Optimum currency areas and the European experience

Across nations or regions, the debate on optimum exchange rate cum monetary policies is not yet resolved on three levels. First is the optimum domain of fixed exchange rates versus keeping them flexible. Second is the subordinate debate on whether one needs full monetary union (as in continental Europe) to secure an optimum currency area's internal domain; or, whether virtually fixed exchange rates — where national currencies remain in circulation — can be sufficient. Third is whether a regional grouping of economies with close trade ties (as in East Asia) gain by collectively pegging to an outside currency such as the US dollar. Using an axiomatic approach, which limits the set of cross‐country financial claims to what is feasible, I analyse how best to both share and reduce macroeconomic risks on these three levels. JEL classification: F31, F36.     

中国农村金融组织生存、变迁及发展

由于农业的弱质性及在国民经济发展中的基础地位，农村金融组织在农村经济及整个国民经济稳定发展中发挥着不可或缺的作用。中国农村金融组织也有一个生存、发展的制度变迁过程。本文在研究了合作经济及农村金融组织在农村经济发展中的作用的基础上，重点研究了法国的农村金融体系在法国国民经济中的作用，并进一步探讨了中国农村金融组织的生存条件、制度变迁及发展。     

珍惜和发展中俄战略协作伙伴关系

中俄关系经历了苏联时期和后苏联时期两个大的时期以及结盟、对立、关系正常化和不断提升与发展四个阶段,迄今已经成为面向21世纪的战略协作伙伴关系.这种关系本质上是双方国家战略利益相互借重的关系,在发展双边关系中,要扩大彼此国家利益的共同性,理性认识和妥善处理彼此国家利益的层次性和差异性,不断夯实战略协作伙伴关系的物质基础和社会基础.     

西部地方政府在西部大开发中如何落实科学发展观

坚持以人为本，树立全面、协调、可持续的发展观，是党的十六大提出的促进经济社会和人的全面发展的科学发展观。在西部大开发中，西部地方政府应把社会结构、人类发展与宏观经济作为一个整体来考虑；确立新的开发目标；整合新的扶贫思路；成为为市场服务的主体。     

日本政府新世纪的农业策略与启示

新世纪伊始，日本政府出台了一系列承前启后的农业策略，主要体现在农业保护、农业立法、粮食安全、比较优势、有机农业和饮食结构等方面，鉴于中日两囤三农领域较多的相似之处，这些策略对当前我国政府发展农业、改造农村、扶助农民等极富有启示意义，     

第三方物流企业内部控制要素的建立策略

第三方物流企业作为一种新型行业，企业的发展已越来越受到企业内部控制薄弱瓶颈的制约．借鉴企业内部控制理论最新成果——企业风险管理框架（ERM）八要素理论建立和完善第三方物流企业内部控制，对该行业做优做强有着深刻的现实意义。     

What Prompts the People＇s Bank of China to Change Its Monetary Policy Stance？ Evidence from a Discrete Choice Model

In the present paper, we model the policy stance of the People＇s Bank of China （PBC） as a latent variable, and the discrete changes in the reserve requirement ratio, policy interest rates, and the scale of open market operations are taken as signals of movement of this latent variable. We run a discrete choice regression that relates these observed indicators of policy stance to major trends of macroeconomic and financial developments, which are represented by common factors extracted from a large number of variables. The predicted value of the estimated model can then be interpreted as the implicit policy stance of the PBC. In a second step, we estimate how much of the variation in the PBC＇ s implicit stance can be explained by measures of its policy objectives on inflation, growth and financial stability. We find that deviations of CPI inflation from an implicit target and deviations of broad money growth from the announced targets, but not output gaps, figure significantly in the PBC＇s policy changes.     

Stock price reactions to earnings announcements: evidence from Chinese markets

We examine the stock price reactions to changes in earnings per share (EPS) in the Chinese stock markets. We find that domestic A-share investors do not correctly anticipate the changes in earnings and fail to adjust new earnngs information quickly, but international B-share investors can predict earnings changes better than A-share investors. As a result, abnormal returns (ARs) can be obtained by trading on the earnings information, but for A shares only. An explanation is that most A-share holders are individuals with short-term investment horizon while most B-share holders are large institutions that trade on more detailed and accurate financial information not immediately available to A-share holders.     

企业人力资源动态策略管理

从稀缺性、难以模仿性、不可替代性三个角度论述特殊人力资源是现代企业的核心战略资源,依高层管理者具备的不同管理理念及企业所处的不同发展模式指出对企业的人力资源必须实行动态策略管理,并有针对性地提出人力资源部门的具体设置与运作方式。     

一个培育我国外贸新增长点的设想--发展环渤海区域外贸城市群

对外贸易的拉动作用是实现我国十六大经济增长目标的重要保证。但是，反观当前的国内外环境，我国进出口贸易的发展遇到了诸多困难。欲解决这些问题，必须进行制度创新，其中培育城市群是一种可行的办法。而环渤海区域以其特有优势，成为培育对外贸易城市群的首选。为此，我国需要在环渤海区域大力发展高新技术产业，培育产业集群，引导民营企业发展，以及发挥政府的政策作用。