反倾销应诉的集体行动研究——行业协会克服"搭便车"机制的思考

本文针时我国企业在反倾销共同应诉中的不合作或者“搭使车”问题，试图探讨行业协会作为一种治理机制，如何提供或设计一种有效的制度安排（如俱乐部规范），把一群相互依存的企业组织起来，并通过自主性努力克服不合作或“搭便车”，以取得长期的共同利益的实现。     

郁江梯级水电站群联合优化调度初探

郁江梯级水电站群由西津、仙依滩和桂航3座水电厂组成。针对西津电厂出力变化频繁,加上西津下游两电厂装机容量较小,经常出现弃水,用增量动态规划法进行了联合优化调度探索,同时介绍马斯京根分段流量演算法。     

Predicting the geo-temporal variations of crime and disorder

Traditional police boundaries—precincts, patrol districts, etc.—often fail to reflect the true distribution of criminal activity and thus do little to assist in the optimal allocation of police resources. This paper introduces methods for crime incident forecasting by focusing upon geographical areas of concern that transcend traditional policing boundaries. The computerised procedure utilises a geographical crime incidence-scanning algorithm to identify clusters with relatively high levels of crime (hot spots). These clusters provide sufficient data for training artificial neural networks (ANNs) capable of modelling trends within them. The approach to ANN specification and estimation is enhanced by application of a novel and noteworthy approach, the Gamma test (GT).     

Analysing Materials and Energy Flows in an Industrial District using an Enterprise Input–Output Model

Recent approaches to sustainable development leave much room for policies at a local level. In fact, it is becoming evident that targets such as increasing resource productivity, preserving natural cycles, or extending the present level of welfare, are best pursued within the confines of a local area. In particular, environmental changes are best brought about by considering local systems of firms as cornerstones of cooperative strategies and using data on materials and energy use in physical terms. In this paper, an enterprise input–output model is developed for an industrial district, i.e. a local group of firms specialized in the production of a single final output. The model allows for a detailed quantitative analysis of materials and energy flows and the consequent generation of waste and pollution. As a planning tool, the model may be used to evaluate alternative scenarios, such as the possibility of re- using waste taking account of sustainability requirements. An empirical case study applies the model to an industrial district in Southern Italy producing leather sofas.     

盘山闸扩建工程水工模型试验研究

辽河干流堤防安全泄量为5000m3/s,盘锦城市防洪工程竣工后,其安全泄量为6800m3/s。而盘山闸的设计泄流能力仅为3000m3/s。通过本模型试验研究进一步确定扩建工程方案的合理性。     

山前平原地下水侧向补给潜力空间变异模拟

SWAT模型利用分辨率较高的DEM数据,可以估算山前地下水侧向补给的空间变异,并可以计算不同降水年型下补给量的差别。模拟需要对研究区进行填洼、流向确定、汇流和河网水系的提取四步运算,并对河道临界支撑面积的取值进行分析。分别模拟了平水年和丰水年两种降雨年型下研究区13个出水口的地下水侧向补给潜力。在研究区,由于地形的变化,导致山与平原交接断面上出水口的集水面积变异非常大,因此山前平原所接受的地下水侧向补给量的空间变异也非常大。不同的降雨年型下,降雨量转化为地下水侧向补给量的比例也不同。平水年的转化比例较小,丰水年的转化比例较大。应用SWAT模型时,与ArcView的拓展模块有机结合,可以更方便提取完整的大流域,划分出合理的子流域。     

A comparative site evaluation study for relocating Japanese government agencies out of Tokyo

As a national project of Japan, plans for the relocation of several government agencies out of Tokyo have been ongoing. This paper is concerned with the problem of site selection for this project. The National Land Agency, the agency responsible for this project, has declared that the process of site selection should be rational, open to the public and easily understandable. In an effort to meet these requirements, we propose a consensus-making method for reaching a group decision, based on a combination of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the Assurance Region model of data envelopment analysis (DEA). Several strategic uses of these methodologies, e.g., Delphi procedures, are also discussed. Based on these analyses, the “Wise Men” Committee for deciding the best site has chosen two from among ten contenders, one from the North-East and the other from the Central part of Japan, as candidates for the best relocation site. We could not discriminate between the two with respect to the multiple criteria chosen for evaluating sites. The Committee recommended the two sites to the Prime Minister at the end of December 1999. The Prime Minister reported this conclusion to the Diet. This topic is currently the focus of political discussions in the Diet. In this report, the authors summarize the decision-making processes that the Wise Men Committee followed, putting emphasis on the methodological aspects.     

IP电话系统中SNMP代理的实现

结合对简单网络管理协议（SNMP）的研究，分析了Agent 网管代理开发包，并介绍了利用Agnet 实现IP电话系统中SNMP代理的过程。     

变权组合预测模型在大坝安全监测中的应用

简要介绍了组合预测模型的基本原理，该模型改进了单一模型考虑因素的片面性，但常规的组合预测模型的权系数是固定的。考虑到各种模型的预测精度的变化，以及大坝安全监测数据存在的突变、时效等因素，固定权系数的组合预测模型有待进一步改进。文中提出了变权系数组合预测模型，并将其用于实际的大坝安全监测工程。结果表明，变权组合预测模型的预报精度高于其他模型。是一种值得推广的方法。     

中国和新加坡产业内贸易与规模经济关系的协整分析

中国和新加坡产业内贸易与规模经济存在着一种长期的均衡关系,新加坡生产企业的规模经济对产业内贸易的推动作用大于中国,中国和新加坡生产企业的规模经济与产业内贸易存在单向因果关系,即规模经济促进产业内贸易.