促进我国会展业发展的对策研究

本文提出了在环境保护中“追本清源”的观点 ,重点阐述了加强环境法规 ,强调在实际工作中必须严格执行法规和实行环境监测控制 ,同时讨论了环境会计 (绿色会计 的建立和环境信息披露问题。     

GDP growth and currency valuation: The case of the dollar

One popular view on the strength of the US dollar around the turn of the century is that the higher growth in the US compared to Europe had stimulated foreigners to buy American assets, thereby driving up the exchange rate. In this paper a modified portfolio balance model is presented, in which it is shown that the impact of output growth on the exchange rate depends crucially on the origin of this growth. An improvement of the output gap is shown to actually depress the exchange rate whereas an increase in potential output growth leads to an appreciation, especially if this improvement is likely to be persistent. In an empirical example, it is shown that the equilibrium real dollar rate is indeed positively affected by high trend growth in the US, whereas it is negatively affected by a positive output gap. The model outperforms the random walk in forecasting future real dollar rates one to eight quarters ahead.     

Courts and Firm Investments in Real Property

The legal environment and rule of law are important for business, but existing studies often treat rule of law holistically. This article examines the role of courts, specifically the speed of court decisions, the enforcement of edicts, and the impartiality of decision-making as perceived by firms of various sizes, and the impact this has on firm investments in real property. The article analyzes a panel of 6,300 firms from 27 countries in the period from 2002 to 2009 to find that (i) firm size affects perceptions positively, while (ii) paying bribes affects perceptions negatively. At the same time, (iii) a firm’s connections to the government have no apparent impact. More importantly, while all three components have a positive correlation with the amount firms invest in land and machinery, the speed of courts has the greatest significance and the highest marginal effect. Firms perceiving courts to be quick invest nearly four times as much as the average real property investment. This finding suggests that policymakers should focus on reducing backlogs in the court system, perhaps by encouraging more arbitration or staffing more clerks.     

坚持依法行政加强人权保障和救济

在当代中国社会政治经济发展中，保证政府权力在法律范围内行政，以保障公民之正当权益，加强人权保障和救济，具有重要意义。鉴于当前行政执法在人权保障问题方面还存在不少问题，行政法制建设应当把保障和促进公民权利作为核心内容。一是要加强行政法制建设，提高人权保障法制化水平；二是要严格依法行政，提高人权保障意识；三是重视侵权责任追究，落实侵权法律救济。     

Are property rights enough?Re‐evaluating a big‐bang claim1

We investigate the claim made by proponents of the big‐bang strategy that the establishment of property rights in an economy in transition creates its own demand for the enforcement of laws to protect those rights. Our model contains a government engaging in activities to accomplish objectives that depend on public support for the enforcement of the rule of law and agents who interpret the level of activities of the government as indications of the government's intent to enforce the rule of law. Agents, using the level of government activities as an input to their decisions, choose whether to support the government's objectives. We establish conditions under which the level of activities chosen by the government maximizes its benefits, and simultaneously induces the constituency to support enforcement of the rule of law. These conditions provide a basis for the argument for the implementation of the big‐bang policy. When these conditions do not hold, however, we show that the level of activities that maximizes the government's benefits may have only a minor impact on support for the enforcement of the rule of law. Two characteristics play an important role in these conditions: the initial level of crime and the types of activities the government chooses to undertake. We present examples showing that the initial level of crime has the more dramatic effect on subsequent support for the rule of law.     

Memoryless Reigns of the “Sons of Heaven”

Human lifetimes have increasing failure rates; as people age (beyond early childhood) they are more likely to die. Viewing the succession of Chinese Emperors as a statistical ensemble we show that, unlike lifetimes, their reigns ceased at a constant rate for over two millennia, unaffected by elapsed time. In fact reign lengths of the “Sons of Heaven”, as the Chinese Emperors were known, followed a memoryless exponential distribution with a 10-year half-life. Becoming emperor not only influenced the duration of remaining life, but length of rule was independent of age at ascent. We propose an explanation for the observed exponentiality using asymptotic results from the theory of stationary stochastic processes.     

论中西马哲学背景下中国法治理念的基础

中国社会受到中西马不同哲学思想的影响,三种哲学思想在长期的相互冲突与融合过程中,与中国的具体实践相结合,逐渐成为中国社会意识的共同的组成部分。如何确立适合中国的法治模式及其法哲学层面的理论基础,是中国在法治进程中必须解决的问题。通过对中西马背景下中国社会意识形态的分析,探讨其内涵,并提出以马克思主义历史唯物主义为方法论的公共利益至上的法哲学思考,为中国的法治理念的渊源提供了符合中国具体实际的法哲学基础。     

风流闲雅《珠玉词》

晏殊《珠玉词》之艺术特色,前人公认为风流闲雅,这一风格的形成主要得益于清新淡雅的意象、华美明丽的色彩、珠圆玉润的声韵、和谐动听的词调。     

Large deviation asymptotics for statistical treatment rules

This note applies large deviation-based optimality theory to evaluate treatment rules for treatment assignment problems. We find nearly optimal treatment rules whose asymptotic maximum large deviation risks can be arbitrary close to the corresponding minimax bounds.     

《联合国反腐败公约》中的证据规范问题探析

《联合国反腐败公约》是联合国历史上第一个用于指导反腐败斗争的国际公约,全面规制国际反腐败活动,涉及面非常广泛,既包含实体规范也包含程序规范,比较直接系统地规定了惩治腐败犯罪的相关证据规则。在兼顾各国国内法证据规范及不同诉讼模式的基础上,通过协调和完善国际刑法中的证据规范与证据制度,使证据的种类、证据的收集、保全、质证、证明标准均有创新发展。深入研究反腐败公约,对于完善和发展国内法律规范以及丰富证据法学内容都有重大意义。