面向金泽水库取水安全的太浦河多目标联合调度研究

为强化上海市黄浦江供水系统的重要组成部分金泽水源地取水安全,又兼顾太湖流域及太浦河沿线区域防洪、供水需求,开展了太浦河太浦闸与沿线88个闸控口门的多目标联合调度研究。在分析太浦闸及两岸河道现有调度方式的基础上,拟定了两类共10个联合调度方案。采用细化后的太湖流域水量水质模型,对各调度方案进行了模拟。然后,构建了反映防洪、供水、水环境需求的多目标函数,采用蚁群优选算法对所有调度方案进行了优选。结果表明:与现状调度方案相比,太浦闸同时根据太湖水位和金泽断面水质情况加大下泄流量,同时太浦河沿线河道闸门有序控制,可显著提高金泽水源地关键水质指标达标率、抬升金泽水源地最低水位,又基本不影响流域及区域其他调度需求。     

北京市雨水收集利用蓄水池容积计算与分析

基于北京市1984—2013年的日降雨资料,以北京林业大学林业楼及其周边绿地为研究区,设置3种用水情景(冲厕、绿地灌溉及冲厕+绿地灌溉),采用连续模拟法,分别绘制3种用水情景下雨水收集利用工程的雨水截留率、自来水替代率、供水保证率以及效益费用比变化曲线,并通过综合分析这些曲线的变化特征确定雨水蓄水池最佳设计容积(60~82 m3)。同时采用设计暴雨法计算1~5年不同重现期的蓄水池设计容积(77~248 m3)。结果表明,连续模拟法计算过程相对复杂,但可用于综合衡量雨水收集利用工程的雨洪管理效益,以及缓解水资源短缺效益、供水可靠性及经济可行性分析。     

灞河流域气候因子对水沙变化的影响

利用灞河流域蓝田气象站和马渡王水文站1960—2012年的气象、水文实测资料,分析灞河流域气候及水沙变化规律,同时运用相关性分析、灰色关联分析、多元线性回归模型等多种方法探讨了该流域水沙变化与气候变化的关系。结果表明:灞河流域降雨量、蒸发量、径流量和输沙量皆呈显著下降趋势,而气温呈上升趋势;降雨量与水沙都有重要的相关关系,1960—1990年影响径流量的气候因子敏感度由大至小依次为降雨量、气温、蒸发量,而1991—2012年则为降雨量、蒸发量、气温,当气温和蒸发量不变时,降雨量每增加1 mm,两阶段的年径流量分别增加0.14亿m3和0.08亿m3;1960—2012年影响输沙量的气候因子敏感度由大至小依次为降雨量、气温、蒸发量,当气温和蒸发量不变时,降雨量每增加1 mm,年输沙量增加0.668万t。     

基于改进的投影寻踪-云模型的农业灌溉水质综合评价

提出基于投影寻踪函数和云模型的水质综合评价模型,选取太湖流域20个样本盐度、氯化物、氨氮、溶解性固体4类具有代表性的农业灌溉水质监测数据,在综合其投影值及隶属度基础上,计算农业灌溉水质的等级区分粒度。结果表明,投影寻踪模型计算值平均绝对误差仅为0.125 2级,达到了较好的水质评价精确度,同时利用云模型计算各个监测指标得到的最大综合确定度所属级别与经验等级一致。     

华东沿海城市水资源安全概念及未来战略示范研究

开展了水资源及水资源安全的基础理论,沿海城市水资源安全的内涵、外延及其特征等的研究与辨析,综述了水资源安全保障或发展的相关理论、技术手段或方法、政策与对策等方面的研究与实践进展;分析评估了华东沿海城市水资源特性、现状及安全保障问题;以上海水资源安全保障为例,研究提出了新时期及未来华东沿海城市水资源安全保障或发展的战略体系与框架,该框架体系包括目标层、体系层、战略层、战术层和保障层等。     

金沙江下游梯级水库汛期运行水位协同浮动调度研究

为验证梯级水库汛期运行水位协同浮动调度模型方法的合理性与普适性,在金沙江流域开展实例分析。首先考虑洪水预见期变化,应用动态多目标算法高效求解调度模型;然后评价汛期运行水位协同浮动调度的风险与效益;最后推求乌东德、白鹤滩、溪洛渡、向家坝水库的汛期运行水位协同浮动关系。研究结果表明：相比年汛限水位静态控制调度方案,梯级水库汛期运行水位协同浮动调度方案在不增加防洪风险前提下,各水库汛期运行水位均可适当抬升,汛期多年平均发电量和电站弃水减少量的最高值(改善率)可达1071亿kWh(11.1%)和649亿m³(14.3%),有效提高了洪水资源利用水平,综合效益巨大。     

低水头大型水利枢纽汛期运行水位动态控制方法研究与应用——以长洲水利枢纽为例

水库汛期运行水位动态控制是促进雨洪资源利用、缓解水库防洪与兴利之间矛盾、提高水电站综合效益的重要手段。本文以长洲水利枢纽为例,针对低水头大型水利枢纽调度过程中面临库区上游淹没制约、下游尾水顶托、机组出力受限等多约束问题,构建了适用于此类工程的防洪与发电多目标联合优化调度模型,提出基于淹没临界控制线的调洪演算方法和发电流量逐次分配优化求解方法。通过长系列模拟演算和多方案对比分析发现,与常规方案相比,采用运行水位动态控制方案可以使枢纽汛期平均发电水头提升6.88%、平均发电量增加8.75%,经济效益显著。研究方法对低水头大型水利枢纽防洪与发电联合优化调度具有借鉴意义。     

Decreasing trends in total suspended solids and cumulative effects of nonpoint source projects in the Cuyahoga River Watershed,OH

Using the US EPA’s Grants Reporting and Tracking System (GRTS), we test if completion of best management practices (BMPs) through the Clean Water Act Section (4)319 National Nonpoint Source Program was associated with a decreasing trend in total suspended solids (TSS) load (metric tons/year). The study area chosen had 21 completed projects in the Cuyahoga River watershed in northeastern Ohio from 2000 to 2018. The 4319 projects ranged from dam removal, floodplain/wetland restoration to stormwater projects. There was an overall decreasing trend in TSS loads. We identified three phases of project implementation and completion, where phase 1 had ongoing projects, but none completed (2000–2004). The steepest decrease in loads, identified as phase 2 (2005–2011), was associated with completion of low-head dam modification and removal projects on the mainstem of the Cuyahoga River. A likely decreasing trend was associated with projects completed in the tributaries, such as natural channel design restoration and stormwater green infrastructure (phase 3). Pairing sediment reduction estimates from projects with the river’s flow normalized TSS loading trend, we estimated that the 4319 effort may account for a small fraction of the TSS load reduction. Other stream restoration projects (non-4319) have also been done in the Cuyahoga watershed by other organizations. However, trying to compile these other projects is challenging in larger watersheds having multiple municipalities, agencies, and nonprofits doing restoration without better coordinated record keeping and monitoring. While a decreasing trend in a pollutant load is a desirable water quality outcome, determining what contributed to that trend remains difficult.     

Trace element loads in the Great Lakes Basin: A reconnaissance

Water quality data for trace elements in the Great Lakes are relatively scarce, complicating the assessment of current trace element baselines and their distribution patterns. Here, we present concentration data for >40 major and trace elements in >100 samples from the Great Lakes connecting channels, surface waters, precipitation and select Canadian tributaries, to establish a high-level assessment of loading rates across the basin. Contrasting upstream-to-downstream trends were observed for the investigated trace elements, ranging from net-decreasing (>5-fold for e.g., Co, Tl, Y) to net-increasing surface water concentrations (>2-fold for e.g., Sb, U, As). Calculated loading rates reveal different, element-specific controls of runoff, connecting channel loads or precipitation on trace element occurrence. Lake-wide elemental mass-balances could be reasonably closed for conservative trace elements (e.g., Li, <53% residual) but not for others (e.g., rare earth elements with up to 5-fold discrepancies), reflective of general data scarcity and uncertainty in loading rates. In line with major water quality trends, spatial distribution patterns in Lakes Erie and Ontario display subtle near-shore to off-shore heterogeneity for a few trace elements (<1 order-of-magnitude for V or Se), but higher variability for trace elements with significant inputs derived from tributaries. This work provides important quantitative baseline data for trace elements in the Great Lakes that may help optimize surveillance and management strategies for the preservation of Great Lakes water quality.     

设调压室水电站输水发电系统耦合振荡特性研究

设调压室水电站输水发电系统是复杂的水机电耦合系统,目前对耦合系统的振荡特性以及各个子系统间的耦合作用关系尚不明晰。本文首先将整个水电站系统分为“引水隧洞-调压室”子系统和“压力管道-机组”子系统,针对“压力管道-机组”子系统的稳定性提出了耦合振荡域的概念并推导了其解析公式,然后结合特征值分析法和数值模拟揭示了耦合系统的振荡特性,最后运用频域分析法探究了两个子系统间的幅频特性及相互作用关系,提出了衡量系统耦合振荡稳定性的定量指标。结果表明：当调速器参数在耦合振荡域外取值时,水电站系统恒不稳定,因此调速器参数在耦合振荡域内取值是整个水电站系统稳定的必要条件。当调速器参数在耦合振荡域内取值时,耦合系统的稳定性由低频振荡模式决定,将系统低频振荡模式的频率代入到两个子系统的幅频特性函数之积中,可以得到振荡叠加率,该值反映了系统扰动在闭环系统中增益值,具有明确的物理意义,当振荡叠加率小于1时,受扰系统趋于稳定。研究成果不仅丰富了水力过渡过程理论体系,对提高水电站运行稳定性也具有较好的工程应用价值。