Effect of mandatory pro forma earnings disclosure on the relation between CEO share bonuses and firm performance

This paper examines the effect of mandatory pro forma earnings disclosure on the alignment of CEO share bonuses and firm performance (i.e., annual stock returns). Using 6,583 executive-level observations from 986 non-financial firms in Taiwan over the period 1999–2004, we find a significant shift in the CEO share bonus pay-earnings relation caused by a marked reduction in bonus shares after the new disclosure rule becomes effective. The change in CEO compensation structure in turn leads to a closer link between CEO stock bonuses and annual stock returns. The result suggests that a more transparent earnings disclosure could positively affect board choices regarding compensation arrangements, thus inducing a better convergence of manager and shareholder interests.     

Adoption of performance-vested equity incentives under investor pressure: window dressing or taking the window of opportunity?

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting - Companies are increasingly adopting performance-vested equity compensation plans while the performance consequences are not clear. In this paper, we...     

An investigation on the relationship between return and trading volume: asymmetric V-type or asymmetric increasing-type pattern

This paper develops a new mechanism that takes into account the fast change in behaviours of futures returns and trading volumes in order to model the time-varying and quantile-varying dependence between return and volume for energy-related futures products traded on TOCOM, NYMEX and ICE Futures Europe. A logistic function with the product of one-step-ahead expectations of return and volume as a transition variable is used to depict the time-varying weight of a mixture copula. This paper then employs a mixture copula of a Gumbel copula and a rotated Gumbel copula to detect the asymmetric V-type pattern and uses a mixture copula of a Gumbel copula and a survival Gumbel copula to measure the asymmetric increasing-type pattern. Empirical results demonstrate that the asymmetric V-type pattern is a more appropriate specification to characterize the return–volume nexus than the asymmetric increasing-type pattern, irrespective of the types of energy-related futures products and futures exchanges. The time-varying dependence has greater dependence in the lower–upper corner of the joint distribution than in the upper–upper corner of the joint distribution, implying that market participants believe that market reversals are more likely during periods of price declines than in periods of price increases. Moreover, this paper shows the inappropriateness of the two-step estimation method that has been widely used in the existing literature.     

Application of the Tobit model with autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity for foreign exchange market interventions

In this empirical study, we apply the Tobit-GARCH model to investigate the intervention function of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in the JPY/USD exchange market. The proposed model has the advantage of handling intervention data with both a majority of zero observations and conditional heteroscedasticity. Thus, the model provides better estimates of the intervention function than such conventional models as the standard Tobit, OLS, Probit, and traditional GARCH models. Results show that the intervention behavior of the BoJ is affected more by its half-year long-term target than its previous-day short-term target, and the BoJ generally follows the policy of “leaning against the wind”. The US-JP interest rate spread was never a trigger of BoJ's interventions during the sample period. The BoJ did not respond to the domestic stock index by the sales-intervention of the JPY, even when the economy was sluggish during the lost decade (1992–2004). However, its intervention behavior was significantly affected by U.S. interventions and was significantly persistent across some of the periods.