我国经济增长因素的边限协整分析

为了更好地测定我国经济增长和其影响因素之间的关系,在建立了无约束误差修正模型的基础上,运用边限检验方法进行了实证研究。实证结果表明,中国经济增长与其影响因素之间存在长期稳定关系,不同影响因素对中国经济增长有不同的影响。从长期看,劳动力投入、城市化率、非国有化率、资本存量和第一产业比重的影响作用显著,在短期内,劳动力投入、第三产业比重、城市化率和资本存量对中国经济增长都有显著影响。     

浅谈基础英语的测试

在教授基础英语中,无论采用何种教学方法,教学过程中的测试,是考查教学效果的一个手段,也是教学中的重要 环节。本文着重对测试的认识以及运用等进行了论述。     

京沪高铁沧州西站客流特征及服务策略研究

京沪高铁的开通,促进了河北省沧州市与北京、天津、上海等国内一线城市的交流,对加快河北省经济发展具有重要意义。基于京沪高铁沧州西站客流调查数据,文章从旅客的基本情况、出行目的、费用来源、月均收入、出行方向等方面分析了沧州西站的客流结构特征,从旅客的出行次数、结伴人数、出行时间、返程时间和车站的位置、服务等方面分析了沧州西站的旅客出行特征。在此基础上,从开行方案、票制、票价、交通换乘、服务方式等方面提出提升沧州西站服务的策略建议。     

GIS-based fuzzy multi-criteria approach for optimal site selection of fire stations in Istanbul,Turkey

Fire stations play a central role in protection and response activities as part of emergency management services in cases of fire incidences. With the rising urban populations and city expansions, the demand for more fire services resultantly increases. It then becomes critical to effectively plan the location of emergency facilities to adequately service the population and ensure the protection of lives and infrastructure. This study, therefore proposes the use of the fuzzy extension of the Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) method of Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP), hence called fuzzy AHP, integrated with Geographic Information Systems (GIS) approach to optimally site new fire stations for the case of Istanbul region. This proposed fuzzy approach simulates the subjective expert judgements for the preferences of the six criteria assessed for fire station suitability mapping and thereby accounted for the uncertainty of crisp comparison values via triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs). The criteria weights evaluated from this procedure were used in a weighted overlay analysis of the reclassified criteria map layers in ArcGIS to generate a fire station suitability map. These resultant fuzzy AHP criteria weights were validated using another MCDM technique, called Best-Worst Method (BWM) and found to be comparable and consistent. The criteria that had the strongest influence on the selection of sites for fire stations were identified to be: the density of hazardous material facilities (DHM), a high population density (HPD) and proximity to main roads (PMR) with associated weights of 33.3%, 24.4% and 15.2%, respectively. Based on a thorough assessment within the areas represented by class values ranging from 3 to 5 on the suitability map, a total of 34 new fire station sites were selected complementing the existing 121 fire stations. Further, a prioritization analysis from low, medium to high, was performed to plan the phases for the construction of new fire stations in view of competing budgetary needs and resource constraints. The methodology to achieve this was proposed and modelled for enhancing the decision-making process in urban fire station site selection studies.     

大学英语测试结果分析及其对教学的反馈作用

大学英语测试是教学的重要组成部分。正确处理测试与教学的关系,运用平均、全距、标准差、标准分、正态分布等统计方法认真分析测试结果,能及时发现并解决教学中存在的问题。     

THE J CURVE: CHINA VERSUS HER TRADING PARTNERS

The short‐run effects of currency depreciation are said to be different from its long‐run effects. In the short run, the trade balance deteriorates and improvement comes after some time; hence, the J‐curve phenomenon. Previous studies that tested the response of the trade balance to exchange rate changes in China employed aggregate trade data and provided mixed results. Indeed, most of them concluded that real depreciation has no long‐run impact on the Chinese trade balance. In this paper, we disaggregate the data by country and using recent advances in time series modelling estimate a trade balance model between China and her 13 major trading partners. We show that real depreciation of the Chinese currency has a favourable impact on her trade balance with a few partners, especially the USA. Not much support is found for the J‐curve hypothesis.     

隧道初期支护质量检测中地质雷达的应用

初期支护是隧道的主要受力构件,关系着隧道施工安全和施工质量,因此对隧道初期支护质量的检测显得尤为重要。但是,传统的目测、打孔取芯、压水试验、钻孔声波等方法已经不能满足实际应用的需要,如何采用高效精确的方法对隧道初期支护质量进行检测,成为隧道工程质量检测急需解决的问题。     

检测环境对路面弯沉检测结果的影响

路面弯沉是路面及路基结构整体强度和刚度的直观反应,是工程整体强度质量的重要检测指标。因此,了解路面湾沉的变化规律,正确测试路面弯沉值,对于正确评价路面质量有着极其重要的意义。     

断路器检修方式及特性仪器的改进

文章介绍了目前供电企业高压断路器的检修方式,以及断路器特性数据的采集方式。这种方式需要安排停电,不仅影响供电可靠性还造成企业经济损失。最为关键的是在停电情况下进行的测试,并不能客观的反映断路器工作时的运行状态。文章提出了一种新的数据采集方式,利用断路器在分合闸时产生的电磁干扰来采集其工作状态时的特性数据,从而得到更客观有价值的数据,再决定该断路器的检修方案。     

基于TOPSIS模型的火力发电企业电煤供应商选择评价研究

针对火力发电企业电煤供应商的特点,从成本因素、质量因素、到货因素三个方面,建立了由入厂标准煤单价、收到基恒容低位发热量、空气干燥基灰分、全水分、全硫、合格率、准时交货率、实收重量率8个指标构成的指标体系。采用了层次分析法确定的主观权重、熵权法确定客观权重,得到主观权重和客观权重相结合的组合权重,并使用TOPSIS模型对某火力发电企业的19个电煤供应商做出了评价和选择,对电煤供应商怎样提高竞争力以及火力发电企业对电煤供应商进行管理的重点内容提出了建议。