论邓小平创新精神的来源

邓小平能够敢想敢做,在于他鲜明的创新精神。邓小平的创新精神来源于他对党和人民事业的无限忠 诚;实事求是的思想方法和求真务实的工作态度;非凡的勇气和胆略;密切联系群众的优良作风;以及高瞻远瞩的战 略眼光和敏锐的时代洞察力。     

论科学发展观与地方政府决策理念创新

科学发展观作为当代中国先进政治文化的最新成果,其实质是以人为本,注重经济、社会的全面、协调、可持续发展.科学发展观要求地方政府决策主体着眼全局推进梯度发展战略,重塑公共权威和政府诚信,在尊重客观规律和实事求是的基础上创新决策制度,树立服务与指导结合、法治与责任并重、民主与开放并行、追求高效与协调发展的决策理念,推进地方政府决策的科学化、民主化、法制化.     

社区参与旅游发展具体操作分析

社区参与旅游发展具体包括旅游发展决策和旅游发展利益分配两个阶段。社区参与旅游发展利益分配主要从经济利益分配、培训和教育、就业、商机这几个方面来阐述。     

Integrating science and local knowledge in environmental risk management: A decision-focused approach

This paper explores how a structured decision process, based on methods from the decision sciences, can contribute to the integration of local and scientific knowledge in environmental decision making. Emphasis is placed on the use of key decision structuring steps and analytical tools to help ensure the systematic treatment of both fact-based and value-based knowledge claims. Practical methods are discussed for communicating and evaluating values and technical information across participants and cultures in ways that are methodologically rigorous and encourage different sources of credible knowledge to be considered on equal footing. Examples are presented from water use planning in British Columbia, Canada, where stakeholder consultations at 22 hydroelectric facilities demonstrate specific techniques that can be used to clarify values, to explore hypotheses, to clarify uncertainties, to identify and evaluate options, to make value-based choices, and to facilitate mutual learning.     

基于投影模型的不确定语言型多属性决策方法及应用

研究了不确定语言型多属性决策评价结果与决策者对方案的偏好信息之间存在偏差的问题,提出了基于投影模型的不确定多属性决策方法。该方法通过建立与区间型语言标度对应的术语指标矩阵,及方案综合属性值与决策者主观偏好值之间的投影模型,确定属性的权重,然后运用加权法得到方案的综合属性值,利用已有的可能度矩阵排序公式得到决策方案的排序。最后,通过算例对该方法的实用性和有效性进行了说明。     

On the informational content of advice: a theoretical and experimental study

This paper examines the market for advice and the underlying perception that advice is useful and informative. We do this by first providing a theoretical examination of the informational content of advice and then by setting up a series of experimental markets where this advice is sold. In these markets we provide bidders with a demographic profile of the “experts” offering advice.The results of our experiment generate several interesting findings. The raw bid data suggest that subjects bid significantly more for data than they do for advice. Second, in the market for advice there appears to be no consensus as to who are the best advisors although on average economists demand the highest mean price and women suffer a discount. In addition, we find that whether a subject suffers from a representativeness bias in the way he or she processes data has an impact on how he or she bids for advice and on his or her willingness to follow it once offered. Finally, we find that on average people impute a low level of informativeness onto advice, consistent with their bidding behavior for data versus advice.This work was done under grant number SES-0425118 of the National Science Foundation. The authors would like to recognize the Center for Experimental Social Science at New York University for its additional support. We also acknowledge the help of Elizabeth Potamites for her research assistance.     

基于行为决策理论的投资决策研究：发展及实践意义

以“理性人”假设为基础的传统财务决策理论将决策者独立于投资决策过程之外，认为决策者完全能够依据理性决策模型做出最优的决策，但现实并非如此。本文对行为决策理论中关于投资决策的研究文献进行了梳理，揭示了决策者的行为特征会影响到投资决策及投资回报率的设定，展望了行为决策理论在我国的发展前景及实践意义。     

基于信息熵的三种灰色关联度在房地产住宅消费决策中的优化与比较

介绍了房地产住宅消费决策优化与比较问题的理念,阐述了灰色关联决策的基本原理和三种灰色关联度的决策方法,基于信息熵的基本原理确定了各个目标因素的权系数,建立了相应的决策模型,针对示例方案进行了分析,并作了系统的总结。     

冲动性购买行为的实证分析及其营销策略

消费者的冲动性购买行为是多种因素共同作用的结果。其中，外在刺激起主要影响作用，个人内在因素也有不可忽略的影响。这一研究结果对企业的意义在于：消费者的冲动性购买行为是可诱导、可激发的；企业可以针对冲动性购买行为的影响因素采取相应的营销措施和手段，有效地引导或诱导消费者冲动性购买欲望，从而推动和促进冲动性购买行为的最终实现。     

新型无机高分子混凝剂聚硅硫酸铝的混凝性能

作者对新型无机高分子混凝剂聚硅硫酸铝(PASS)制备的工艺条件进行了研究，制备出性能稳定，效果良好的产品。用该产品对不同水质进行混凝试验，结果表明PASS有良好的混凝效果和广泛的适用范围。