抵押物处置与农房抵押贷款困境：基于演化博弈的分析

研究目的:分析农民住房财产权抵押(简称农房抵押)贷款困境的主要原因以及抵押物处置对农房抵押贷款行为的影响机理。研究方法:演化博弈论。研究结果:农房抵押贷款发展面临困境的关键在于金融机构惜贷,而抵押物处置难是激发金融机构惜贷的重要原因,但是降低抵押物处置难度只是推动农房抵押贷款发展的必要而非充分条件。研究结论:要促进农房抵押贷款发展,除了必须降低抵押物处置难度外,还需要构建完善的农房抵押贷款制度体系。     

Bias in estimates of discrimination and default in mortgage lending: The effects of simultaneity and self-selection

The common practices of estimating single-equation models of mortgage rejection to test for discrimination in mortgage markets or single-equation ex ante mortgage default equations to validate underwriting criteria produce biased and inconsistent parameter estimates. This is due to problems of simultaneous equations bias which arise because, in a world of imperfect information, mortgage terms are not exogenous to the rejection or default decision. In addition, mortgage default estimates are also subject to selection bias. Monte Carlo experiments are used to study the nature and extent of likely bias in single-equation estimation results. We find that rejection equation estimates indicate discrimination when none exists and that estimated coefficients of mortgage terms, such as the loan-to-value ratio, are also subject to significant bias in both rejection and default equations.     

债权抵押债券运作机理及其在我国的前景分析

自2008年美国次贷危机爆发以来,CDO成为人人谈之色变的毒物。本文在简单介绍CDO运作原理的基础上,着重分析其特性是否能够为我国金融市场的发展带来良好的变化与引导,同时通过分析我国市场现状,对开辟本土CDO市场提出了一些疑问与建议。     

Embedded Options in the Mortgage Contract

Loss mitigation is the process by which lenders attempt to minimize losses associated with foreclosure. As competition increases in the mortgage industry, lenders and servicers are under great pressure to adopt loss mitigation tactics rather than simply use foreclosure as the means of dealing with borrowers in default. This study presents a mortgage-pricing model that fully specifies all borrower options with respect to default, including the ability to reinstate the mortgage out of default. We document the impact of various loss mitigation programs, including forbearance and antideficiency judgments, as well as the value of credit on borrower default behavior.     

抵押贷款定价:基于欧式期权定价的研究

本文假设借贷双方对抵押资产拥有相同的信息并对其未来价值有相同的认知,利用期权定价技术,证明了一个抵押贷款合同与一个定期债券和一个对借款方抵押资产的卖出期权是等价的。研究结果显示,贷款方提供给借款方的贷款不会超过抵押资产的市场价值,研究还发现,随着抵押资产市场价值的增加,贷款的供给也会增加;抵押资产价值的波动率、利率、分红率的增加能分别降低贷款的供给。最后以个人住房抵押贷款为例对上述结论进行了解释。     

我国商品房按揭贷款法律问题刍议

随着我国市场经济的发展,住房制度逐步走向货币化。但我国恪守物权法定义,实务中已对按揭做了很大的改造,改变了按揭须转移标的物权利这一基本特征。     

租赁资产的信用风险度量

对租赁资产重复采样,采用信用损失分布的蒙特卡罗模拟方法进行分析,结果表明:有形资产抵押可减少租赁资产组合的信用风险。在巴塞尔协议的IRB方法度量中,由于违约暴露的不同,从而得到的资本准备金要求也存在明显的区别。     

我国住房抵押贷款证券化的必要性和可行性分析

随着我国房地产业的高速发展和单一的房地产银行融资手段，我国商业银行住房抵押贷款余额占其贷款余额的比重越来越高，从而使得我国商业银行面临的金融风险越来越大，而且单一的银行融资手段不利于我国房地产业的高速发展，住房抵押贷款证券化对我国房地产业和银行业的发展意义巨大。本文试分析了住房抵押贷款证券化这一金融创新工具在我国实行的必要性和可行性。     

目前住房金融业存在的问题与对策

住房金融在扩大市场有效需求、启动住房消费等方面具有重要的作用。本文对当前我国住房金融工作中存在的难点与问题进行了剖析 ,提出了相应的对策。     

金融海啸背景下我国宏观调控的政策选择

次贷危机引发的金融海啸正向全球蔓延,并已对中国的宏观调控造成不利影响,加剧了金融风险。由于各国经济发展及目标存在差异,可能导致次贷危机背景下宏观调控政策存在有效性冲突。因此,探求我国宏观调控的政策选择具有重大的现实意义。