Information flows and crashes in dynamic social networks

We develop a dynamic model of information transmission and aggregation in social networks in which continued membership in the network is contingent on the accuracy of opinions. Agents have opinions about a state of the world and form links to others in a directed fashion probabilistically. Agents update their opinions by averaging those of their connections, weighted by how long their connections have been in the system. Agents survive or die based on how far their opinions are from the true state. In contrast to the results in the extant literature on DeGroot learning, we show through simulations that for some parameterizations the model cycles stochastically between periods of high connectivity, in which agents arrive at a consensus opinion close to the state, and periods of low connectivity, in which agents’ opinions are widely dispersed.

     

The relationship between governance structure and risk management approaches in Japanese venture capital firms

This paper attempts to understand what drives Japanese venture capital (JVC) fund managers to select either active managerial monitoring or portfolio diversification to manage their firms' investment risks [J. Bus. Venturing 4 (1989) 231]. Unlike U.S. venture capitalists that use active managerial monitoring to gain private information in order to maximize returns [J. Finance 50 (1995) 301], JVCs have traditionally used portfolio diversification to attenuate investment risks [Hamada, Y., 2001. Nihon no Bencha Kyapitaru no Genkyo (Current State of Japanese Venture Capital), Nihon Bencha Gakkai VC Seminar, May 7]. We found that performance pay is positively related to active monitoring and that management ownership is positively related to active monitoring and negatively related to portfolio diversification. The managerial implication of our study is that venture capitalists should be as concerned about the structure of their incentive systems for their fund managers as they are for their investee-firm entrepreneurs. Agency theory says that contingent compensation is a self-governing mechanism for individual effort that is difficult to measure and verify. When properly applied, equity ownership and performance-based pay can have powerful influencing effects on the strategic choices of managers.     

The New Economy is dead,long live the information economy

The arrival of the 2001–2003 recession caused many to suppose that the so-called “New Economy” was now defunct. This article addresses a number of related issues, including the question of the durability and viability of business cycles in the face of the technological developments of the information age. It asks what went wrong with the New Economy and examines its characteristics as well as its remaining possibilities and prospects for the future. Finally, it considers the spread of the Information Economy to Europe, especially to Germany, the country that one might expect to be the leading European player, but which is not at present actually a strong competitor for that role.     

趋势与对策:中国保险业经营环境发展研究

作为中国金融业的一个重要组成部分,保险业处在对外开放的前沿,中国加入世界贸易组织为其所设定的过渡期已经结束,论文分析了过渡期以后中国保险业经营环境的变化趋势,并针对性地给出了对策建议。     

解读会计信息产权

会计信息外部性的存在带来会计信息供求的冲突,解决此冲突的规则就是会计信息产权。会计信息产权需要界定才能发挥其应有的效能,会计信息产权的界定取决于对企业所有权分享、管制和道德等因素,企业所有权分享下的会计信息产权界定是初始的界定,无法完成初始界定时可采用管制方式进行强权界定,道德是会计信息产权界定不可缺少的因素。国企改革所滋生的各种问题的根源在于会计信息产权畸形性,欲抑制其畸形,正确处理国企所有权的分享问题的同时,建立“共同治理”的机制和“相机治理”机制是必不可少的。     

关于培育和弘扬人文精神的思考

人文的核心是精神。人文精神是一个地方独具特质的精神品格和精神理念,是一个地方的“魂”,是凝聚和团结人民实现奋斗目标的理想信念和共同追求,是实现社会和谐发展的精神动力。因此,加快建设文化名市,打造人文桐乡的重点,就是培育和弘扬良好的人文精神。一、培育和弘扬人文精神,必须正确审视人文精神一是经济视角。从经济层面看人文精神,文化的发展,特别是人文精神的培育,与经济的发展有着密切关联。两者相互作用,相得益彰,经济比较发达、社会事业全面繁荣、人民生活比较富裕、社会的发展氛围比较浓厚,就有利于文化的发展和人文精神的培育…     

Correlation of gender-related values of independence and relationship and leadership orientation

This study compares the relationship between the moral reasoning modes and leadership orientation of males versus females, and managers versus engineers/scientists. A questionnaire developed by Worthley (1987) was used to measure the degree of each participant's respective independence and justice, and relationships and caring moral reasoning modes. Leadership orientation values and attitudes were measured using the Fiedler and Chemers (1984) Least Preferred Coworker Scale.The results suggest that, although males differ from female in their dominant moral reasoning modes, managers are not distinguishable from the engineers/scientists they manage in terms of their moral reasoning mode or Least Preferred Coworker score.Clarence E. Butz is a Professor of Management in the School of Business and Management at Azusa Pacific University, California. Dr. Butz's teaching areas include general management, organizational behavior, and business ethics. Phillip V. Lewis is Dean of the School of Business and Management at Azusa Pacific University. He is the author of Organizational Communication (Gorsuch Scarisbrich, 1996) and Bank Ethics: An Exploratory Study of Ethical Behaviors and Perceptions in Small, Local Banks (Journal of Business Ethics, 11: 197–205, 1992).     

浅析我国的国债风险

近年来，作为积极财政政策的一个重要组成部分的国债政策，为有效增加国内需求，拉动经济增长做出了很大贡献，但与此同时，我们必须关注我国国债规模过大可能带来的后果。通过对我国国债规模及结构等方面的系统分析认为：我国国债隐藏着很大的信用风险，并提出了化解和防范这些风险的措施。     

跨国公司跨境环境管理战略模式及其影响因素

跨国公司国际生产的延伸带来了对生产过程中的环境问题,引起了对跨国公司环境管理战略的关注.本文介绍的跨境环境管理的模式,其集中程度是由分散化逐渐向高度一体化提升的一个连续的集合.影响跨国公司各环境管理战略一体化程度因素包括产业因素、公司内部因素、正式规制因素以及市场因素.