The impact of Chinese monetary policy shocks on East and South‐East Asia1

We study the effects of Chinese monetary policy shocks on China's major trading partners in East and South‐East Asia by estimating structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models for six economies in the region. We find that a monetary expansion in Mainland China leads to an increase in real GDP (temporary) and the price level (permanent) in a number of economies in our sample, most notably in Hong Kong and the Philippines. The impact could result from intertemporal substitution present in a general equilibrium framework, which allows for positive domestic impacts of foreign monetary expansions. Our results emphasize the growing importance of China for its neighbouring economies and the significance of Chinese shocks for the design of monetary policy in Asian economies.     

Climate Change Policy Options for Asian Economies: Findings from an Integrated Assessment Model

This study outlines potential futures for the global economy through the 2050 with a specific focus on the countries of Asia. With underlying assumptions about population and output growth, a baseline scenario assesses the growth of greenhouse gas emissions and the ensuing impacts on the climate. Under the baseline scenario, Asia's high growth leads to a strong rotation in global output and emissions by the year 2050. The analytical framework traces back the changes in temperature to economic damages – limited to the agricultural sectors. Parts of Asia are likely to see much higher dependence on food imports as a consequence of these damages. Various carbon tax scenarios are implemented to assess the potential for reducing carbon emissions. Because of the structure of their economies, Asian countries are likely to bear the greatest burden in reducing emissions in an efficient global tax scheme, but there is significant scope to ease this burden through financial transfers.     

论东亚汇率稳定协调机制的两难选择和重要性

东亚大部分国家（地区）在1997年亚洲金融危机之前采取的是事实上钉住美元的汇率制度。在危机期间，大部分国家（地区）都放弃了钉住汇率制，采取了浮动汇率制度。危机后，大多数国家（地区）又回归了钉住美元制。在现行的国际货币体系下，东亚国家（地区）汇率制度陷入了两难选择的困境：一方面，各国（地区）事实上钉住美元汇率制存在许多弊端，难以长期维系；另一方面，浮动汇率制又不符合本国（地区）经济的实际。两难选择的困境表明，东亚货币合作必须进行区域汇率合作，建立东亚汇率稳定协调机制，推进东亚汇率制度一体化，最终实现亚洲单一货币区。     

东北亚地区能源竞争与合作问题研究

东北亚地区各国的能源供应一直处于“各自为战”状态。随着经济全球化时代的到来，能源的生产、运输、供应与消费均被纳入国际化轨道，全球范围内争夺石油资源的竞争日趋激烈。中、日、韩三国同在东北亚地区，石油资源储量贫富不一，石油自身优势不尽相同。对区外石油的依赖，特别是对中东石油进口的依赖进一步增强，使中、日、韩三国均受到供应安全隐患的威胁，惟有加强合作，才能改善本地区的能源安全状况。中、日、韩三国能否找到能源合作的利益交汇点？阻力何在？本文将在客观分析的基础上对开展地区能源合作提出若干建议。     

亚洲主要国家的农产品比较优势变化模式

本文运用贸易专业化指数分析了亚洲8个主要国家的农产品比较优势.分析结果表明:由于要素禀赋的差异和经济发展阶段不同而产生了要素相对价格差异,这些国家的农产品比较优势显示了不同的比较优势变化趋势;这些国家贸易特化系数估计值的差异意味着他们的农产品贸易存在互补机会;三个东亚国家和两个东盟国家的比较优势变化模式属于典型的变化模式,但是马来西亚和印度的比较优势则显示了异常的变化路径.     

东北老工业基地科技投入与产出能力评价分析

区域的科技投入与产出能力是区域自主创新的关键.科技投入与产出能力取决于资金的投入、科技人力资本的投入、科技经费投入产出的效率,通过这三类指标的比较分析以及多元聚类分析发现:东北老工业基地内部省份的科技投入与产出能力呈现非均衡特征,并与发达省市存在落差;提升东北老工业基地的科技投入与产出能力关键在于发挥区域科技创新集成效应,构建多元化的科技创新投融资体系,构建优质的创新环境与激励机制.     

Two-dimensional mapping of Asia Pacific destinations combining tourism and economic indicators

The present study aims to cluster five Asia Pacific destinations (Cambodia, Hong Kong, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Singapore) with respect to other countries according to the evolution of the main tourism and economic indicators over the period between 2000 and 2014. By assigning a numerical value to each country corresponding to its position, we summarize all the information into two components (“tourism expenditure and profitability of tourism activity” and “tourism development and economic growth”) using different multivariate techniques for dimensionality reduction. By means of perceptual maps, we find that the five Asia Pacific destinations can be clustered into three different groups: Hong Kong and Singapore, which are the most mature markets; Indonesia and the Philippines, with moderate growth rates in most variables; and Cambodia, with top positions in all variables, showing a huge potential in terms of growth and tourism development and the challenges derived therefrom.     

Fuzzy Rasch model in TOPSIS: A new approach for generating fuzzy numbers to assess the competitiveness of the tourism industries in Asian countries

This study proposes a novel approach, the Fuzzy Rasch model, which combines Item Response Theory (IRT) and fuzzy set theory. This paper applies the Fuzzy Rasch model in Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) to analyse the Tourism Destination Competitiveness (TDC) of nine Asian countries: China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand and the Philippines. The study was conducted in 2009 using 6 criteria and 15 indices. The results demonstrate the feasibility of applying the Fuzzy Rasch model in TOPSIS to analyse TDC in Asian countries. In addition, the proposed model also provides an effective means of applying the MCDM method to study TDC. Furthermore, in 2009, the Asian countries were ranked from most to least competitive as follows: China, Japan, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea and the Philippines.     

振兴东北老工业基地财税支持政策的探讨

本文分析了老工业基地存在的问题,提出了振兴东北老工业基地的财税支持政策。     

论东北老工业基地与东北亚区域经济合作

以东北老工业基地和东北亚经济合作的战略结合作为切入点进行研究可以发现,在战略结合上各方都可以从合作中获利,实现共赢,区域经济合作具有吸引力,可以在更广阔的领域和更纵深的范围展开.东北老工业基地振兴与东北亚区域经贸合作是相互促进、共同发展的关系.将中国东北的发展置于东北亚区域内,有利于东北地区在开放的环境中获得振兴和发展.同时,中国东北地区的振兴也会为东北亚区域国家的发展带来机遇.