房价预期与城镇居民家庭股市参与——理论探讨与微观经验证据

本文基于中国家庭金融调查数据,通过构建理论模型和实证检验分析了房价预期与家庭股市参与的关系,考察了行为金融偏差在房价预期影响股市参与过程中的作用,并根据背景风险、社会网络和户主特征进行异质性分析。结果表明:(1)房价上涨预期通过降低居民家庭的股票收益率预期和增加住房资产,进而降低居民家庭的股市参与概率和参与程度;(2)“心理账户”以及“有限关注”的存在显著弱化了房价上涨预期对家庭股市参与的负向作用;(3)房价上涨预期对股市参与概率和参与程度的负向作用在收入风险更高、健康状况更差、社会网络水平较低以及受教育程度偏低的家庭中更大。因此,稳定房价预期能够通过提升家庭股市参与,进而从需求角度促进股票市场的健康发展。     

资产财富和居民消费——来自中国省际面板数据的经验证据

随着"双循环"发展战略的提出，如何提升我国居民消费成为研究热点。与已有研究不同，文章首先从省际视角研究了居民消费行为的影响因素，证实了金融资产和住房资产分别对消费产生的促进作用和抑制作用，且金融资产的促进作用大于住房资产的抑制作用。其次，文章探讨了两种资产对不同种类消费品的影响，金融资产增加主要促进教育娱乐医疗等改善性消费，住房资产增加则主要抑制基本品消费。最后，文章对不同省份居民消费的影响因素进行异质性分析，发现金融资产对消费的促进作用随收入、资产增加先上升后下降，而住房资产对消费的抑制作用随收入、资产增加先上升后下降，金融资产和住房资产在东部地区影响小于西部地区，且受区域教育、人口和收入结构影响。综上来看，提升居民收入水平，改善居民收入结构，控制房价过度上涨，改善资本市场在资产分配中的作用，加大政府在教育、医疗、养老等公共服务方面的投入能够有效改善家庭资产结构，提升居民消费水平。     

不同风险特征下国企混改对企业创新绩效的影响——资源效应与制度效应视角

国企混改对创新绩效的影响可以从资源效应与制度效应两个方面加以阐释：一方面，国企通过获得互补性资源提升创新能力；另一方面，国企通过融合非国有股东制度活力激发创新动机。基于2013—2019年A股国有上市公司数据验证混改程度对国企创新效率的影响关系，并证实不同内部经营风险与外部竞争风险下，国有股比例对创新绩效具有差异化影响。结果发现：国有股权比例较低的股权结构，有利于发挥非国有资本的差异化制度优势，国有股权比例较高的股权结构，有利于发挥国有股东的资源优势。国企经营风险过高或市场竞争风险过低，能够强化国有股权与创新绩效的U型关系。分组研究结果显示，国有非制造企业股权与创新绩效呈U型关系，而国有制造企业中二者关系不显著。结论可为分类推进国企混改，提升国企创新绩效提供参考。     

Restraining ICANN: An analysis of OFAC sanctions and their impact on the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers

The Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN) has long played a crucial role in coordinating some aspects of the domain name system (DNS) and managing domain names and Internet Protocol Addresses. In 2016, ICANN underwent a significant transformation when completing the IANA Transition, aimed at securing the corporation's independence from U.S. government oversight. However, while the transition marked a pivotal moment in ICANN's history, the corporation still operates within U.S. jurisdiction. This situation makes ICANN subject to compliance with the U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctions programs, impeding the corporation from contracting and accrediting gTLD registries and registrars from countries currently targeted by OFAC, as well as individuals or entities included in OFAC's «Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons» (SDN) list. This article explores the implications of the IANA Transition, the constraints that OFAC exerts on ICANN operations, and the complexities surrounding potential solutions to the OFAC sanctions quandary.     

The positive side of bank wealth management products: Evidence from bank lending rate

The systemic risk and negative social impacts from bank-issued wealth management products (WMPs) are well studied by scholars and practitioners in China. Using hand-collected bank data, we find that WMPs help reduce banks’ cost of funds, which is then passed on to their borrowers as lower borrowing cost. This finding shows an upside of this controversial but increasingly popular bank product. We propose four mechanisms through which WMPs can lower banks’ cost of funds: structural change in deposits, cross-subsidization, liquidity effect, and related-party transactions. We find supporting evidence for those mechanisms, and their effects vary across state-owned, joint-stock, and city commercial banks. Those variations are consistent with the unique characteristics of each bank group. We further explore the competition for capital between state-owned and non-state-owned banks. The results suggest that state-owned banks offer significantly higher interest rates for deposits as non-state-owned banks expand in the same region. WMP issuance is likely a differentiation strategy in response to the competition for deposits.     

宜控还是宜参？国有股权与民营企业双元创新：逆向混改视角

国有资本逆向入股民营企业追求“国民”间长期合作而不是短期机会主义行为。基于引入国有股权的民营上市公司数据进行实证检验，结果表明，参股性国有股权对民营企业渐进式创新和颠覆式创新均具有促进作用，而控股性国有股权则不利于民营企业双元创新。进一步分析发现，市场化程度越高，参股性国有股权对民营企业双元创新能力的促进作用越强，而控股性国有股权对民营企业双元创新能力的抑制作用越弱。市场化程度对国有股权的创新效应具有“扬长避短”之效。在采用替换核心变量和变量滞后取值等方法进行稳健性检验后，上述结论依然成立。结论可为推进国有资本监管改革和深化混合所有制改革提供理论与实证依据。