深入学习贯彻十七大精神加强大学生思想政治教育

本文较系统地阐述了学习贯彻十七大精神,加强大学生思想政治教育工作的重要意义,分析了当前大学生思想政治教育工作的现状,探讨提出了加强和改进大学生思想政治教育工作的基本策略,旨在将大学生思想政治教育工作在巩固的基础上提高,在深入创新中发展。     

Predicting a recovery date from the economic crisis of 2008

Predicting a recovery from a crisis is always difficult, but it is particularly so with the 2008 crisis in the United States. How could a small segment of the financial markets known as subprime credit bring down the world’s largest economy into the worst recession since WWII? The resulting conflicts in policy responses are so severe that the short-term objective (recovery) clashes with the longer-term and more structural goals (governance, regulations, technology). This and the enormous uncertainties caused by it add to the difficulties to predict the pace of recovery. While the economic turnaround depends on consumers’ decision to spend and business’ decision to invest and hire, in an uncertain situation such decisions can only be taken as a result of market players’ perceptions of opportunity that depend on their emotional state and confidence. When the latter produces spontaneous urge to action (‘animal spirits’), the recovery process accelerates. Thus, the appropriate model to predict recovery should be able to incorporate such perceptions factors. By identifying and prioritizing economic and policy factors, it is shown how such a model, the Analytic Network Process (ANP), can be used to make the prediction of the recovery time of the US economy. The forecast was made during Spring 2009 by the author working with participants in a seminar of “Economics of Financial Crisis” at Cornell University. We used an expert judgment approach within the framework of a decision theory model, based on the ANP structure that captures the interplay between financial market, housing sector, and market confidence, all of which are influenced by a range of policies. It is estimated that a real sustainable recovery will begin around late July or early August 2010. While a quicker recovery is possible given the enormous size of fiscal stimulus, monetary injection and unprecedented measures of qualitative easing, it is our conjecture that the temporary nature of all these measures will make such a quick turn-around unsustainable (a double-dip recession). When sensitivity analysis was performed, it was found that altering the priorities of the policies, and their interactions with the aggregate demand components, would not significantly change the estimated time to recovery. This stability of the prediction is due to the overriding importance of restoring confidence, making the other factors less important.     

论美国创业活动和创新精神及其对中国的启示

美国经济几十年来持续而强劲增长，得益于其整个社会旺盛不衰的创业精神和千百万家小型企业生生不息的创业活动。学习美国的创新精神，借鉴美国创业活动的成功经验，对于培养千百万具有创新精神和创业能力的高素质人才，转变经济增长方式，推进国民经济可持续发展，都具有重要而深远的意义。     

中国岩画线性构形解读

岩画是远古先民镌刻在岩石上的形象史书,是历史文化的载体,民族审美的坯胎。线性构型突出体现中国岩画的审美方式:追求直观把握,整体认知的审美取向;抽取形象肌理,突出形的运动张力;简约合宜,单纯连贯;在一条条单纯的线中蕴含着生命的期许,自我的超越,睿智的性灵,以及原始思维的互渗意蕴。     

中小型白酒企业的品牌战略规划与整合营销

文章通过对一家中小型白酒企业品牌的诊断,分析了该企业品牌规划和发展依据,对企业在市场定位、核心价值等进行了阐述,提出了企业如何围绕品牌规划所采取的营销策略。