对改革供电企业变电检修现行管理模式的探讨

提出了重组专业化的变电检修总公司的战略思路,对电网企业与总公司之间发展新型关系进行了探讨,指出以战略思维构筑战略联盟,保持合作联盟,实现共赢与发展.分析虽是对检修体制改革,同时也是对安全生产管理体制的变革,有利于供电企业的安全生产管理.     

农村劳动力转移模型:基于中国制度背景的构造

本文在对经典的农村劳动力流动模型进行理论梳理的基础上,引入中国的制度变量,试图构建适合中国制度背景的农村劳动力转移模型,同时,运用经验事实对其作进一步的实证检验,并分析了模型的政策含义。     

Intention of Internet-based Customer Involvement in Product Development： A Conceptual Investigation

The paper develops an extension of Technology Acceptance Model （TAM） and puts forward the TAM-VCE conceptual model to explain the intention of intemet-based customer involvement in new product development （NPD）. The findings will help enterprises design Virtual Customer Environments accepted by customer.     

R&D项目投资评估的实物期权方法初探

本文分析了传统的NPV法在R&D项目投资评估中的缺陷,指出R&D项目投资本质上所具有的期权特性。在此基础上引入了实物期权方法,包括Black-Scholes期权定价方法和Geske期权定价模型。     

工程建设PM、CM和PMC三种模式的比较

PM、CM和PMC是三种不同的工程建设模式,产生于不同的历史阶段和市场条件,有着各自的特点和适用范围。文章介绍了三种模式的基本含义及特征,在组织、合同、工作范围以及风险和责任等方面进行了比较研究,并对三种模式的优势和适用条件进行了分析,最后强调在应用时,应根据项目的不同情况和条件来加以选择。     

Progressive stress accelerated life tests under finite mixture models

In this paper, progressive stress accelerated life tests are considered when the lifetime of a product under use condition follows a finite mixture of distributions. The experiment is performed when each of the components in the mixture follows a general class of distributions which includes, among others, the Weibull, compound Weibull, power function, Gompertz and compound Gompertz distributions. It is assumed that the scale parameter of each component satisfies the inverse power low, the progressive stress is directly proportional to time and the cumulative exposure model for the effect of changing stress holds. Based on type-I censoring, the maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) of the parameters under consideration are obtained. A special attention is paid to a mixture of two Rayleigh components. Simulation results are carried out to study the precision of the MLEs and to obtain confidence intervals for the parameters involved.     

The Theory of Socially Embedded Games: Applications and Extensions to Open and Closed Games

An earlier article, drawing on the mathematical theory of rules and rule complexes, extends and generalizes game theory (GGT). The theory has been used to conceptualize and analyze diverse social relationships, roles, and games as particular types of rule complexes.For instance, a social role, as a major basis of a parent's action in a game, consists of at least four key components – which are mathematical objects – in the determination of action: value complex, model of reality (including beliefs and knowledge bases), a repertoire of acts, routines, programs, and strategies, and modality, a role-specific algorithm for determining or generating action in game settings. This article applies and extends GGT in analyses of a market bargaining game (a type of open game) and of the classical game of prisoners' dilemma (a type of closed game). The applications show the concrete effects of social embeddedness on game structuring, game interaction patterns and outcomes, and social equilibria.     

Analysis of cointegrated VARMA processes

VARMA (vector autoregressive moving average) processes are proposed for modelling cointegrated variables. For this purpose the echelon form is combined with the error correction form. Procedures for estimating the Kronecker indices which characterize the echelon form and for specifying the cointegration rank are discussed. The asymptotic distribution of the coefficient estimators is given. An example based o n US macroeconomic data illustrates the procedure and demonstrates its feasibility in practice.     

供应链集成下的企业采购管理

供应链集成下的采购管理是供应链管理的重要内容之一，基于供应链的采购管理模型利用现代信息技术的成果解决了供应链中核心企业与供应商之间的联系问题。供应链集成下的企业采购管理策略从本质上讲是一种理念，旨在提高采购管理的效率，降低企业采购的成本，建立新的供需合作模式。     

商业银行发展汽车金融业务的策略分析

当前,汽车市场出现井喷式增长,各商业银行相继推出新的汽车金融业务.为应对外来汽车金融公司的同业竞争,避免再次陷入“车贷信用危机“,商业银行应积极借鉴国外的业务发展经验,针对自身业务发展障碍,制定合理的策略,审慎发展.