对加入WTO后"以市场换技术"的思考

“以市场换技术”是20世纪80年代中后期以来我国吸引外国直接投资的重要目标之一。本文首先简要回顾了中国在加入WTO前的“以市场换技术”战略,在此基础上,分析了在加入WTO后“以市场换技术”的政策环境和外资在华行为的变化以及国际产业发展呈现出的新趋势,最后对如何促进“以市场换技术”提出了若干建议。     

扩大内需的着力点——提高劳动力价格

扩张性财政政策和宽松的货币政策一度成为解决“内需”问题的良药。但实践证明,这种治标不治本的凯恩斯主义的药方最终会导致通货膨胀,不能根治经济中内需不足的问题。文章通过对国民收入分配中劳动者所处地位的分析,得出我国内需不足的问题来自于收入分配的问题。因此,扩大内需的着力点在于提高劳动力价格。     

Bilateral Trade Balances: Evidence from Malaysia*

This study examines the impacts of real exchange rates on the bilateral trade balances of Malaysia with the USA, Japan and Singapore. The results for the long‐run cointegrating vectors show that depreciation or devaluation of real exchange rates will improve bilateral trade balances. In the short run, there is some evidence of the J‐curve phenomenon. Changes in real money supply contribute greatly to changes in real exchange rates. Generally, changes in real exchange rates contribute significantly to changes in bilateral trade balances. Monetary policy can be used to influence bilateral trade balances.     

扩大内需导向下的我国纺织产业转移研究

纺织产业是我国传统的劳动密集型产业,不但在满足国内需求、扩大就业等方面发挥着重要作用,也是我国少数具有国际竞争优势的产业之一。国际金融危机发生以来,国内外经济形势发生了一系列变化,不但给我国纺织产业增加了压力,同时也是调整产业结构与拓展发展空间的契机。因此,文章提出在国家积极扩大内需市场导向下,我国纺织产业应通过产业转移,调整区域布局,推动跨区域纺织产业链的形成与产业整体升级。     

房地产开发中的利益冲突及法律调控

本文拟从房地产开发中主体利益冲突为切入点,对房地产开发中各种利益主体之间博弈进行分析,并提出相应法律调控对策,以期形成优化利益与正当法律的结合,体现法律价值。     

浅谈我国当前的房地产泡沫及泡沫经济

房地产业是国民经济的支柱产业,又是经济泡沫的主要载体之一.近几年来,随着房地产投资额的剧增,房地产泡沫问题成为公众关注的热点.文章从我国房地产的发展现状引发对房地产泡沫以及泡沫经济的探讨,通过对房地产泡沫的成因以及危害性分析,提出了一系列防范房地产泡沫的措施,促使房地产市场沿着持续健康的道路发展.     

人民币实际汇率与外商直接投资的实证分析

本文通过运用协整分析和格兰杰因果关系检验方法对1980-2004年间的外商直接投资与人民币汇率的关系进行了研究,文章认为外商直接投资的增加会导致人民币汇率的升值,其研究结果表明:人民币汇率与外商直接投资之间存在着长期的均衡关系,而且外商直接投资是人民币汇率的格兰杰原因。     

Real Exchange Rate in China：A Long-run Perspective

This paper investigates the RMB exchange rate from a long‐run viewpoint. Whether China's rapid economic growth brought about real exchange rate appreciation between 1975 and 2002 is empirically examined, based on a supply‐side model, the Balassa—Semuelson Hypothesis (BSH). The same test is conducted on Japan, Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia and India. Our result indicates that the BSH only exists where the industrial structure has been upgraded and the economy has been successfully transformed from an agricultural economy to a manufacturing economy. Interestingly, China, among those where the BSH does not present, appears to be upgrading its industrial and trade structure. We then try to answer the question of why past rapid growth has no significant relationship with the RMB real exchange rate and what factors are underlying the trend of the RMB real exchange rate. We expect an appreciating trend of RMB real exchange rate in the foreseeable future, presuming that China's industrial upgrading process continues and the factors pertaining to the BSH's prediction, such as rise of wage rates in both tradables and nontradables, become more significant. (Edited by Xiaoming Feng)