中东欧转轨国家外资持股比例与银行竞争力、金融安全关系的实证考察

近年来我国银行业引进境外战略投资者的行为引发了理论界关于外资持股比例对中资银行竞争力提升与国家金融安全影响的争论。本文选取与我国具有相似的银行业改革历程、但改革先于我国的中东欧转轨国家为样本,实证考察这些国家外资持股比例与银行竞争力提升和金融安全之间的关系。得出的基本结论是:外资持股比例与银行竞争力的提升具有一定的联系,但并不十分紧密;从金融与经济关系的视角考察外资持股比例与金融安全的关系,并不能得出外资持股比例越高的银行对金融安全的威胁性越大的结论。     

Deposit interest rates, asset risk and bank failure in Croatia

Financial deregulation, while beneficial in the long-term, seems to be linked to instability. Intense competition for deposits appears to be an ingredient in instability. We examine the aftermath of deregulation in Croatia, which included rapid growth of both deposits and deposit interest rates, followed by numerous bank failures.

Using panel regression techniques, we find evidence of “market-stealing” via high deposit interest rates. We connect high deposit interest rates to bank failure using logit models. High deposit interest rates were a reliable signal of risk-taking. When supervisory capabilities and powers are weak, deposit interest rate regulation may be worth considering.     

"退而更化":中国合作金融的改良之路

合作金融的现代化从社会哲学上看,涉及到如何处理现代化与传统之间的紧张关系;涉及到否定传统、移植西方体制的思维方式对错的问题.从回答这个基本社会哲学问题入手,检讨中国传统合作金融组织——舍会的珍贵遗产,申明白愿原则是合作金融的灵魂以及这个灵魂对当今中国合作金融的改良所具有的价值.在此基础上,本文提出了以组建中国农村合作银行为核心的政策建议,而中国农业银行出售非农业务、回归农村,与农村信用社进行资本重组与业务整舍,是现实可行的一条最佳途径.     

商业银行经营革命：流程银行的构想与现实

传统商业银行是典型的“部门银行”,其在业务流程、组织结构、管理方式以及企业文化上存在诸多缺陷。“流程银行”是一种全新管理模式,根据客户或市场需求设定业务流程,再根据业务流程设机构和配置人员;业务流程步骤经过整合,形成流程模块,可以避免重复劳作从而提高管理效率;围绕着业务流程,各环节配合衔接紧密,资源配置效率高。从“部门银行”向“流程银行”转型是中国商业银行经营改革的主导方向。     

An Analysis of the Deposit-taking Market of Hong Kong

This paper analyzes the deposit-takingmarket in Hong Kong prior to the deregulation ofinterest rates in 1994. We argue that bankingregulations, in the forms of branching restrictionsand interest-rate ceilings, had created amonopsonistic market for short-term bank deposits. Asa result, banks in Hong Kong had earned asubstantially wider interest-rate margin than banks inother Asia-Pacific countries and the United States. We provide procedures to estimate the economicsignificance of the foregone interest and find themonopsonistic rent to be in the order of 1% of theGross Domestic Product of Hong Kong for the period1987 through 1994.     

论日本商业银行进入债券承销市场的效应

日本商业银行进入债券承销市场乃至日本金融业混业经营改革采取的都是一种渐进的方式,而包括金融业混业经营在内的日本金融改革对我国来讲具有较好的借鉴意义。从债券承销佣金、承销商选择和债券收益率价差等3个方面来看,日本商业银行进入债券承销市场是成功的,促进了债券承销市场的竞争,降低了企业发行债券的成本,提高了整体金融效率。就我国的具体情况来看,应在借鉴日本混业经营经验的基础上加快金融业混业经营的步伐。     

非保护价粮食收购资金供应与管理的思考

农业发展银行对国有粮食购销企业非保护价粮食品种提供贷款，在按照“库贷挂钩，以销定贷，以效定贷”的大原则下，还应遵循谨慎性、效益性、差异性原则，并要慎重选择支持的粮食品种。对非保护价粮食贷款实行商业化管理势在必行。     

上市银行可持续增长分析——以深圳发展银行为例

企业增长及其管理是财务计划中的难题。以广为流传的罗伯特.C.希金斯的可持续增长模型为理论基础,以深圳发展银行为例,对其可持续增长状况进行分析,研究发现,在2008年之前深圳发展银行的实际增长率超过可持续增长率,增长速度过快主要是由于较高的资产运营能力和财务杠杆。但是长期较高的增长率会消耗殆尽自身的财务资源,最终会导致实际增长率的下降2,006—2009年深圳发展银行的实际增长率逐年递减,直至2010年才有所改善。     

The role of banks in the governance of nonfinancial firms: Evidence from Europe

The aim of our research is to investigate the important role of banks in the governance of companies listed in the Euronext 100 index. Primarily, this research seeks to examine the impact of a bank’s presence within a firm, as a creditor or shareholder, on firm performance, as well as the motivations of banks to acquire holdings, and whether the presence of a bank as a shareholder of a firm facilitates its access to bank loans. Empirical analyses are conducted with a sample of 86 nonfinancial institutions listed in the Euronext 100 index over the period 2008–2013 using the three-stage least squares method. The study shows, first, that the presence of a bank within a firm, as a creditor or shareholder, is positively related to firm performance. Moreover, the firm’s performance is an important determinant of the presence of bank shareholding. Finally, the presence of a bank as a shareholder of a firm does not facilitate its access to bank loans.     

Informed lending as a deterrent to predation

Predatory practices have been rationalized by positing some information problem between entrant firms and their financiers. We argue that an effective way to deter product market predation is to obtain credit from an informed source, who can disentangle a firm’s expected profitability from its realized profits. Bank finance is often seen as a way of obtaining informed financing. We thus offer a rationale for choosing between bank financing and public debt financing based on its implications for competition in the product market.