Linking of sample data to small areas

We consider methods for estimating the means of survey variables in domains of a finite population, where sample sizes are too small to obtain reliable direct estimates. We construct generalized compositions from the direct and traditional design-based synthetic estimators and propose the methodology for evaluating their coefficients. This methodology measures similarities among sample elements and estimates of the domain means. We propose the compositions for two cases of auxiliary information: domain-level characteristics are available; true means of auxiliary variables are available for the estimation domains, and unit-level auxiliary vectors are known for the sample elements. In the simulation study, we show where the generalized compositions improve the traditional synthetic and composite estimators.     

西北干旱区引水枢纽工程设计

本文着重介绍了引水枢纽各主要建筑物设计原理以及主要的设计内容,希望能为读者提供启示和帮助。     

Revising the European Central Bank’s fiscal rules to support growth and employment

Abstract

The paper presents a reform proposal for the operations of the European Central Bank (ECB) whose purpose is to create a common set of risk-free assets for financial institutions operating in the euro area (EA), which is the necessary condition for having a single internal financial market. The proposal does not require the introduction of changes in the existing European Union treaties. The effects of this reform on the debt dynamic of EA member countries permit a revision of the existing fiscal rules. With the help of some simulations, it is shown that maintaining compliance with the European treaties, the reform of the ECB operations and revised fiscal rules would transform the current fiscal deflationary stance into a reflationary one. Some implications for aggregate demand and growth for the EA are briefly discussed.     

试论房地产面积测绘的结果和质量管理

本文通过对房地产面积测绘内容的分析,提出了相关的优化房地产面积测绘的措施及其质量管理。     

强化油田矿区服务质量监督机制的对策研究

针对油田矿区服务质量监督制度、方法、措施存在的滞后状况,以现代化先进服务理念为指导,加大服务质量监督力度为对策,通过改进服务监督方法,转变服务作风,提高了矿区整体服务水平的针对性、科学性和实效性。     

The Latvian Road to the Euro

The article presents the situation in Latvia ahead of the country＇s adoption of the euro by offering an analysis of the extent to which the country is prepared for the move and of general economic difficulties as well as indicating possible threats to its future development. The article talks about difficulties caused by the great unemployment connected with the specific economy of the country, political problems of the post-socialistic multinational country and steps done towards the fulfilling of all the convergence criteria. Its aim is to present the moments around the change of the currency which is done by the material＇s analysis because there are not enough statistical data for the mathematical analysis. It can be concluded that the adoption of the euro will probably be beneficial in the long run for Latvia＇s economy. The conclusions may be done by comparison with the situation of Estonia and its foreign trade with Poland which is shown in the article because there are a lot of similarities between the two Baltic countries.     

Anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area: Recent evidence based on survey data

This article analyses the anchoring of inflation expectations of professional forecasters and consumers in the euro area. We study anchoring, defined as the central bank's ability to manage expectations, by paying special attention to the impact of the ECB inflation target and ECB inflation projections on inflation expectations. Our analysis indicates that in the post-crisis period longer-term inflation expectations have become somewhat more sensitive to shorter-term ones and to actual HICP inflation. We also find that the ECB inflation projections have recently become more important for short- and medium-term expectations of professional forecasters and at the same time the role of the ECB inflation target for those expectations has diminished. Overall, our analysis suggests that in recent years inflation expectations in the euro area have shown some signs of de-anchoring.     

我国台湾地区儿童福利问题研究

儿童是社会的未来，是民族的希望。儿童福利是社会福利的重要组成部分，在经济高速发展的当今社会，福利体系的建设中儿童福利的发展与完善显得尤为迫切。笔者通过对儿童福利事业发展较为先进的台湾地区进行研究，从法律和政策、行政体系、发展趋势等几个方面进行剖析，最终分析台湾地区儿童福利发展对我国相关问题上的启发，以期对我国儿童福利体系建设起到积极作用。     

内陆开放型经济试验区引入信用评级机构的相关问题研究

信用评级具有减少信息不对称、实现社会资源优化配置、促进经济良性发展的润滑剂作用,因此,宁夏内陆开放型经济试验区引入信用评级机构十分必要。结合宁夏实际,分析信用评级机构的发展模式,认为内陆开放型经济试验区引入信用评级机构应当采取＂政府推动、市场运作、人行监管＂模式,并且引入后应从提升业务人员水平、完善监管方法、加强业务指导等方面,推动信用评级机构健康发展。     

长株潭地区失地农民权益保障现状、问题及对策

伴随长株潭城市群的发展,不可避免地产生了失地农民这一弱势群体。对长株潭地区失地农民的生活、工作、保险与医疗保障方面的现状调查与分析表明,失地农民保障存在方式单一,力度不够,内容和体系不健全,保障缺乏长远性、层次性与差异性等问题,需要采取多元化的保障方式,提高保障力度、完善保障体系等措施加以解决。