我国当前运动心理咨询中存在的问题探析

从上个世纪八十年代开始,我国开始关注运动员的心理状态,从1986年的我国第六届全运会第一次设立心理咨询机构,到2007年我国第一批运动心理咨询专家获得认证。我国运动心理咨询领域在这二十几年中得到了一定的发展。但是,相较于国外成熟完善的运动心理咨询体系,我国现有的运动心理咨询还存在一些不足。本文作者通过分析我国目前运动心理咨询中存在的问题,旨在促进我国运动心理咨询的发展,进而更好地提高我国运动员的心理素质,为运动员们在世界性范围内的体育比赛中取得优异成绩做好充足准备。     

Bailout uncertainty in a microfounded general equilibrium model of the financial system

This paper develops a micro-founded general equilibrium model of the financial system composed of ultimate borrowers, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood of governmental bailouts on leverage, interest rates, the volume of defaults and the real economy. The distinction between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the multiple priors framework to beliefs about the probability of bailout.Results of the analysis include: (i) An unanticipated increase in bailout uncertainty raises interest rates, the volume of defaults in both the real and financial sectors and may lead to a total drying up of credit markets. (ii) Lower exante bailout uncertainty is conducive to higher leverage, which in turn raises moral hazard and makes the economy more vulnerable to expost increases in bailout uncertainty. (iii) Bailout uncertainty affects the likelihood of bubbles, the amplitude of booms and busts as well as the banking and the credit spreads. (iv) Higher bailout uncertainty is associated with higher returns’ variability in diversified portfolios and higher systemic risks, (v) Pre-crisis expansionary monetary policy reinforces those effects by inducing higher aggregate leverage levels. (vi) The larger the change in bailout uncertainty and the change in aversion to this uncertainty, the stronger the pre-crisis buildup and the deeper the ensuing crisis.A central policy implication of the analysis is that the vaguest is bailout policy prior to a crisis, the lower is the magnitude of investments destroyed or missed due to errors in evaluating bailout and other intervention policies. On the other hand, the clearer is bailout policy upon the eruption of a crisis, the smaller the contraction of credit and the destruction of investment activity.     

La gestión mecanicista de las Instituciones de Educación Superior: un estudio desde la modelación sistémica

The bureaucratic tendencies to organize work in Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) of which facilitates personnel control and the mechanical ways to measure educational content are the ones that shatter education in pieces, under the hierarchy criterion, also shattering the professor's labor. This organizational method results in an incompetent education, leaving very negative consequences for teaching development. We address this problem by using systemic modeling and Structural Equations Systems (SEM) to confirm hypotheses from scientific observation. It was proven that there was a negative impact of mechanistic management which affected teacher's development. This was proven in context in two HEIs located in Villahermosa (Tabasco, Mexico).     

我国农业支持与农民收入和消费的再思考——基于整体性的多变量协整系统

把农民收入和消费及财政支农和农村金融置于一个框架下进行了考察。基于1978—2008年数据拟合的多变量协整模型较好地反映了我国农村经济的特点,结果表明,农业财政和金融在长期可显著提高农民收入,金融信贷在短期可有效扩大农民消费,并且农村金融体系较好地保证了内源融资的效率;消费方程反映出我国农民消费具有短视性特点,对同期收入过度敏感。     

功能翻译理论观照下张家界景点介绍的文化术语英译

张家界景点介绍的英译对展示张家界的自然风光和风土人情,吸引海外游客起着重要作用。运用诺德的功能翻译理论对张家界景点介绍的文化术语英译进行了探讨,发现现有的译文存在文化术语误译等问题,并建议采用注释性增译、音译加意译等翻译策略对其进行改译。     

神秘文化与精神疗法：评徐小斌小说的救赎意识

在当代女作家徐小斌的小说中,逃离是女主人公在现实社会受挫后最重要的行为方式,而那些蒙着神秘文化面纱的宗教神话世界、未被现代文明污染的＂化外之境＂和摆脱了历史束缚的自然爱欲世界,则成为对主人公进行精神救赎的皈依之地。从心理学的意义看,这种奇特的逃离方式具有对病态现代人进行精神疗救的形而上色彩。然而,拨去神秘的面纱后我们发现,现代人始终无法抵达真正的灵魂栖息地,获得心的归属与庇护。     

淮钢企业物流发展存在的问题及应对策略

通过对淮钢企业物流运行现状的实地调研,明确企业物流发展的特点及存在的问题,并在综合分析沙钢集团淮钢特钢股份有限公司(以下简称淮钢)内外部物流环境现状的基础上,从建立物流组织、集成物流信息、构建电子商务平台、加强与沙钢的资源整合、推进与淮安新港的战略合作等方面对淮钢物流系统发展规划提出具体的意见措施。     

宝鸡市自发性群众体育组织发展研究

随着自发性群众体育组织的产生、发展和逐渐成熟,这种体育形式的运动在基层体育组织中的地位越来越显重要,本文通过对我市自发性群众体育组织现状的调查研究,以及通过文献资料法对我国群众体育的发展现状进行概述,可以看出自发性群众体育组织很切合我国现阶段国情,能有效促进群众体育发展,并大胆预测自发性群众体育组织将成为我国群众体育发展的领头羊。     

企业社会责任与和谐劳动关系构建

结合以SA8000标准为代表的企业社会责任运动,本文将企业的成本收益纳入分析框架,通过动态最优化博弈模型考察SA8000是否有利于改善我国转型期较紧张的企业劳动关系。研究表明,在其他条件不变的情况下,我国企业缺乏改善劳动关系的动力;SA8000的影响力、国外企业的劳动关系投入等与改善劳动关系呈正相关,而通过SA8000认证的费用与其负相关;企业利润与改善劳动关系之间并非绝对的不相容,在保证企业利润的前提下,SA8000有利于改善我国企业劳动关系。