推进西部大开发亟待全面深化对内开放

要实现西部大开发的伟大战略构想,改变西部经济落后面貌,缩小东西部差距最终实现西部地区的经济现代化,市场化和国际化,亟待全面深化对内开放,打破地区封锁,建立统一开放竞争有序的国内大市场,优化资源配置,调整产业结构,发挥区域优势,东西部进行合理分工,增强企业竞争力,使西部的发展融入全国全球的经济体系中.     

Likelihood-based specification analysis of continuous-time models of the short-term interest rate

An extensive collection of continuous-time models of the short-term interest rate is evaluated over data sets that have appeared previously in the literature. The analysis, which uses the simulated maximum likelihood procedure proposed by Durham and Gallant (2002), provides new insights regarding several previously unresolved questions. For single factor models, I find that the volatility, not the drift, is the critical component in model specification. Allowing for additional flexibility beyond a constant term in the drift provides negligible benefit. While constant drift would appear to imply that the short rate is nonstationary, in fact, stationarity is volatility-induced. The simple constant elasticity of volatility model fits weekly observations of the three-month Treasury bill rate remarkably well but is easily rejected when compared with more flexible volatility specifications over daily data. The methodology of Durham and Gallant can also be used to estimate stochastic volatility models. While adding the latent volatility component provides a large improvement in the likelihood for the physical process, it does little to improve bond-pricing performance.     

创新型企业组织形式的设计

创新型企业在组织构成上与传统企业有很大的不同，它是为了达到技术和产品创新的目的，在不同专业领域进行一定方式的分工和合作的一批高素质技术人员的集合。因此，在组织上，创新型企业就要不同于传统企业的直线职能式的组织结构。经研究，它应以项目组为组织的基本单元，建立矩阵式的组织结构，充分利用人力资源，灵活、快速地适应环境的变化。     

深基坑施工中的喷锚支护设计

喷锚支护是近２０年来发展起来的一种岩土体加固技术。７０年代成功地应用于边坡及挡土墙的加固，近几年开始用于深基坑边坡支护。本文在分析喷锚支护加固机理的基础上，通过一工程实例，说明喷锚支护技术用于深基坑开挖支护是安全可靠的。与传统支护结构相比，具有工期短，造价更合理的特点。     

Canadian and American Reactions to Drug and Alcohol Testing Programs in the Workplace

We investigated U.S. and Canadian reactions to workplace drug and alcohol testing programs. Canadian truck drivers (n = 183) deemed drug and alcohol testing policies less fair, and were less accepting of these policies, than their American counterparts (n = 153). We also compared the perspectives of recipients versus third-party observers with regard to their reactions to a drug testing program. Unlike the pattern observed among American observers, the responses by Canadian observers were highly similar to those of the recipients. Canadian observers were more inclined to file a formal protest regarding the implementation of a drug and alcohol testing program than were U.S. observers. The results also showed that procedural and interactional justice principles contributed to the program's fairness, acceptance, and lower levels of protest intentions in both Canada and the United States. We propose that scholars and practitioners can gain a better understanding of multinational reactions to drug and alcohol testing by considering not only cultural but also historical, social, political, and other environmental factors that can shape reactions to personnel practices.     

论转轨时期我国商贸产业规模结构优化

商贸产业规模结构优化的依据是市场竞争优势，政府的作用是催化竞争。     

盾构始发技术在沈阳地铁一号线中的应用

文章结合沈阳地铁一号线第4合同段盾构的正常始发,通过对盾构始发施工的技术难点分析,重点介绍其施工工艺及关键技术,并对常见的问题提出相应的预防措施。     

The relevance of democracy to organizational management

The relationship between democratic ideals and organizational structuring and functioning receives attention in this article. After a brief historical consideration of liberal democracy in the United States, we analyze social, managerial, ethical, and economic issues defining the relevance of democracy to organizational management. These issues lead to a presentation of specific purposes that particular mechanisms of organizational democracy can serve. Because of other scholarly attention to participative management and employee ownership, hierarchical constraints receive emphasis here.     

浅谈现代物流产业的构成及存在的问题

目前,由五大行业组成的现代物流产业构架已基本形成,这对现代物流业的发展起着举足轻重的作用.文中就如何合理确立现代物流产业结构,合理配置资源方面谈及了自己的一些看法.     

Simpler Probabilistic Population Forecasts: Making Scenarios Work

The traditional high-low-medium scenario approach to quantifying uncertainty in population forecasts has been criticized as lacking probabilistic meaning and consistency. This paper shows, under certain assumptions, how appropriately calibrated scenarios can be used to approximate the uncertainty intervals on future population size and age structure obtained with fully stochastic forecasts. As many forecasting organizations already produce scenarios and because dealing with them is familiar territory, the methods presented here offer an attractive intermediate position between probabilistically inconsistent scenario analysis and fully stochastic forecasts.