对中国股票市场费雪效应及相关“波动性假说”的检验

本文利用我国1991年1月到2007年12月的月度数据对我国股票市场实际通货膨胀与股票收益的关系进行了实证分析,结果发现:与费雪效应相反,我国通货膨胀率与股票收益呈负相关关系,而且在对解释这种负相关关系的波动性假说(the Variability Hypothesis)的检验中,发现该假说能够解释我国股市股票收益与通货膨胀之间所呈现的这种负相关关系。     

科技创新与绿色治理协调效应评价及动态关系研究

基于2004-2016年中国内地30个省市面板数据,采用耦合协调模型和PVAR模型,实证检验科技创新与绿色治理的协调效应及动态关系。结果显示：2004-2016年全国各省市科技创新与绿色治理的协调水平偏低,并且由东向西的区域阶梯递减特征显著,多数省市科技创新滞后于绿色治理发展,协调等级处于濒临失调水平以下;东部地区科技创新与绿色治理之间存在双向因果关系,科技创新对绿色治理的影响不显著,长期看呈现为负向冲击效应,绿色治理对科技创新呈现出显著正向、持续影响;东北地区科技创新与绿色治理存在单向因果关系,科技创新对绿色治理的冲击效应不显著,绿色治理对科技创新呈现出显著正向、持续影响;中部和西部地区科技创新与绿色治理不存在因果关系,绿色治理对科技创新的冲击作用具有相似性,但科技创新对绿色治理的冲击效应存在较大差异。     

高校实行绩效工资制度存在的问题与对策

绩效工资是一把＂双刃剑＂,用得好能大大提高管理效益,用得不好又会制造新的麻烦与障碍。本文分析了高校实行绩效工资制度的优势和负面影响,并对进一步完善高校绩效工资制度提出了对策和建议。     

Mixed up? that’s good for motivation

We show that career concerns can arise in the absence of ex ante uncertainty about an agent’s type, if his unobservable actions influence future productivity. Implementing effort in mixed strategies allows the principal to endogenously introduce uncertainty about the agent’s ex post productivity and generate reputational incentives. Creating such ambiguity can be optimal for the principal, even though this exposes the agent to additional risk and reduces output. This finding for an environment with imperfect commitment contrasts with standard agency models, where implementing mixed strategy actions typically is not optimal if pure strategies can also be implemented.     

港澳台商投资广东制造业的集聚效应及其对区域竞争力影响

本文根据产业集群理论,区域竞争力理论和突变理论的基本原理,采用突变级数法、弹性方法,以及回归分析方法,对港澳台商投资广东制造业的集聚程度及其整体的集群效应进行定量研究,并找出两个众多因素共同作用的系统——制造业集群系统与区域经济系统的内在数量关系。     

基于声誉理论的农村信用体系建设问题研究

农村信用体系建设工作在我国开展以来,已取得较大进展.借鉴声誉理论发挥作用机制的交易重复性、信息传递有效性、可置信威胁3个条件来探讨我国农村信用体系的建设情况,结合现阶段建设过程中存在的不足,提出今后农村信用体系建设相应的政策建议.     

A CGE model of 'Dutch disease' economics in Taiwan

A computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of Dutch disease economics in Taiwan's economy is established in order to examine the impacts of the imbalanced growth in output, endogenous learning effects from imports and exports and the import tariff reduction. Twenty-nine industry sectors and five quintiles of households are taken to measure the changes in industry structure and functional distribution of income. An imbalanced growth, either from output or exports, contributes to the reduction in the share of manufacturing industry, but the deterioration in the functional distribution of income only happens to an imbalanced growth in intersectoral output. A widespread trade liberalization policy helps to mitigate the Dutch disease phenomenon in the sense that de-industrialization and deterioration of the distribution of income by an imbalanced growth in manufacturing industry are not so severe.     

Countervailing Power and Input Pricing: When is a Waterbed Effect Likely?

A downstream firm with countervailing power can extract a reduced price from an input supplier. A waterbed effect occurs if this price reduction leads the input supplier to raise the price that it charges another downstream firm. Policy makers have been concerned that this waterbed effect could undermine downstream competition and it was considered in detail in the 2008 UK grocery inquiry. This paper presents a simple but parsimonious model to investigate if and when a waterbed effect may arise. It shows that the effect may arise through optimal pricing behaviour, but that this critically depends on the nature of upstream technology, downstream competition and consumer demand. In particular, downstream competition tends to work against a waterbed effect, but convex upstream costs support the effect. The analysis is complementary to recent academic work on the waterbed effect that focuses on bargaining constraints.     

The link between corporate social responsibility and customer loyalty: Empirical evidence from the Islamic banking industry

Increased support from customers for Islamic financial services is very important to create resilience and competitiveness in the Islamic banking industry. By highlighting certain social activities, this paper estimates the role of Islamic banks’ CSR in influencing customer loyalty, both individually and through the integrated roles of image, trust, satisfaction, and reputation. These paths explore how CSR makes customers impressed, convinced, satisfied, amazed, and ultimately loyal to Islamic banks. The empirical analysis of partial least square structural equation modeling (n = 283) has shown that CSR directly and positively impacts loyalty. Indirectly, these two aspects have an insignificant relationship through the serial roles of image-reputation and satisfaction-reputation, but significant through the single role of reputation and the serial role of trust-reputation. This study has resulted in an updated prediction model of Islamic banking customer loyalty. The practical implication lies in the importance of developing CSR to generate trust and reputation which ultimately increase customer loyalty toward Islamic banks.     

中国海关总署网站对外传播现状与建议——基于语料库的英语新闻翻译研究

海关总署网站英语新闻是中国海关对外传播的重要渠道,海关的机构特性决定了海关新闻的对外传播不能简单因循社会新闻翻译规范,而需为海关职能服务。利用语料库翻译研究法,可基于同类文本语料库的对比,分析文本特色,并对此现象背后的译者行为、驱动规范进行分析。因此,要了解海关总署网站的对外传播现状,可运用语料库分析软件从海关英语新闻语料库提取主题词,依据扎根理论进行三级编码,并与可比语料库主题词表相对照,完成当前对外传播现状的特色分析以及编译者在选材、编辑和转译环节的行为潜模式描写,并以系统、关联的视角析出行为背后的理念规范,从而有针对性地提供参考建议。