市场与投资者，完善相关的法律法规，完善信用评级制度，完善相关的会计和税收制度等。     

关于个人住房抵押贷款风险及防范策略的研究

我国个人住房抵押贷款虽然有了很大发展，但仍面临着各种风险。防范个人住房抵押贷款风险应该采取的策略主要有：进行房地产景气状况分析；实行用户资信评审制度；建立抵押贷款的保险和担保机制；实行住房抵押贷款证券化。     

Canada's Housing Bubble Story: Mortgage Securitization,the State,and the Global Financial Crisis

Canada's experience during and after the financial crisis appears to distinguish it from its international peers. Canadian real estate sales and values experienced record increases since the global financial crisis emerged in 2008, rather than declines, and Canada did not witness any bank failures. The dominant trope concerning Canada's financial and housing markets is that they are sound, prudent, appropriately regulated and ‘boring but effective’. It is widely assumed that Canadian banks did not need, nor receive, a ‘bailout’, that mortgage lending standards remained high, and that the securitization of mortgages was not widespread. The truth, however, does not accord with this mainstream view. In fact, the Canadian financial and housing markets reveal marked similarities with their international peers. Canada's banks needed, and received, a substantial ‘bailout’, while federal policies before and after the financial crisis resulted in the massive growth of mortgage securitization and record household indebtedness. This article documents the growth of Canada's housing bubble, the history of mortgage securitization, and of government policies implemented before and after the crisis. Instead of making the Canadian financial and housing sectors more resilient and sustainable, the outcomes of state responses are best understood as regressively redistributive.     

汇率与股价波动研究——基于中国与日本高频数据的ARCH检验

次贷危机发生前,汇率与股指存在ARCH效应,且均有不对称信息的冲击,波动存在持续性的影响;次贷危机发生后,汇率与股价都不存在ARCH效应,系统性风险和非系统性风险暴露出来使得汇率对股市的波动影响降低,从而促进投资者风险得到有效对坤。     

反向抵押贷款风险研究

反向抵押贷款作为一种金融产品,其核心问题是风险管理,但目前国内对于反向抵押款风险的研究仅仅停留在简单对国外文献的翻译上,并未结合中国实际进行具体分析.结合中国具体实际对反向抵押贷款中的三级风险作了详细分析,并对反向抵押贷款中的风险防范提了几点建议.     

城区特征对房贷的影响

城区特征通过多种途径影响商业银行住房抵押贷款决策.商业银行可以根据城区特征判断一个城区的住房抵押贷款违约风险,进而确定对该城区的最低首付款比例或拒贷率.通过分析国外城区特征对商业银行住房抵押贷款决策的影响机制,联系我国实际情况,指出我国商业银行根据城区特征进行住房抵押贷款决策具有合理性,建议商业银行密切关注城区住房价格波动率,并建议政府限制中低收入城区商业银行的数量.     

美国次贷危机对中国的启示

发生在美国的次级抵押贷款危机,起源于近年来美国次贷市场的过分膨胀,也是近些年来其国内积累的金融和经济风险不断释放的结果。随着危机的全面爆发,这场危机逐渐演化成为全球信贷紧缩,不但使美国经济的发展进一步放缓,而且对全球金融市场与世界经济产生一定的负面影响,也给中国带来了有益的启示;     

Controlling for Burnout in Estimating Mortgage Prepayment Models

Burnout is a consequence of unobservable predictive variables. This paper describes a methodology for estimating mortgage prepayment models which corrects for burnout. The paper generalizes the approach of Deng, Quigley, and Van Order (Econometrica, 68, 275–307, 1998) and Stanton (Rev. Finan. Stud.8, 677–708, 1995) in modeling the impact of unobservable variables as a probability distribution. The estimator is applied to a sample of loan histories and the results compared to a conventional logit analysis of the data. Predictions and simulations from both models are compared to illustrate the properties of the new estimator.     

The Variegated Financialization of Housing

There is a small but growing literature on the financialization of housing that demonstrates how housing is a central aspect of financialization. Despite the varied analyses of the financialization of housing and the importance of housing to financialization, the relations between housing and financialization remain under‐researched and under‐theorized. The financialization of housing is not really a specific form of financialization, transcending as it does a number of different forms of financialization. Housing systems, in particular, vary widely across the globe, which implies that housing financialization will be inherently variegated, path‐dependent and uneven. In this introduction to the symposium, I will discuss how the articles to follow contribute to the literature on the financialization of housing. Housing has entered a post‐Fordist, neoliberal and financialized regime. Increasingly, both mortgaged homeownership and subsidized rental housing are there to keep financial markets going, rather than being facilitated by those markets. There is little evidence that the global financial crisis has resulted in any de‐financialization of housing. There are common trajectories within uneven and variegated financialization, rather than radically different and completely unrelated forms of housing financialization.