The economic effects of foreign bank presence: Evidence from the Philippines

This study examines the economic effects of the liberalization of foreign bank entry in the Philippines from 1990 to 2006. The findings provide strong evidence on the dominance of competition effects from foreign bank presence which lead to the reduction in the profitability and overhead costs of domestic commercial banks. These findings, which reveal that both the actual market penetration and mere presence of foreign banks seem to exert competitive pressure to domestic banks, imply that foreign banks may serve as an effective competitive force, reducing the excess profits earned by domestic banks and compelling domestic banks to update their production technologies and techniques to improve their cost efficiency.From a policy perspective, the findings on competition effects of foreign banks in the domestic banking system justify the liberalization of foreign bank entry in the Philippines. The main findings demonstrate that the goal of banking liberalization in transforming domestic banks to be more competitive and efficient works considerably well in the case of the Philippines. Aside from the policy of easing the entry of foreign banks, bank-specific conditions can have significant impact on the performance of domestic banks. Therefore, a sustained improvement in the efficiency of domestic commercial banks requires not only liberalizing the entry of foreign banks, but also on continued strengthening of domestic prudential regulation and supervision on the commercial banking system.     

基于公允价值计量的银行监管改革

在全球性金融监管改革进程中,美国次贷危机带来的影响是重大而深远的,人们重新从不同角度审视过去的监管制度。本文正是从在此次危机中受到广泛争议的公允价值计量角度出发,审视公允价值计量的性质与特征,审视其与银行监管的适应性关系。并基于其本质发现公允价值计量在银行监管体系中的不足和缺陷,进而寻找发挥其效力、规避其不足的监管措施。     

以财富管理为着力点服务浙江经济转型升级

浙江省经济转型将迎来巨大的财富管理需求,这为银行业发展财富管理业务提供了良好契机.同时,开展财富管理银行业务也是商业银行打破同质化竞争、辅助产业资本走出去、实现自身战略转型的必由之路.在浙商业银行实现财富管理转型,必须从传统的资金提供者向综合金融服务商转变,可以从产品创新、品牌塑造、新兴产业、中小企业、信息技术和风险控制六个方面入手.同时,政府和监管机构也应加快完善法律法规,鼓励金融创新,搭建行业交流平台.     

住宅房地产税收的功能探析

住宅房地产在购销及保有环节涉及众多的税种,这些税种的税收功能存在突出差异。营业税具有突出的财政收入功能,但在收入调节方面有制度上的缺失;土地增值税具有鲜明的产业调控色彩,但征收办法的缺憾使其不能有效发挥作用;预期征收的房产税具有调节收入的功能,但在税制设计上存在征收制度和利益分配重构等制度困扰。建议针对相关税种的功能特点进行有针对性的制度改良,以促进我国住宅房地产业的健康发展。     

缓解人民币升值压力的思考——巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应与人民币汇率升值

2005年人民币汇率制度改革以来,人民币升值压力和预期始终没有消除,造成我国宏观经济困境。根据巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应,随着我国经济的快速追赶,人民币实际汇率有长期升值趋势,而当我国可贸易品部门的单位劳动成本相对下降,这一趋势就通过名义汇率升值压力体现。巴拉萨-萨缪尔森效应提示我们可以通过一般物价水平调整缓解升值压力,即采用温和的结构性通胀策略降低升值预期。这对于稳定我国宏观经济,消除外汇储备泡沫,转变经济结构具有积极作用。     

农村资金互助社可持续发展的策略取向研究

面对分散的小额贷款市场,农村资金互助社拥有内在的组织和制度上的优势.但在现实中,其生存发展尚面临资金来源缺乏、信贷风险转移机制缺失、外部政策环境待完善等因素制约.为增强农村资金互助社的持续发展能力,需要建立其与正规金融机构的资金联结机制,深化与农民专业合作社的合作,健全自身的管理,并优化政府的监管安排.     

关于我国货币需求函数研究的几点看法

本论文在对过去20年我国货币需求甬数相关研究的文献总结后发现:货币需求函数研究是个传承与分化的过程;"三分法"不利于货币需求函数研究的模型表达;当前文献中广泛使用的制度变量替代形式可能存在严重缺陷;货币层次的传统分类方法使货币需求函数稳定性检验产生误差.论文由此提出建立目标取向基础上的货币需求甬数体系.     

国际金融市场与国际原油期货市场溢出效应实证检验——基于VAR-BEKK模型的分析

文章通过构建VAR模型和BEKK模型对道琼斯股票市场、美元/欧元汇率市场与国际原油期货市场的动态关系进行了实证检验。结果表明：道琼斯股票市场与WTI原油期货市场存在双向的价格溢出效应,以及前者向后者的单向波动溢出效应;美元/欧元汇率市场存在向WTI原油期货市场单向的价格溢出效应和波动溢出效应。所以,国际原油期货市场与国际金融市场联系紧密,国际原油的金融属性日益体现,其价格变动更多受外部国际金融市场风险影响。     

异质性企业出口行为的实证研究——基于中国企业面板数据

在近年兴起的新—新贸易理论中,出口行为与企业生产率之间的双向因果关系的实证研究逐渐成为主要的热点领域。许多学者用不同国家企业数据验证了自我选择效应和出口学习效应两个逻辑相反的假设。我们利用中国企业的微观层面数据对该命题进行验证。结果表明,自我选择效应显著,而出口学习效应不显著。最后在分析中国企业国际化行为特征的基础上,给出政策建议。     

Churn analysis for an Iranian mobile operator

To survive in the challenging environment of a global market, organizations must recognize and analyze customer attitudes. To be competitive, organizations must recognize and forecast customer preferences and behaviors to maximize customer retention before their rivals do so. This research identifies factors that affect customer churn, the single most valuable of an organization's assets. One year's data from call log files relating to 3150 customers were selected randomly from an Iranian mobile operator call-center database. Binomial Logistic Regression was the method of analysis used in this research. The results of this research indicate that a customer's dissatisfaction, their amount of service usage and certain demographic characteristics have the most influence on their decision to remain or churn. The results also imply that customer status (active or inactive status) mediates the relationship between churn and the cause of churn. The Iranian government's current plan to privatize the telecommunications industry without deregulation leads to a non-square competition environment. Deregulation in favor of delegating more authorities of customer care is necessary in order to develop a square private competition environment in the Iranian mobile telecommunications industry.