对人民币汇率和通货膨胀的思考

2005年7月汇改后,人民币汇率兑美元呈现加速升值的走势。与此同时,国内居民消费价格指数(CPI)上扬,人民币国内购买力呈贬值态势。物价的上涨使大多数劳动者无法从人民币汇率升值中受益,也将使人民币兑美元升值现象难以持久。本文认为在当前人民币兑美元汇率仍存在升值预期下应未雨绸缪,积极疏导流动性过剩,稳定物价水平。     

基于社会责任角度对垄断国企上缴利润的思考

垄断企业得到垄断的超额利润,会导致社会贫富差距进一步分化,造成社会福利的损失。我国垄断企业的超额利润长期稳定存在。从增加社会福利的角度考虑,应加强垄断国有企业对垄断超额利润的上缴,并构建相应的垄断国企上缴利润的制度框架,实现有效的收入再分配。这是基于社会责任对垄断国有企业提出的要求。     

商业银行流动性危机传染机理研究

银行危机传染往往给一个国家或地区的经济带来巨大的损失.不完全的银行间拆借市场中隐含了更大的银行危机传染的可能性;银行间的长期资产越多,银行间拆借的短期利率和银行间存款的长期利率越高,银行间拆借市场就越稳定,在遭受流动性冲击时,这一市场发生银行危机传染的可能性就越小.适量的银行存款对传染效应具有阻碍作用.为防范系统性风险,中国商业银行应逐步建立完备的银行间存款市场,减少政府干预,让市场约束力来强化商业银行的风险管理意识.     

Liquidity Provision of Limit Order Trading in the Futures Market Under Bull and Bear Markets

Abstract:  This study investigates how limit orders affect liquidity in a purely order-driven futures market. Additionally, the possible asymmetric relationship between market depth and transitory volatility in bull and bear markets and the effect of institutional trading on liquidity provision behavior are examined as well. The empirical results demonstrate that subsequent market depth increases as transient volatility increases in bull markets. Market depth exhibits significantly positive relationship to subsequent transient volatility in bull markets. Additionally, although trading volume positively influences transient volatility in bull markets, no such relationship exists in bear markets. Liquidity provision decreases when institutional trading activity intensifies during bear markets. Thus, liquidity provision for limit orders differs between bull and bear markets.     

金融资产流动性供给机制的研究

对流动性供给机制的研究成为了金融经济学中研究的一个重要课题。流动性的供给是金融体系的基本功能,本文主要针对金融资产的流动性供给模式及其有效性等问题,集中归类地介绍了国内外的主要研究成果。     

Consumption and Portfolio Selection with Labor Income: A Continuous Time Approach

This paper studies the consumption and portfolio selection problem of an agent who is liquidity constrained and has uninsurable income risk. The paper investigates how the optimal consumption and asset allocation policies deviate from the case where the financial market is perfect, i.e., the case where there are no liquidity constraints and uninsurable income risk. In particular, the paper shows that, for a given level of financial wealth and labor income, optimal consumption is smaller and the optimal level of risk taking is lower in the case where the agent is liquidity constrained and has uninsurable income risk than in the case where the financial market is perfect. The paper also discusses how the agent assesses the value of lifetime labor income and relates this evaluation to optimal consumption and asset allocation policies.     

农信社银行间市场业务的发展状况与思考

近年来，我国银行间市场发展迅速，农村信用社改革试点工作也取得重大进展，但农村信用社银行间市场参与度普遍较低。文章以山东省内7个市地65家农村信用社为研究对象，深入分析影响其银行间市场业务发展的各种制约性因素，并在转变观念、完善体制和机制、加强政策指导和推动业务协作等方面提出了改进建议。     

MODELING LIQUIDITY EFFECTS IN DISCRETE TIME

We study optimal portfolio choices for an agent with the aim of maximizing utility from terminal wealth within a market with liquidity costs. Under some mild conditions, we show the existence of optimal portfolios and that the marginal utility of the optimal terminal wealth serves as a change of measure to turn the marginal price process of the optimal strategy into a martingale. Finally, we illustrate our results numerically in a Cox–Ross–Rubinstein binomial model with liquidity costs and find the reservation ask prices for simple European put options.     

Liquidity provision and optimal bank regulation

We extend the set of regulatory instruments for banks' liquidity provision by adding a policy instrument for controlling the fraction of perfectly-liquid accounts. We demonstrate how this instrument induces self-selection on behalf of depositors who are differentiated according to their probability of facing a liquidity shock. This self-selection leads to a market segmentation, which can break the bundling of deposits with liquidity risk and, thereby, enhance welfare. The optimal regulatory policy is explicitly characterized as a function of banks' investment return, and of depositors' gain from early withdrawals to fund a realized investment opportunity.     

网络组织超额利润分配研究

网络组织合作模式能够为网络成员带来超额利润（网络租金）,然而目前关于网络成员如何分配超额利润的问题仍是一个“黑箱”,基于此,本文对网络组织超额利润分配问题进行了探讨。在“最大化馅饼”原则下,超额利润分配存在最优比例,企业所处资源位越高,能分得的份额越高。进一步分析表明,知识溢出难易度可通过影响企业所处资源位影响超额利润分配,较高的知识溢出难度为高资源位企业提供了壁垒效应,强化了其优势地位,使其能分得更多的超额利润。为验证上述假设,本文以《世界企业研发投入排名Top1500》中2007～2011年的企业为样本进行了计量检验。最后提出了相应建议。