A hybrid information approach to predict corporate credit risk

This study proposes a hybrid information approach to predict corporate credit risk. In contrast to the previous literature that debates which credit risk model is the best, we pool information from a diverse set of structural and reduced‐form models to produce a model combination based on credit risk prediction. Compared with each single model, the pooled strategies yield consistently lower average risk prediction errors over time. We also find that while the reduced‐form models contribute more in the pooled strategies for speculative‐grade names and longer maturities, the structural models have higher weights for shorter maturities and investment grade names.     

水资源系统分析法在水资源优化配置中的应用

探讨了水资源系统分析法的步骤和数学模型,并以线性规划模型为例建立了水资源优化配置的数学模型,对水资源优化配置提供了一定的依据。     

三峡地下电站变顶高尾水洞水动力特性

在国内首次应用模型水轮发电机组对三峡地下电站变顶高尾水洞方案进行水力过渡过程试验研究。对水轮机导叶实行分段关闭 ,并求出了二段关闭的最佳拐点 ,试验证实了二段关闭对减小尾水管进口的负压和机组转速上升有明显的作用。通过有关水力参数的测试 ,认为变顶高尾水洞可以满足各项技术要求 ,是一个减少山体开挖、节省投资的新型设计方案。在地下电站中具有广泛的应用前景     

Fuzzy Multiobjective and Linear Programming Based Management Models for Optimal Land-Water-Crop System Planning

In this article, linear programming and fuzzy optimization models are developed for planning and management of available land-water-crop system of Mahanadi-Kathajodi delta in eastern India. The models are used to optimize the economic return, production and labour utilization, and to search the related cropping patterns and intensities with specified land, water, fertilizer and labour availability, and water use pattern constraints. Due to extreme backwardness of the study area, it has been decided to keep all the three objectives of the linear programming models at the same priority level to obtain the compromised solution in a fuzzy environment that incorporates the imprecision in fuzzy goals and fuzzy constraints. These non-structural models facilitate the conjunctive use of available surface water and groundwater resources. A comparative evaluation along with the benefit-cost ratios of the existing and proposed farming systems is also presented.     

Application of Differential Evolution for Irrigation Planning: An Indian Case Study

The present paper demonstrates the applicability of population based search optimization method, namely, Differential Evolution (DE) to a case study of Mahi Bajaj Sagar Project (MBSP), India. Ten different strategies of DE are employed to assess the ability of DE for solving higher dimensional problems as an alternative methodology for irrigation planning. The parameters considered in DE are population size, crossover constant and weighting factor. Linear Programming (LP) is utilized as a comparative approach to assess the ability of DE. Comparison of results of LP and the 10 DE strategies for the given parameters indicated that both the results are comparable even for high dimensional problems. Extensive sensitivity analysis studies, performed for 3,600 combinations of above parameters for the 10 DE strategies suggested that DE/rand-to-best/1/bin strategy is the best strategy giving maximum benefits taking minimum CPU time. It is concluded that DE can be utilized for efficient planning of any irrigation system with suitable modifications.     

部分可渗透直立圆柱的消波作用研究

本文导出了线性波浪作用于上部可渗透的直立刚性圆柱体上的水动力的解析解。在线性有势流的假定下，用特征函数展开方法求出了内部和外部流场的解。给出了不同波浪要素及结构尺寸参数下的数值结果。由结果可知，提高可渗透性可以有效消减波幅。     

大坝水平位移监控指标拟定的混合法

用混合法拟定了大坝水平位移的监控指标，即通过结构分析和建立数值 模型，计算大坝水平位移的水压分量和给定概率水平下的温度分量极值，进而拟定水平位移 监控指标，并给出了实例。     

Inferential Causal Models: Integrating Quality & Quantity

In-depth data analysis plus statistical modeling can produce inferentialcausal models. Their creation thus combines aspects of analysis by close inspection,that is, reason analysis and cross-tabular analysis, with statistical analysis procedures,especially those that are special cases of the generalized linear model (McCullaghand Nelder, 1989; Agresti, 1996; Lindsey, 1997). This paper explores some of the roots of this combined method and suggests some new directions. An exercise clarifies some limitations of classic reason analysis by showing how the cross tabulation of variables with controls for test factors may produce better inferences. Then, given the cross tabulation of several variables, by explicating Coleman effect parameters, logistic regressions, and Poisson log-linear models, it shows how generalized linear models provide appropriate measures of effects and tests of statistical significance. Finally, to address a weakness of reason analysis, a case-control design is proposed and an example is developed.     

山区水库溢洪道和放水洞工程布置优化组合及型式选择

山区河流上修水库与平原水库不同的是，地形复杂、地质条件各异。要充分利用坝址处的地物地貌及地质条件，如何趋利避害，合理布置水库的土坝走向，放水洞与溢洪道的位置及型式，以取得安全、经济、美观三者协调统一。