Regulatory Uncertainty and Financial Contagion: Evidence from the Hybrid Capital Securities Market

This paper examines the negative market impact that resulted from the insurance regulators’ potential reclassification of 140 hybrid capital securities in spring and summer 2006. It illustrates how financial contagion can spring from a regulatory policy change that lacks transparency. We investigate the impact of the uncertainty surrounding the regulators’ true classification criteria by measuring the effect of the reclassification announcements on hybrid new issue volume, cumulative average abnormal returns, bid‐ask spreads, and yield spreads. The financial contagion adversely affected the entire hybrid capital securities market for six months. The effect was most pronounced among those hybrids that were eventually reclassified as common equity equivalents. It was greater for Yankee Tier 1 hybrids, which had been more popular with insurance firm investors prior to the reclassifications, than among non‐Tier 1 hybrids.     

THE INTRADAY INTERDEPENDENCE STRUCTURE BETWEEN U.S. AND JAPANESE EQUITY MARKETS

Contrary to the efficient market hypothesis, previous research documents a significant correlation between lagged U.S. close-to-close stock market returns and current open-to-close Japanese equity market returns. We find that the significant correlation is limited to the first hour of Japanese trading, with subsequent hourly returns independent of lagged U.S. returns. This evidence suggests that the documented significant correlation is attributable to a sticky Japanese opening value associated with the use of nonsynchronous index data.     

Spanning and completeness with options

The role of ordinary options in facilitating the completionof securities markets is examined in the context of a modelof contigent claims sufficiently general to accommodate thecontinuous distributions of asset pricing theory and optionpricing theory. In this context, it is shown that call optionswritten on a single security approximately span all contingentclaims written on this security and that call options writtenon portfolios of call options on individual primitive securitiesapproximately span all contingent claims that can be writtenon these primitive securities. In the case of simple options,explicit formulas are given for the approximating options andportfolios of options. These results are applied to the pricingof contingent claims by arbitrage and to irrelevance propositionsin corporate finance.