国防科技工业发展战略性新兴产业的路径选择

文章系统分析了国防科技工业在发展战略性新兴产业中的地位作用,明确提出了新一代信息技术、高端装备制造、新能源、新材料、节能环保等国防科技工业发展战略性新兴产业的五大领域与重点任务,并从发挥军民两用高技术优势、创新产业发展模式、加强产学研商全方位结合、创建军民结合产业基地等方面对国防科技工业发展战略性新兴产业的路径进行了探究。     

国防支出与经济增长的关系研究——基于中国、日本、韩国的实证分析

文章使用Enders-Siklos不对称门槛共整合模型,检定中国、日本及韩国的经济增长与国防支出之间不对称的长期均衡关系,并以门槛误差修正模型(T-ECM)探讨三国的经济增长与国防支出之间领先-落后的因果关系,以及长期均衡关系调整的不对称性。经研究发现:第一,采用Enders-Siklos不对称门槛共整合检定,发现中国、韩国的经济增长与国防支出之间存在不对称的共整合关系,日本的经济增长与国防支出之间具有对称的共整合关系;第二,由Granger因果关系检定,发现韩国、中国的经济增长与其国防支出之间存在有不对称的长期性领先-落后关系,日本的经济增长与国防支出不存在长期性因果关系;第三,由Granger因果关系检定,发现中国的经济增长与国防支出之间存在短期的双向因果互动关系,而日本、韩国则是经济增长单向领先其国防支出。     

法经济学视野下的违约归责原则

法经济学分析表明,由于注意标准模糊,过失责任规则可能导致无效率和不公平的结果,违约归责应采用具有共同过失抗辩的严格责任规则.鉴于违约责任的特殊性,应利用可预见性规则和守约人减损义务规则,将守约人的过失限定在不适当地扩大违约损失这种特殊情况.这不仅可以避免违约人逃避责任的可能性,同时也避免了补偿悖论问题.     

Playing safe in coordination games:: the roles of risk dominance, payoff dominance, and history of play

This paper presents results from a series of experiments designed to test the impact on subject behavior of changes in the risk dominance and payoff dominance characteristics of two player coordination games. The main finding is that changes in risk dominance significantly affect play of the subjects, whereas changes in the level of payoff dominance do not. Observed history of play also has an important influence on subject behavior, both when subjects are randomly rematched after each game and when they remain matched with the same individual for a sequence of games.     

关于辩护律师保密权的若干问题研究

世界各国法律几乎都规定辩护律师对其在执业过程中所知悉的秘密负有保密义务,中国也不例外。有些国家在规定辩护律师（下文所称的律师均指辩护律师）保密义务的同时也赋予他们一定的保密权利,而中国法律仅仅强调律师的保密义务而未明确规定律师的保密权。因此,应当具体分析中国存在的有关律师保密问题的立法缺陷,通过学习并借鉴有关国家的先进规定,从而提出完善中国律师保密权制度的建议。     

An improved bootstrap test of stochastic dominance

We propose a new method of testing stochastic dominance that improves on existing tests based on the standard bootstrap or subsampling. The method admits prospects involving infinite as well as finite dimensional unknown parameters, so that the variables are allowed to be residuals from nonparametric and semiparametric models. The proposed bootstrap tests have asymptotic sizes that are less than or equal to the nominal level uniformly over probabilities in the null hypothesis under regularity conditions. This paper also characterizes the set of probabilities so that the asymptotic size is exactly equal to the nominal level uniformly. As our simulation results show, these characteristics of our tests lead to an improved power property in general. The improvement stems from the design of the bootstrap test whose limiting behavior mimics the discontinuity of the original test’s limiting distribution.     

地下人防工程结构内力计算的特点

简要介绍了人防结构的设计特点,分析了关于等效静荷载的设计概念,并探讨几种人防结构构件上的荷载取值方法。     

高校国防教育中大学生抢险救灾意识与能力的培养

本文从我国当前所处的国际、国内政治环境以及"国家安全"的关注点出发,阐述了我国高校国防教育中加强大学生抢险救灾意识与能力培养的必要性与现实性,并简要分析了加强大学生抢险救灾意识与能力培养应注意的几个问题。     

Changes in risk and strategic interaction

In this paper we study the comparative statics of Nth degree stochastic dominance shifts in a large class of non-cooperative games. We consider symmetric equilibria as well as asymmetric equilibria in which the risk changes are idiosyncratic and not necessarily of the same stochastic order. Furthermore, we establish conditions for risk changes to produce multiplier effects on equilibrium strategies. Finally, we evaluate the comparative statics of stochastic dominance shifts in supermodular games, which may feature multiple equilibria and non-convex strategy sets.     

ON THE “PRO‐POORNESS” OF GROWTH IN A MULTIDIMENSIONAL CONTEXT

This paper represents a first attempt to bring together the issues of multidimensional poverty and growth “pro‐poorness” assessments. More specifically, we suggest the use of sequential dominance procedures to test the “pro‐poorness” of observed growth spells when poverty is measured on the basis of income and another discrete well‐being attribute. Sequential procedures are also used to obtain graphical tools that are consistent with the spirit of Ravallion and Chen's growth incidence curve and Son's poverty growth curve. Contrary to traditional unidimensional tests, our method makes it possible to take into account the importance of deprivation correlations at the individual level and thus may reverse results observed with the traditional tools used to check the “pro‐poorness” of growth. An illustration of our approach is given using Turkish data for the period 2003–05.