金融中介理论的发展：一个综述

早期金融中介思想主要在宏观上注重金融中介对经济发展的作用,把其理解为信用媒介和信用创造机构;传统金融中介理论提出了金融中介具有＂资产转换＂功能,推动了金融中介理论研究转移到其自身内在的功能;以交易费用理论和委托代理理论及其分析范式的应用为代表的金融中介理论,从内生经济角度回答了其产生和发展的主题,成为现代金融中介理论的代表性理论。     

烟台市国有资产经济效益的评估与变化研究

为全面揭示烟台市国有资产经济效益的变化,建立了包括投资效果系数、比较效果系数、国有资产产值率和国有资产利润率在内的指标体系,采用熵值赋权法确定了4个指标的权重,所得权重大小与主观定性判断相一致;这说明了指标体系以及熵值确权方法的科学性。结果显示:烟台市国有资产经济效益呈现波动上升态势,但对比与全国并不具有明显优势,相对山东而言具有一定优势。研究认为,山东和烟台都需进一步提高国有资产管理水平和经济效益。     

金融商品交易视域下的次贷危机原因及立法启示

美国次贷危机的发生无疑具有复杂性,是多因素共同作用的结果。从根本上说,次贷危机是美国新自由主义经济政策和宽松的货币政策的产物。但是,从金融商品交易的角度出发,资产支持证券等衍生性金融商品的过度发展以及金融监管制度的缺失是构成美国次贷危机的重要原因。次贷危机后,加强金融商品交易的场外监管、功能监管,增强市场透明度,增进监管合作已经成为各国监管改革的重点。     

Have We Underestimated the Likelihood and Severity of Zero Lower Bound Events?

Prior to the financial crisis, most economists probably did not view the zero lower bound (ZLB) as a major problem for central banks. Using a range of structural and statistical models, we find that previous research understated the ZLB threat by ignoring uncertainty about model parameters and latent variables, focusing too much on the Great Moderation experience, and relying on structural models whose dynamics cannot generate sustained ZLB episodes. Our analysis also suggests that the Federal Reserve's asset purchases, while materially improving macroeconomic conditions, did not prevent the ZLB constraint from having first‐order adverse effects on real activity and inflation.     

Risk and the cross section of stock returns

This paper mathematically transforms unobservable rational expectation equilibrium model parameters (information precision and supply uncertainty) into a single variable that is correlated with expected returns and that can be estimated with recently observed data. Our variable can be used to explain the cross section of returns in theoretical, numerical, and empirical analyses. Using Center for Research in Security Prices data, we show that a −1σ$-1\sigma$ to +1σ$+1\sigma$ change in our variable is associated with a 0.31% difference in average returns the following month (equaling 3.78% per annum). The results are statistically significant at the 1% level. Our results remain economically and statistically significant after controlling for stocks' market capitalizations, book-to-market ratios, liquidities, and the probabilities of information-based trading.     

What drives firms’ intent to seek strategic assets by foreign direct investment? A study of emerging economy firms

What drives firms, particularly those from emerging economies, to engage in competitive catch-up with world leaders? We study the first step leading to catch-up, namely the managerial intent to acquire strategic assets that help closing the gap. Theoretically grounded in the awareness–motivation–capability (AMC) framework of competitive dynamics, we identify key factors contributing to firms’ strategic intent to catch-up by acquiring strategic assets abroad. Using a sample of 154 Chinese firms, we find that firms’ strategic assets seeking intent of foreign direct investment is influenced by their exposure to foreign competition, their governance structure, and relevant financial and managerial capabilities.     

论契约型资管产品的增值税纳税人资格

关于管理人运用契约型资管产品销售金融商品,以管理人为其增值税纳税人的安排,悖离了交易逻辑,致使管理人权责配置严重失衡.对此,应赋予契约型资管产品以增值税纳税人资格,将其设置为该交易的增值税纳税人.基于功能主义范式,从实现纳税人应有的制度功能角度出发,有必要赋予契约型资管产品以增值税纳税人资格.而监管规则对契约型资管产品...     

有政府的动态资产定价模型

文章建立了一个有政府的动态资产定价模型.政府被模型化为具有垄断力量的市场参与者,它可以利用自己的税收和交易行为影响市场.我们求解了一个政府先行,私人跟随的均衡,得到了一个资产定价的双因子(总消费因子和税收因子)模型.文章证明:资产的超额收益不但取决于与总消费的相关性,还受与政府税收相关性的影响;资本市场的波动行为依赖于税收的随机模式.我们的模型预言,在一个政府作用比较大的经济体里,如果忽略政府的作用,单因子的ICAPM可能低估均衡的股权超额收益.同没有政府的经济相比,有政府经济中风险资产的波动率会更高.分析还表明:在动态资产定价模型中引入政府行为是可能的.     

关于国有商业银行信贷资产风险管理的战略思考

加强信贷资产的风险管理水平,提高资产质量,防范和化解不良资产是国有商业银行增强赢利能力、提高竞争力的重要手段,也是国有商业银行目前的首要任务.本文从经济金融全球化对国有商业银行信贷风险管理的影响出发,提出国有商业银行要树立正确的风险管理观念,并设计了国有商业银行信贷风险管理的若干原则、总体框架和战略步骤.为配合国有商业银行信贷资产风险管理战略的实施,作者还提出了以下改革举措,包括:调整信贷内部结构;再造信贷管理流程;创新不良资产处置方式;正确选择和安排财务策略;建立信息和法律支撑平台、激励和处罚体系及信贷风险文化等.