Empirical tests of real estate market efficiency

Recent empirical research using real estate data has supported the weak and semi-strong forms of the efficient markets hypothesis. Previous studies have not included an estimate of expected appreciation into the tests of market efficiency, thus raising a question about the reliability of the results. We first use a market model to test for market efficiency with results similar to those reported by others. We next use a dynamic multiple indicator, multiple cause (DYMIMIC) model, which extracts a vector of expected appreciation from the price data, to test market efficiency. This approach produces superior results and a stronger conclusion about the efficiency of housing markets. The results indicate limited adjustment delays which can be explained by the existence of high transactions and search costs.     

价值运筹——价值工程在世※界经济新运行形态下的发展

认知世界经济的巨大变化需要新的观念,人类经济总体发展模型又称“四方式二形态”假说,可以作为研究经济和管理问题的基本框架和准则。由此得出当前世界经济按功能经济形态运行。列出了一些与物质经济运行形态不同的主要的新特征。总结出六条关于功能价值的基本原理,以供处理有关问题之用。给出了“价值运筹”的定义,指出价值运筹的实质是“智能经营”,因此“全员价值运筹”是必然的选择。它将推动企业管理创新     

论"经济人"假设的发展

对新古典经济学"经济人"假设的批判体现在三个方面:对"经济人"完全理性的修正;对个人利益与社会利益一致性的批判;对"经济人"利益目标函数的修正。在市场经济条件下,为了体现"经济人"利益目标要求,应建立按要素分配的分配制度和"经济人"自由支配要素收入的产权制度;为了约束"经济人"的行为,应把"依法治国"与"以德治国"紧密结合起来。     

Neoclassical versus Frontier Production Models? Testing for the Skewness of Regression Residuals*

The empirical literature on production and cost functions is divided into two strands. The neoclassical approach concentrates on model parameters, while the frontier approach decomposes the disturbance term to a symmetric noise term and a positively skewed inefficiency term. We propose a theoretical justification for the skewness of the inefficiency term, arguing that this skewness is the key testable hypothesis of the frontier approach. We propose to test the regression residuals for skewness in order to distinguish the two competing approaches. Our test builds directly upon the asymmetry of regression residuals and does not require any prior distributional assumptions.     

Financing constraints and US cross‐listing

This study investigates whether relaxation of firms' financial constraints is an important outcome of the US cross‐listing mechanism. We use the association between investment spending and cash flow to test for the presence and importance of firms' financing constraints. Consistent with the bonding hypothesis, the results suggest that US exchange and private placement cross‐listings significantly alleviate firms' financing constraints. In addition, the financial benefits associated with exchange listings are larger than those associated with private listings, while on the other hand, over‐the‐counter programs do not improve capital allocation. The study also shows that US exchange cross‐listing benefits have not been eroded by the enactment of the Sarbanes‐Oxley (SOX) Act in 2002. Copyright © 2014 ASAC. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Modeling Evaporation-Seepage Losses for Reservoir Water Balance in Semi-arid Regions

In the water balance of reservoir system, evaporation plays a crucial role particularly so for the reservoir systems of smaller size located in the semi-arid or arid regions. Such regions are most often characterized by significant seepage losses from reservoirs, besides evaporation losses. Usually, in the optimization of a reservoir system, it is a common practice to assume evaporation loss either as some constant value or as negligible. Such assumptions, however, may affect the results of reservoir optimization. This is demonstrated in this study by a case study in the optimal scheduling of Pilavakkal reservoir system in Vaipar basin of Tamilnadu, India. For modeling reservoir losses, many models are available, of which, Penman combination model is most commonly used. In this study, an alternative approach based on Genetic Programming (GP) is proposed. The results of GP and Penman model for both evaporation loss estimation and reservoir scheduling are compared. It is found that while GP and Penman combination model performs equally well for estimating evaporation losses, GP is also able to model seepage losses (or other losses from reservoir) to a much better degree. It is also shown the reservoir scheduling does get influenced based on how the reservoir losses are modeled in the reservoir water balance equation.     

中国股票市场非线性特征检验分析

本文突破了传统资本市场理论研究的线性框架,视股票市场为一非线性系统,运用R/S、BDS等非线性方法对沪深股票市场进行实证研究,得出了沪深两市的非线性特征,并探讨了这些实证结果对股票市场研究的理论与实践意义。     

The Relationship between Fair Value,Market Value,and Efficient Markets*

This paper proposes that an assumption of reasonable market efficiency is at the essence of the relevance of fair value for financial reporting purposes. The paper's examination of this proposal begins with a review of recent academic literature on market efficiency, and on evidence of inefficiencies and their implications for the ability of the efficient market hypothesis to explain what market prices represent. It concludes that there is wide acceptance in this literature that a reasonable level of efficiency can generally be presumed to exist in active, well‐regulated capital markets. The paper examines the essential attributes of a reasonably efficient market for fair value measurement purposes, and some basic implications for its reliable estimation. This is done in comparison with the provisions of the fair value measurement standard of the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) (Statement of Financial Accounting Standards [SFAS] No. 157). It is concluded that the concept of reasonable market efficiency could provide a sound conceptual framework for defining fair value that is founded in real, observable market prices. It is demonstrated that, in contrast, SFAS No. 157 does not provide a clear, unequivocal concept of fair value, and that it permits estimates of fair value that have no demonstrable basis in real, observable market prices. Nevertheless, it appears that arguments typically put forward by the International Accounting Standards Board and the FASB for the relevance of fair value for financial reporting purposes do imply a presumption of reasonably efficient markets.     

最简方案框架下英汉内嵌小句的推导生成

基于最简方案的理论框架,根据Laudau分裂T的理论可提出TP假设,将小句看作以功能中心语照应T为中心的最大投射,这样可对英汉内嵌小句作句法生成分析,并以此检验最简方案的解释力和概括性。     

Adaptive market efficiency of agricultural commodity futures contracts

In this paper we investigate the adaptive market efficiency of the agricultural commodity futures market, using a sample of eight futures contracts. Using a battery of nonlinear tests, we uncover the nonlinear serial dependence in the returns series. We run the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test to uncover the moments in which the nonlinear serial dependence, and therefore adaptive market efficiency, occurs for our sample.