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1.
This paper empirically examines the relationship between government foreign debt and the growth rate of per capita GDP based on a total sample of 77 countries, as well as sub‐samples of various regions. Cross‐sectional estimates of the coefficient of foreign debt based on the total sample have a negative sign, but are not always statistically significant. Available data from African countries indicate that foreign debt and the growth rate of per capita GDP were negatively related at a high level of significance. For industrialized and Latin American sub‐samples, this relationship is negative but statistically insignificant. The sub‐sample Asian and other developing countries show a positive but insignificant relationship. JEL classification: F34, H6, O23.  相似文献   
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We evaluate the macroeconomic effects of the Canada–US Free Trade Agreement (FTA) on Canada's economy using a counterfactual analysis. We exploit the dependence of GDP growth (labour productivity and unemployment, respectively) among different economic entities and construct the counterfactuals using data from countries other than Canada. We find that in the adjustment period from 1989:Q1 to 1992:Q1, Canada's economy bore the short‐run adjustment costs of the FTA with a decline of the annual real GDP by 2.56 per cent and a decline of the labour productivity by 0.62 per cent. After the adjustment period, the FTA had a positive and permanent effect of 1.86 per cent on Canada's annual real GDP growth and raised the labour productivity from 1992 to 1994 by 2.39 per cent on average. Moreover, the FTA increased Canada's annual unemployment rate by 1.81 per cent in the period 1989–94.  相似文献   
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This paper exploits the three eastward expansions of NATO after the Cold War as a quasi-natural experiment to investigate the relationship between military alliance and trade. To identify the impact of alliance membership on trade, we adopt the difference-in-differences method to estimate a gravity model with global bilateral trade data from 1995 to 2015. The results show that joining NATO has a positive effect on new member countries' exports, as well as an enhancing effect on both imports and exports between old and new members. Further analysis of subdivided data reveals that formal alliance between old and new members boosts bilateral trade of security-sensitive products, facilitates specialisation and helps mitigate trade disputes, suggesting that deepening of mutual strategic trust is a possible channel of influence.  相似文献   
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机动车辆保险承保周期的回归模型分析   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
通过构造一个包含多个变量的回归模型来检验各种因素对保费变动的影响,结果表明:滞后损失率和滞后保费增长率对当期保费增长影响非常显著;滞后损失增长率对当期保费增长率影响不显著;在我国机动车辆保险中,宏观经济因素包括利率和GDP对保费增长率的影响很小.因此,我国机动车辆保险承保周期存在原因较为符合承保能力限制假说.  相似文献   
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It is very important that e‐commerce practitioners leverage the technological power (e.g., information control) of the Internet in order to provide consumers with the information they need to make purchasing decisions. In this study, it is hypothesized that, to improve decision‐making quality, the degree of information control should be matched to the degree of expertise of consumers. The experiment method was used to test the hypothesis, and 120 student subjects voluntarily participated in the experiment. The empirical results of the study show that experts perform better at decision making in high‐information conditions, whereas novices perform better in low‐control conditions. The results of this research strongly support the match hypothesis of information control. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.  相似文献   
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Climate change predictions include forecasts of higher variability in rainfall and river flows leading to greater uncertainty about future availability of water across urban and agricultural sectors. Under conditions of water scarcity, it makes economic sense to facilitate the transfer of water from low‐ to high‐value users. This paper provides insights into the merits of water options contracts as a vehicle for facilitating trade and represents an alternative to the politically contentious permanent sale of water by agriculturalists. In addition, we provide some indicative results from an analysis of the feasibility of options contracts in an inter‐sectoral setting by considering their deployment to remove urban/industrial water restrictions. A case study of the urban community of Wangaratta and upstream agricultural interests has been selected. The objective is to identify the conditions under which option contracts might work and to highlight the important contract design features that need to be considered.  相似文献   
8.
    
This paper utilizes the instrumental variable threshold regressions approach to reassess the trade–development link. It finds evidence that trade openness contributes to uneven development. Greater trade openness tends to have beneficial effects on real development of high‐income countries. For low‐income ones, however, trade openness appears to influence real income in a significant and negative way. The data also reveal that greater trade openness has a positive effect on capital accumulation, productivity growth, and financial development in high‐income countries, but a negative impact in low‐income ones.  相似文献   
9.
文章认为,加入WTO,将使中国由有限范围的开放转为全方位的开放,由国内政策导向性的开放转为按国际惯例开放,由单方面为主的开放转为与WTO成员国之间的相互开放。对外开放的这一重大变化,将给我国企业,特别是国有企业带来国际和国内市场的双重挑战。为了适应国际竞争国内化的新形势,我国国有大中型企业应当采取如下对策:(1)加速产权制度改革,建立现代企业制度;(2)打破行政分割,组建大型企业集团;(3)推进产业和产品升级换代,提高企业的核心竞争力;(4)围绕全球经济发展的新趋势,改革企业管理;(5)适应WTO规则,提高竞争本领。  相似文献   
10.
    
Justin Yifu Lin 《Kyklos》2005,58(2):239-264
Many transition policies, based on the existing neoclassical economic theories, failed in Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, and China. This paper argues that the failure is due to the implicit viability assumption of neoclassical economics. The existing neoclassical economics implicitly assumes that a firm is expected to earn a socially acceptable profit in an open, competitive market as long as the firm has normal management. However, many firms in socialist as well as transitional economies are not viable, that is, they will not be able to earn a socially acceptable profit in an open, competitive market even if they are under normal management because they are in sectors that are inconsistent with their economies' comparative advantages. Under the viability assumption, neoclassical‐based reform policies focus on issues related to property rights, corporate governance, government interventions and other issues that may obstruct a firm's normal management. However, many of these issues are in fact endogenous to the firms' viability problem. Therefore, without resolving the firms' viability problem, such reforms fail to achieve their intended goals. Not only in socialist and transition economies but also in many developing economies there exist many nonviable firms. This paper suggests that the viability assumption in neoclassical economics should be relaxed when analyzing socialist, transition and developing economies.  相似文献   
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