大坝洪水漫顶风险评估

洪水漫顶是导致大坝溃坝的主要原因之一,大坝洪水漫顶风险评估是大坝风险评估的重要组成部分。为此,简要介绍了大坝洪水漫顶的风险模型,并通过实例详细地讨论了模型中各有关参数的不确定性处理方法,探讨了入库洪水的不确定性对洪水漫顶风险率的影响以及按规范设计的大坝的防洪能力问题。     

周宁水电站土建工程合同管理

合同管理是建设工程项目管理的一项重要内容。周宁水电站建设单位通过加强工程招标、合同变更处理、索赔处理、工程价款审核与支付及竣工结算等方面的管理工作,使土建工程造价得到了控制,同时也保证了工程进度、质量目标的实现。     

Effect of sampling density on the measurement of stream condition indicators in two lowland Australian streams

There is widespread application of indicators to the assessment of environmental condition of streams. These indicators are intended for use by managers in making various comparative and absolute assessments and often have a role in resource allocation and performance assessment. Therefore, the problem of formally defining confidence in the results is important but difficult because the sampling strategies used are commonly based on a compromise between the requirements of statistical rigour and the pragmatic issues of access and resources. It is rare to see this compromise explicitly considered and consequently there is seldom quantification of the uncertainty that could affect the confidence a manager has in an indicator. In this paper, we present a method for quantitatively assessing the tradeoffs between sampling density and uncertainty in meeting various monitoring objectives. Assessments using judgement‐based representative reaches are shown to be unreliable; instead a sampling approach is recommended based on the random selection of measuring sites. A detailed dataset was collected along two streams in Victoria, Australia, and the effect of sampling density was assessed by subsampling from this dataset with precision related to the number of sites assessed per reach length and the intensity of the sampling at each site. The sampling scheme to achieve a given precision is shown to depend on the monitoring objective. In particular, three objectives were considered: (1) making a baseline assessment of current condition; (2) change detection; and (3) detection of a critical threshold in condition. Change detection is shown to be more demanding than assessing baseline condition with additional sampling effort required to achieve the same precision. Sampling to detect a critical threshold depends on nominating acceptable values of Type I and II error and the size of the effect to be detected. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

工程项目投标报价中的风险分析

针对目前国内的招投标制度和方法,投标报价风险成为企业能否中标的最大风险,报价在招标中占的分数权重在40%~60%之间,对能否中标起到决定性的作用。从总承包商自身能力及有意识行为、总承包模式3个方面对工程项目中的投标报价风险进行了分析。     

企业知识管理绩效综合评价案例研究

知识管理是现代企业管理的重要内容。正确分析和评价企业的知识管理绩效，对于促进企业知识管理、提高企业知识管理水平以及增强企业竞争优势，具有重要的现实意义。文章构建了企业知识管理绩效评价的指标体系，并运用模糊综合评价模型对企业知识管理绩效进行了综合评价。     

Financial integration and the price of world covariance risk: Large- vs. small-cap stocks

We investigate whether recent country-level evidence of global pricing is particular to large-cap stocks. Specifically, we examine cross-country return correlations and conduct asset pricing tests on three size-based stock portfolios for nine developed countries over the period from 1980 to 2004. We find that large-cap stocks realize significant comovements across countries, whereas small-cap stocks realize smaller average correlations (relative to both large-cap stocks and small-cap stocks across countries). More important, asset pricing tests suggest that while large-cap stocks are priced globally, global pricing is rejected for most small-cap stocks. Finally, the evidence indicates that financial integration deepened in recent years primarily for large-cap stocks. Overall, the results suggest that the global pricing pertains chiefly to large-cap stocks.     

国有股减持的困境与出路

随着战略管理的观念与技术在我国企业管理中的应用 ,战略成本管理在我国企业中的推行势在必行。企业在从传统成本管理向战略成本管理转变中 ,应特别注意树立正确的成本管理思想、拓展成本管理的范围以及改变现有的生产方式三方面问题。     

实施取水定额管理的几个关键问题探讨

通过对全国23个省级单位出台的用水定额标准进行分析，指出目前定额管理存在6个主要问题：一是概念模糊，二是制定方法不统一、不规范，三是定额标准体系不完善，四是可操作性较差，五是计量系统不完善，六是缺乏取水定额管理信息化平台。提出应采用“取水定额”这一表述，并提出了取水定额的体系，包括基础计量体系、定额制定体系、信息链体系、定期更新体系4部分。明确了取水定额管理体系建设主要内容应包括：法律法规体系、定额制定体系、水价管理体系、信息通道体系。     

浅谈小型水库安全管理现状及对策

济南市长清区小型水库运行管理中发现了一些值得探讨的问题.本文主要介绍了济南市长清区小型水库安全运行管理存在的主要问题,分析了问题产生的原因,提出了相应的处理对策,以供参考.     

水资源综合利用与管理规划初步研究

通过对水资源可持续利用规划进行的宏观、中观、微观三个层次的研究提出了管理规划的模型．利用该模型，可通过对环境经济的评价促进我国社会经济可持续发展目标的实现．本研究从加强水资源管理，重点要从水资源产权管理、水资源开发利用规划以及水资源合理配置几方面着手，提出应建立健全水资源管理的法律、政策和协调机制，加大水价改革力度，提高水价对促进水资源合理利用的经济杠杆作用，促进水资源的可持续利用．