关于人民币远期定价权问题的研究

本文通过静态及动态的两类模型对人民币远期定价权问题进行了研究。结果表明,我国人民币远期市场尚未摆脱境外NDF市场的影响,NDF市场仍是影响人民币远期定价的主要因素。而2005年8月以来我国外汇市场推出的各项改革措施,使得基于利率平价的定价机制开始在人民币利率的决定中发生作用;我国人民币远期市场定价机制尚未实现从基于预期的定价机制向利率平价的转变,我国银行间人民币远期市场尚未掌握人民币远期定价的主导权,但基于利率平价的人民币远期定价机制在人民币远期定价中所起的作用越来越显著。在此基础上,本文提出了相应的政策建议。     

中国金融改革中的金融脆弱性问题研究

金融脆弱性问题是中国金融改革中必须正确认识的问题,通过对金融脆弱性问题的解决实现化解金融风险。降低金融危机的发生。本文通过对金融脆弱性的基本内涵、基本观点、金融脆弱性的根源以及我国金融体系脆弱性表现,对金融脆弱性问题进行了分析与研究。     

基于交换关系的薪酬解释

薪酬是雇佣双方进行交换的价值尺度。因此，从这种意义上讲，薪酬代表了雇佣双方基于雇佣合同的一种交换关系，这种交换关系可以从经济学、心理学、社会学、政治学等角度分别进行解释，薪酬交换关系的解释对企业建立薪酬制度有重要的现实指导意义。     

关于人民币汇率和人民币国际化问题的一些思考

本文就人民币汇率和人民币国际化问题进行了探讨,认为随着中国经济实力的上升,人民币汇率形成的市场化、人民币的国际化和资本账户的开放是必然趋势,就中国目前的情况看,已经具备了推进这一进程的基本条件。人民币汇率形成机制改革、人民币国际化和资本账户开放对于全球和中国经济社会的平衡、健康发展具有重要意义。     

人民币可能发展成为世界货币之一

本提出人民币可能发展成为世界货币之一的论点。为了说明这一论点，本分析了人民币发展成为世界货币必须具备的条件，如发展成世界货币可能带来的好处和问题。章与几种不同的看法商榷之后，指出对人民币可能发展成为世界货币的问题，应持支持的态度并在条件成熟后采取措施加以促进。     

产权性质、会计-税收差异与审计收费——来自中国A股上市公司的经验证据

］通过考察注册会计师对审计服务定价时是否考虑会计利润与应纳税所得额之间差异（以下简称“会计-税收差异”）所包含的财务信息,研究发现会计-税收差异与审计收费显著正相关。进一步区分产权性质后发现,对于国有控股上市公司来说,会计-税收差异与审计收费正相关,但这种相关性并不显著;而对于民营上市公司来说,会计-税收差异与审计收费显著正相关。研究结果表明,会计-税收差异会影响注册会计师对审计风险的判断,进而通过增加审计程序来降低审计风险,提高审计收费。且在审计定价时,对于不同产权性质的公司,注册会计师差别对待了会计-税收差异中所包含的信息。     

What Determines Real Exchange Rates? The Nordic Countries

The model derived in this paper yields testable implications concerning the long‐run co‐movements of real exchange rates, relative labor productivity, the trade balance and terms of trade. Countries with relatively higher output growth, trade deficits or improved terms of trade are found to have more appreciated real exchange rates, with the main channel of transmission working through the relative price of nontraded goods. Exogenous terms‐of‐trade shocks are found to be the most important determinant of long‐run movements in the real exchange rate for Denmark and Norway, while demand shocks account for most of the long‐run variance in the real exchange rate for Finland and Sweden.     

固定汇率体系下的货币政策:对未来中国货币政策的探讨

Using a macro dynamic model that is specified for the current Chinese economy, we investigate the monetary policy in China under the assumption that the capital market was “open” under WTO frame-work while the exchange rate was fixed. Our purpose here is to find whether it is possible for China in this case to keep the effective monetary policy for stabilizing the domestic economy. For this, we suggest some institutional arrangements (or restrictions). Given these institutional restrictions, we find that not only the monetary policy can still be effective but also the fixed exchange regime will strengthen the macroeconomic stability shared by both the domestic economy and the economy of its trade partners. The dynamic analysis of the model further shows that the under-valued RMB is necessary for the target exchange rate to be sustainable. Finally, due to the import pattern of the current Chinese economy, RMB appreciation will not help to resolve the trade deficit problem in the Western economy with respect to China.      

Industry risk transmission channels and the spillover effects of specific determinants in China’s stock market: A spatial econometrics approach

This paper uses a spatial econometrics approach to study the industry risks in China’s stock market. We comprehensively consider the real linkage and information risk transmission channels and analyze the risk spillovers of specific determinants. Our empirical results show the following: 1) The real linkage channel and information channel are both effective transmission channels for driving spillover effects, and the information channel is of the utmost importance. 2) The spillover effects of specific determinants exist and are persistent. The superposition of spillover effects may lead to extreme risk. 3) The transmission channels and spillover effects are asymmetric in different regimes.     

2014年2月国际金融市场运行综述

2014年2月,美元指数振荡走低;主要货币短期利率基本持平;主要国家中长期国债收益率先升后降;主要股指大幅上涨。