单源点法的一种改进

在应用能量线性叠加计算港内不规则波绕射系数时^[1,2]，通过假设不同的计算点具有不同的方向谱，从而增加单源点法考虑地形变化的能力。其中各计算点的方向谱由逆波向线追踪方向确定。本文由此观点建立数学模型。并通过实例计算。来验证这个想法。     

桃林口水库大坝人工监测项目管理软件的开发与应用

介绍了桃林口水库大坝人工监测项目管理软件研制的意义。对软件结构、开发环境、基本计算原理、主要功能进行了详细阐述；并以大坝垂直位移分析为例,详细讲述了回归分析在资料分析中的具体应用。该软件的应用使工程管理水平上了一个新台阶。     

Bayesian MCMC Mapping of Quantitative Trait Loci in a Half-sib Design: a Graphical Model Perspective

Graphical models provide a powerful and flexible approach to the analysis of complex problems in genetics. While task-specific software may be extremely efficient for any particular analysis, it is often difficult to adapt to new computational challenges. By viewing these genetic applications in a more general framework, many problems can be handled by essentially the same software. This is advantageous in an area where fast methodological development is essential. Once a method has been fully developed and tested, problem-specific software may then be required. The aim of this paper is to illustrate the potential use of a graphical model approach to genetic analyses by taking a very simple and well-understood problem by way of example.     

Village Elections,Accountability and Income Distribution in Rural China

1. Introduction The village election was first envisioned by the late chairman of the National People’sCongress (NPC), Mr Peng Zhen, in the mid-1980s to enhance village governance after the commune system was dissolved in China in the early 1980s. In 1987, the NPC passed a tentative version of The Organic Law of the Village Committee (OLVC), and started a 10 year experiment of village elections. In 1998, the NPC formally passed the law and elections quickly spread to the whole count…     

上马水库地裂缝成因及工程处理措施探讨

文中着重阐述了上马水库库坝区的地裂缝产生的原因及发育规律,分析了地裂缝对水库的直接危害,为水库除险加固设计提供了指导,并提出了切实可行的工程处理措施建议。     

Vacancies and Rent Dispersion in a Stochastic Search Model with Generalized Tenant Demand

I model imperfect information, derive a downward sloping market demand curve, and explain vacancies in a partial equilibrium model of a rental housing market. Tenants can be completely described by an exogenous demand curve, perhaps arising from differences in income, preferred location, or tastes, and view vacant units based on a stochastic arrival of rental information. Free entry of these landlords induces excess rental housing capacity (equilibrium vacancies). I determine the equilibrium distribution of rents for vacant units, show that this rent distribution may be discontinuous, and explore the equilibrium vacancy rate to changes in exogenous parameters. The resulting characterization of equilibrium distributions of rents may be amenable to econometric modeling exploring the relationship between market rents and vacancies.     

二滩水电站引水压力管道型式研究

工程建设规划设计阶段，决策者除对工程功能及效益进行研究外，还应了解当今先进施工技术，将先进技术的信息应用到工程设计中，优化设计，使工程建设更好地节约投资，加快施工进度，提高工程综合效益。以二滩水电站引水压力管道竖井和斜井两种型式为例，从地质， 利用，施工工艺，进度等方面进行对比分析，从而得出斜管方案优于竖管方案的结论。     

考虑蓄水期弃水风险的水库长期发电调度方法

短期径流的大幅波动使得以平均径流为基础制定的水库长期调度方案面临较大弃水风险,是影响水库长期调度决策合理性的重要因素。本文考虑日尺度径流波动影响,提出一种蓄水期弃水风险量化方法,并建立了耦合弃水风险的水库长期发电调度模型。利用长系列日径流资料,结合风险最小蓄水规则,以不蓄弃水流量为指标量化蓄水期各月弃水风险;采用Copula函数构建月均入流与弃水风险的联合分布和条件概率分布,明晰了特定入流条件的风险置信区间;最后,将弃水风险以弃电损失函数融入优化模型,以获得更符合实际的长期调度方案。以澜沧江流域小湾水库为工程背景进行调度模拟分析,结果表明本文方法能够有效降低水库长期优化调度方案的弃水风险,有利于提高优化结果的可操作性,与传统方法相比,能够使多年平均弃水减少约4.76亿m³、发电量增加约1.15亿kW·h。     

青藏高原东南部径流特征的空间规律及控制因子研究

采用青藏高原东南部的水文气象资料,对比分析了该地区23个(区间)流域的年径流深、集中度与集中期、基流系数、退水系数等径流特征及其空间分布规律,并进一步研究了这些径流特征的控制因子。结果表明:该地区径流特征的空间分布规律为年径流深从东南(700~1 300 mm)向西北(<400 mm)递减,而集中度则呈相反的空间格局(从<0.44增加到>0.59);退水系数及基流系数,在低海拔地区随高程增大而增大(分别为0.55~0.69、0.51~0.73),但在高海拔地区则随高程增大而减小(0.74~0.42、0.79~0.63)。本研究发现,青藏东南径流特征空间规律的控制因子,具有显著的区域分异:在低海拔流域(平均高程<3 000 m),降水是径流特征的主要影响因子;而在高海拔流域(平均高程>3 000 m),仅径流深和集中度受降水控制,其他特征则主要受温度、冻土、地形等条件的共同影响。可见,由于青藏高原东南部降水和冻土对气候变化敏感,该地区水资源时空分布格局将面临很大的不确定性,对此应予以充分重视。     

老挝南欧江梯级水电站二期厂房生活给水系统设计

水电站厂房生活给水系统应能够可靠、高效地为厂内工作人员提供满足要求的生活用水。老挝南欧江梯级水电站二期厂区附近均无可用的市政供水管,无法依靠市政供水系统为厂区提供生活用水。以老挝南欧江梯级水电站二期厂房生活给水系统设计为例,提出了针对远离城镇,无市政供水情况下,水电站厂房生活给水系统的设计思路、设计方案、设计的要点及难点。