VMI模式下最优订货点的仿真研究

通过VMI模式下订货流程的模拟,根据客户订货前置期的历史统计数据或分布函数,利用Arena软件求解配送中心最优订货点。研究表明,仿真分析能获得比常规数学方法更科学合理的最优订货点。     

新农村建设需要重点解决好的几个问题

建设社会主义新农村既是我国在新时期作出的一项伟大的战略部署,又是我国在加快推进社会主义经济建设和社会和谐发展中所面临的一项艰巨的历史任务.加快社会主义新农村建设,必须选准切入点,抓住关节点,稳步推进,力求实效.     

中国政府统计抽样调查制度的总体框架研究

随着中国市场经济体制的逐步确立,政府的职能在逐渐转变,政府对统计数据的要求也在变化,这就要求政府统计调查制度也随之改革。适应市场经济体制和中国政府管理的特点以及城乡统筹发展的要求,政府统计调查应该以抽样调查为主体,抽样调查队伍和机构应主要设立在地市一级,调查的指标体系和内容应该改革与调整,企业抽样调查应该采用名单框和区域框结合的双框抽样方式。对于抽样调查得到的数据资料,不仅应当汇总得出各种可用于宏观经济管理与分析的总量指标数据和分类数据,而且还应当建立起全部被调查企业和被调查家庭的数据库,供政府部门和国内的科学研究机构进行微观社会经济活动主体层次的研究。     

折旧方法对盈亏平衡点的影响分析

分析了折旧方法对静态盈亏平衡点及动态盈亏平衡点的影响，结果表明，不同的折旧方法对盈亏平衡点的影响很大。     

财务理论体系构架的评述

构建财务理论体系应遵循系统完整、逻辑一贯、兼容并包、科学实用、动态稳定等原则.理财环境是财务理论体系赖以推理论证的最本源的抽象范畴,是构建财务理论体系的逻辑起点.财务理论体系由起点理论、基础理论、目标理论、运行理论四个层次组成,它们相互联系,互为铺垫,循序推进财务理论研究向实践方向发展.     

The equilibrium set of two-player games with complementarities is a sublattice

Summary. I prove that the equilibrium set in a two-player game with complementarities, and totally ordered strategy spaces, is a sublattice of the joint strategy space. Received: May 31, 2001; revised version: October 4, 2002     

Experimental internet auctions with random information retrieval

We run an experiment where 97 subjects could retrieve records of completed past auctions before placing their bids in current one-bid, two-bid, and auction-selection games. Each subject was asked to participate in 3 current auctions; but could retrieve up to 60 records of completed (past) auctions. The results reveal a positive relation between the payoffs earned by the subjects and their history-inspection effort. Subjects act as if responding to the average bidding-ratios of the winners in the samples that they have retrieved. They apply intuitive signal-dependent stopping rules like “sample until observing a winner-value close to my won” or “find a close winner-value and try one more history” when sampling the databases. History-inspection directs bidders with relatively high private-valuations to moderate bidding which increases their realized payoffs. (JEL C9 D4 D8) Electronic Supplementary Material Supplementary material is available in the online version of this article at . JEL Classification C93, D44, D83     

Provision Point Mechanisms and Field Validity Tests of Contingent Valuation

Past field validity tests of contingent valuation have relied on voluntary contribution mechanisms to elicit actual willingness to pay, and may overestimate hypothetical bias because of free riding in the actual contributions. This paper argues that provision point mechanisms are a preferred alternative for field validity tests of contingent valuation because they increase the proportion of demand revealed in cases in which public goods can be provided in a step function. The results of a contingent valuation validity study of participation in a green electricity pricing program that uses a provision point mechanism are reported, and hypothetical open-ended and dichotomous choice responses are compared to actual participation. Calibration of hypothetical responses is also explored.     

基于LINGO的最小一乘线性回归的参数估计

采用最小二乘法进行回归分析,容易受到奇异点的影响;最小一乘法虽能很好地克服这一缺陷,但又存在计算困难.利用LINGO软件能够快速、准确地估计出最小一乘线性回归的参数,从而使其成为一种有效的参数估计方法.     

On estimating the reliability after sequentially estimating the mean: The exponential case

Sequential estimation problems for the mean parameter of an exponential distribution has received much attention over the years. Purely sequential and accelerated sequential estimators and their asymptotic second-order characteristics have been laid out in the existing literature, both for minimum risk point as well as bounded length confidence interval estimation of the mean parameter. Having obtained a data set from such sequentially designed experiments, the paper investigates estimation problems for the associatedreliability function. Second-order approximations are provided for the bias and mean squared error of the proposed estimator of the reliability function, first under a general setup. An ad hoc bias-corrected version is also introduced. Then, the proposed estimator is investigated further under some specific sequential sampling strategies, already available in the literature. In the end, simulation results are presented for comparing the proposed estimators of the reliability function for moderate sample sizes and various sequential sampling strategies.