Software for Learning and for Doing Statistics

The community of statisticians and statistics educators should take responsibility for the evaluation and improvement of software quality from the perspective of education. The paper will develop a perspective, an ideal system of requirements to critically evaluate existing software and to produce future software more adequate both for learning and doing statistics in introductory courses. Different kinds of tools and microworlds are needed. After discussing general requirements for such programs, a prototypical ideal software system will be presented in detail. It will be illustrated how such a system could be used to construct learning environments and to support elementary data analysis with exploratory working style.     

基于引制一体化的定向战斗部起爆控制研究

采用定向战斗部已成为防空导弹增强战斗部杀伤威力的重要发展方向，但是定向战斗部的应用对起爆控制系统提出了新的要求。本文提出一种利用防空导弹无线电引信与导引头一体化设计（简称引制一体化设计），并应用数据融合实现定向战斗部起爆控制的技术途径。     

会计数据信度与效度的特征性描述——基于会计变量及变量间关系的认识

无形会计数据信度即度量结果的重复性程度,是反映会计数据的客观性指标。效度是判断度量结果即研究对象结果的有效性程度。会计数据的信度与效度的探讨有助于会计信息质量的改善与质量标准的制定,对于进一步展开会计科学的研究也具有一定的意义。本文通过分析会计数据信度与效度的特征性,探讨与验证会计数据信度与效度路径研究方法。     

Efficiency outcomes of market concentration and managed care

The paper examines how hospital cost efficiency has reacted to extensive horizontal integrations of hospitals and rapid growth of managed care in the US health care industry. Cost efficiency is estimated by using panel data approaches to relax the assumptions for the hospital effects imposed in earlier studies. The paper shows that higher managed care penetration over time is associated with greater hospital efficiency, and higher market concentration is positively associated with efficiency when markets are highly competitive or highly concentrated.     

东方红浆砌石重力坝扬压力安全评价

东方红水库大坝是一座运行近40a的浆砌石重力坝，坝体裂缝、坝体渗漏及坝体碳化严重，扬压力有逐年增高的趋势。本文利用坝基扬压力测压管水位观测资料建立了测压管水位的统计模型，并结合现场渗漏实测流量资料建立了渗流反分析模型，详细分析了坝基的渗流性态和扬压力状态，并对其渗流性态做出安全评价。     

瀑布沟工程的水文分析计算

本文简要的介绍了瀑布沟工程水文分析计算主要依据站的选定和基本资料的插补延长,以及径流、洪水的分析计算方法.在可行性研究阶段水文成果(通过审查)和新设立的毛头码水文站所取得的数年水文资料的基础上,将初设阶段对可行性研究阶段的水文分析计算方法和成果进行验证和补充的情况重点予以介绍.     

黄河下游滩区居民心理研究的设计及信息获取

特殊的自然环境，必将塑造滩区居民特有的心理状况，进而影响滩区社会经济的发展。黄河下游滩区居民心理研究从研究对象、技术路线与方法、数据来源等方面进行了调查设计；整群随机抽取河南、山东2个省6个县22个村作为调查对象，调查问卷分为“搬迁居民卷”和“未搬迁居民卷”，涉及题项分另？为82个和91个；采取入户调查填写问卷、座谈、个案访谈等方式，共获得相关资料1021份。     

Why are Small Firms Different? Managers’ Views

Do incentives differ between large and small organizations? Results from a representative survey of compensation managers are used to shed light on the issues. I find that (i) small establishments rely less on pecuniary incentives, and have a significantly more hostile attitude towards incentive schemes based on competition and relative rewards; (ii) large units are more vulnerable to mechanisms of efficiency wages, effects that remain even after controlling for differences in monitoring ability; (iii) large units are more prone to indicate that negative reciprocity is important, and that their employees care about relative pay. I argue that these findings fit with behavioral stories of incentives and motivation, in particular those stressing group interaction effects, inequity aversion and gift exchange.     

河口海岸水文信息处理系统

应用Visual Basic6.0应用程序、Microsoft Access数据库和FORTRAN语言开发的河口海岸水文信息处理系统，具有水文现场资料整编功能、利用分潮优化技术的潮汐调和分析及预报功能，且计算工作量相对较小，预报精度高。