泥鳅中硫丹残留的风险评估

硫丹是一种高毒有机氯杀虫剂。近年来国外多次从我国进口泥鳅中检出硫丹残留,目前国内对硫丹在水产品中残留的风险评估尚属空白,文章从危害识别、危害描述、暴露评估、风险描述等方面综述硫丹在泥鳅中残留的风险评估。     

节能灯中汞的安全风险评估

从汞的危害识别、危害描述、暴露评估、风险描述等几方面探讨在家庭或办公场所因节能灯管意外破裂而引起的人身安全风险,并据此对破裂后节能灯的处理提出合理化建议。     

我国农村居民消费水平预测的实证研究

本文介绍了自回归移动平均模型即ARIMA(p,d,q)模型的基本原理、构建及其应用方法。文章广泛搜集从1952年到2011年以来我国农村居民消费水平的相关数据,运用统计学和计量经济学原理,从时间序列的定义出发,结合统计软件E-views运用ARMA建模方法,将ARIMA模型应用于我国农村居民消费水平的分析与预测,得到较为满意的结果。     

企业“钱荒”问题研究及对策——以内蒙古自治区中小企业为例

目前,“钱荒”是制约中小企业发展的瓶颈。造成这一问题的原因主要是：中小企业金融服务体系存在缺陷,自身规模小、风险大、信用度低,以及政府政策扶持力度比较薄弱等。因此,要改变中小企业的融资困境,应从金融服务体系、政府政策扶持和自身经营管理水平三方面入手。     

房地产信托投资非预期风险评价方法及应用研究

房地产信托投资所具有的投资大、周期长、项目质量要求高、同业竞争激烈、流动性较弱等特征,决定了其面临的风险更多地表现为非预期性。本文从行业、项目、开发商、信托公司等方面分析了房地产信托投资非预期风险的成因,并归纳了非预期风险因素的构成因子,根据多级模糊综合评价原理,以某房地产信托投资业务为研究对象,在充分调研和对数据资料实施规范化处理的基础上,构建了非预期风险评价模型,对各类非预期风险因素进行了三级模糊综合评价,识别了各非预期风险因素的重要性程度,为房地产信托投资机构评价、监测、控制房地产信托投资业务的非预期风险提供了重要的信息支持。     

基于平衡计分卡的保险公司全面风险管理绩效评估

本文论述了以RAROC为主的财务导向的风险管理绩效评价方法在评估全面风险管理时的不足,提出了基于平衡计分卡（BSC）的风险管理绩效评估框架,并论述了此种评估方法对实施全面风险管理（ERM）所具有的重要意义.     

地方政府融资平台贷款的风险管控

近年来,地方政府融资平台贷款已经成为不容忽视的潜在金融风险,深刻影响我国的金融安全.为此,本文提出强化贷前审批、做实贷后管理、加快信贷资产证券化试点、展期平台贷款四个举措,着力加强我国地方政府融资平台贷款风险管控.     

风险偏好、监管强度与金融监管有效性——基于委托代理理论的博弈分析

监管博弈过程中不同参与主体的风险偏好影响其有效性,对不同经营效率的金融机构监管的有效性也有差异。监管机构宜引入审核和惩罚等机制,提高监管强度,提升金融监管有效性。对高效率金融机构,监管机构宜采取原则导向的监管,给予更多的自主权,激发其竞争力和活力;对低效率金融机构,应采取规则导向的监管。同时,监管行为可更具灵活性,根据不同的风险偏好采取不同对策。     

The role of entrepÔt trade in the choice of a nominal anchor for Hong Kong

This paper adds a new perspective to the literature of monetary standard by establishing a link between re-exports and the choice of nominal anchor. The model developed is applied to address the controversy over the US dollar versus the renminbi as the nominal anchor for Hong Kong, in the context of its considerable amount of entrepÔt trade with the US and China. It is found that the distinct trade structure of the US-Hong Kong-China triangle significantly reduces Hong Kong's opportunity cost of choosing between the two currencies, its nominal anchor.     

Business Students' Choice of Short-Term or Long-Term Study Abroad Opportunities

Recent years have seen a proliferation of short-term study abroad opportunities. Although they are both supplementing and replacing semester-long study abroad programs, research has focused primarily on semester (long-term) programs. We draw on the theory of planned behavior (TPB) to explore factors that predict why students choose long-term and short-term programs. Results indicate that students perceive more social pressure to engage in short-term programs, and higher barriers limiting participation in long-term programs. All TPB factors significantly predicted students' intentions to study abroad in both short-term and long-term programs with one exception; perceived behavioral control did not significantly predict intentions to participate in short-term programs. These findings can be used to improve marketing of short-term and long-term programs by addressing student concerns specific to each type of program, potentially increasing the number of students choosing to study abroad.