The Friday Effect in European Securitized Real Estate Index Returns

This study extends research on the day-of-the-week effect towards European real estate indices. We examine this anomaly for several European securitized real estate index returns between 1990 and 2003. Although the countries under analysis have unique country-specific patterns, we find that eight out of eleven European countries exhibit abnormally high Friday returns. Moreover, two different Europe indices also exhibit the Friday anomaly. The anomaly is robust with respect to extreme observations, alternative specifications and several well-known calendar effects.     

The Relevance of Stock and Flow-Based Reporting Information In Assessing the Likelihood of Emergence from Corporate Financial Distress

A number of recent studies have shown that earnings information is less useful and value relevant when firms are financially troubled. This finding has given rise to the consideration of alternatives. In this paper, we examine the contributions of book value-based proxies (normal earnings and abandonment value) and flow-based proxies (earnings and operating accruals) to the assessment of the likelihood of emergence from financial distress. Our prior reasoning is that while book value-based proxies may provide information about potential future cash resources, flow-based proxies, because they capture the progress of reorganization efforts underway, as opposed to mere potential, should be relatively more useful in assessing the likelihood of emergence from distress. Our findings are consistent with this explanation. We document that the primary predictors of emergence are flow-based proxies—in particular, cash from operations, net of earnings.     

银行信贷政策与产业结构调整——工商银行构建金融支持体系服务江苏产业结构调整的设想

产业结构的调整与优化是江苏“十一五”期间经济持续快速发展的重要环节，而高效的金融支持体系是确保产业结构调整优化的基本条件。本文分析了银行在产业结构调整中的作用和互动关系，考察了国内外银行调整产业结构的成功经验，围绕江苏产业结构现状及其“十一五”时期产业发展远景目标，提出了工商银行引导区域产业合理布局、促进金融产品组合创新、优化行业资金结构、开辟新的信贷市场领域、实现客户结构战略转型等支持江苏产业结构调整的金融路径；并剖析了银行在支持产业结构调整中的内外部制约因素，进一步提出了工商银行按照产业结构调整要求深化改革的内部措施和构建金融生态环境的外部建议。     

The Determinants of Corporate Trade Credit Policies in a Bank‐dominated Financial Environment: the Case of Finnish Small Firms

This paper examines trade credit policies of small firms operating in a bank‐dominated environment (Finland). We find that creditworthiness and access to capital markets are important determinants of trade credit extended by sellers. The level of purchases is positively correlated with the level of accounts payable. Larger and older firms and firms with strong internal financing are less likely to use trade credit, whereas firms with a high ratio of current assets to total assets, and firms subject to loan restructurings use it more. Negative loan decisions by financial intermediaries increase and a close bank‐borrower relationship decreases the probability that a firm does not take advantage of trade credit discounts.     

Corporate governance in a major British holding company: BSA in the interwar years

This paper uses a case study of BSA to examine corporate governance in a holding company during the interwar years. Recognised as generally progressive in its policy towards financial disclosure, nevertheless BSA attracted hostile criticism from its shareholders, showed little evidence of developing administrative coordination and provided limited detailed information concerning the performance of its subsidiaries. Voice did have an effect in changing the pattern of financial reporting, but even under the pressure of its banker, when financial circumstances deteriorated in the early 1930s, BSA was only prepared to change personnel while organisational structures remained in place.     

武汉担当中部崛起“龙头”的金融对策研究

党中央从统筹区域发展的高度，提出了“中部地区崛起”战略。武汉作为中部地区的特大型城市，担当中部崛起“龙头”既得天时，也有地利，更具人和。银行作为金融部门，支持武汉担当中部崛起“龙头”责无旁贷，其主要措施是：集合金融资源，积极支持武汉实施城市联动战略；加快金融体制创新和业务创新，积极探索和设立基金管理公司，成立中部开发银行和中部发展银行，支持国有商业银行在武汉市进行信贷资产和住房抵押贷款证券化试点，尝试资产管理公司与政府合作处理不良资产，大力发展投资银行业务等；改善金融生态环境，提高信贷政策对产业政策的敏感度和金融资源配置效率，引导金融支持的方向和力度。     

国内金融市场完全开放对国有商业银行的影响

按照入世协定书中的开放时问表，我国在入世5年后也即2006年底将实行金融业的全面开放。本文认为，我国金融市场完全开放将对国内商业银行带来深远影响：一是在政策层面，经济政策、金融政策、配套政策的进一步开放将使金融业的进入门槛降低，从而带来竞争主体的多元和竞争的更加市场化；二是在市场层面，客户的金融知识的普及和客户的议价能力的提高造成客户对银行需求也在不断提高；三是在竞争层面上，竞争主体、竞争模式和竞争手段的改变将使银行业面临更为复杂的竞争局面。为应对上述影响，国有商业银行应根据自身优势，扬长避短，根据不同情况，综合运用不同战略，以期达到持续发展的目标。     

商业银行公司金融产品组合营销深化研究

我国商业银行的竞争模式正在从简单的产品扩张向提供深入服务的方向转化，对组合营销这种有效的竞争手段的深化将大大有利于商业银行提升营销层次，提高自身竞争力。作者在总结分析的基础上，提出了公司金融产品进行组合营销深化的基本理念、基本方法和基本策略，以及基于RAROC的组合营销风险考虑方法。本文在分析了阻碍我国商业银行进行组合营销深化的基本因素后，对进一步实施组合营销的深化提出了建议。     

金融衍生产品发展的新特点与国内商业银行的策略研究

近年来，国际金融衍生产品市场呈现三个新特点：市场需求及市场规模日趋扩大，产品创新层出不穷，风险防范问题日渐突出，并由此对国际金融市场的发展和稳定带来深刻影响。随着我国人民币汇率制度改革、利率市场化及资本市场股权分置改革等进程的不断加快，金融衍生产品在国内市场的发展契机已经到来。我国发展金融衍生市场应遵循“适应经济金融改革进程、满足市场需求、结构上由简到繁、风险上由低到高”的总体原则。国内商业银行应当以资产保值增值为目的，选择适当的产品切入金融衍生市场，并注重提高金融衍生产品的核心竞争力，加强风险防范和人才的培养与引进。     

商业银行信用风险评估的生存分析模型及实证研究

企业发生财务危机，不能归还到期贷款是商业银行信贷资产的主要风险来源，商业银行如何构建恰当的信用风险评估模型来预测企业的财务危机，从而避免这类信用风险的出现就显得尤为重要。本文以我国上市公司为研究对象，结合杜邦分析法建立了基于生存分析的信用风险评估模型，模型对于随机选取的预测样本，其提前1年、2年和3年的预测准确率分别达到86％、72％和68％。通过与Ahman模型、Ohlson模型预测结果的比较和鲁棒性检验的结果发现，该模型同时具有可以使用时间序列、无需样本配对、中远期预测能力强和高鲁棒性的特点．这些特点特别对于商业银行中长期信贷风险管理具有较高的应用价值．