Statistical Properties of a Composite Index as Estimator of a Single Latent Variable

Journal of Quantitative Economics -     

Real Investment Implications of Employee Stock Option Exercises

This paper examines a real cost of awarding employee stock options. Based on the observation that managers are extremely concerned about earnings-per-share dilution in equity related compensation, we predict and find that firms experiencing significant employee stock option (ESO) exercises shift resources away from real investments towards the repurchase of their own stocks. We further find weak evidence of a decline in subsequent firm performance (as measured by return on assets) for several years following the cut in discretionary investments as a result of stock option exercises, though this result is sensitive to the metric used to measure performance. Collectively, our findings indicate that ESO exercises potentially impose a real cost on the firm in terms of foregone investment opportunities.     

Identifying Control Motives in Managerial Ownership: Evidence from Antitakeover Legislation

This study uses the introduction of second-generation antitakeoverlegislation as a natural experimental setting to infer the valuethat managers place on the control rights conferred by stockownership. We conjecture that managers will reduce their stockholdingsin the post-legislation period because they can ensure theirprior level of control while holding fewer risky shares. Usinga variety of specifications, we find robust evidence consistentwith this "revealed preference" hypothesis. Further demonstratingthe key role played by control considerations in managers' stockholdingdecisions, the reductions in ownership are concentrated in managementteams with higher levels of initial ownership and in firms withoutpoison pills.     

Support for the underdog brand biography: Effects on consumer attitude and behavior

Conflict between favorites and underdogs is an everyday phenomenon. Research suggests that people support the underdog as they see a reflection of their own self in the person at a disadvantaged position. Two studies examine the effect of underdog brand biography in two different contexts. Study 1 provides support for the notion that underdog brand biographies for established brands elicit stronger consumer response than underdog brand biography for new brands. In study 2, a 2 × 2 between-subjects experimental design measured respondents’ reaction toward an underdog brand biography over a top dog brand biography under conditions of public versus private consumption. Results demonstrate that consumers exposed to underdog brand biographies in the private consumption condition will be more likely to respond favorably than when they are exposed to the public consumption condition. Based on the results it is suggested that advertisers make use of underdog brand biographies in case of established brands. Furthermore, choice of underdog brand narratives is likely to bring positive results under conditions of private consumption.     

The effect of economic policy uncertainty on investor information asymmetry and management disclosures

Investor uncertainty about firm value drives investors’ information collection and trading activities, as well as managers’ disclosure choices. This study examines an important source of uncertainty that likely cannot be influenced by most managers and investors: uncertainty about government economic policy. We find that this uncertainty is associated with increased bid-ask spreads and decreased stock price reactions to earnings surprises. Managers respond to this uncertainty by increasing their voluntary disclosures, but these disclosures only partly mitigate the bid-ask spread increase. We conclude that government economic policy uncertainty is an important component of firms’ information environments and managers’ voluntary disclosure decisions.     

An information-based model for the differential treatment of gains and losses

This study defines reporting conservatism as a higher verification standard for probable gains compared to losses and builds a model that endogenously generates optimal behavior resembling an asymmetric preference for gains versus losses. Our model considers the setting where one party produces a resource and another tries to expropriate it. The key factor determining the extent of the gain-loss asymmetry is the level of information asymmetry or trust between the two parties. The information asymmetry-based results of our model provide a simpler explanation for the vast empirical literature on conservatism, where the bulk of the economic relationships among the parties appear to be information-based with little direct relation to explicit debt contracts, a factor that has been the focus of theoretical arguments. We also suggest new empirical analyzes.     

Setting the right prices for the wrong reasons

Nominal price adjustment is studied in an environment with firm-specific and aggregate shocks to economic fundamentals and incomplete, dispersed information. Firms update their expectations about fundamentals based on their own cash flows (revenues and wages). We show that in a model with realistic levels of product-level price dispersion, the firms’ inference about aggregate shocks is very gradual, yet in the aggregate prices adjust rapidly in response to aggregate nominal shocks. When an aggregate shock occurs, firms mistakenly attribute it to firm-specific shocks, but adjust prices nevertheless, since the exact nature of the shock matters little for their optimal pricing decision.     

Discussion of “Performance, growth and earnings management”

In an economy of firms with varying levels of performance, which firms are more likely to manage their earnings? The conference paper by Lee, Li, and Yue provides a promising approach to disentangle economic performance from earnings management in large-sample settings. The authors develop an analytical signaling model of earnings management in an economy and confront its equilibrium predictions with the data.     

Determinants of Child Labour in Indian States: Some Empirical Explorations (19612–1991)

This paper attempts to examine the phenomenon of child labour in India by conducting a preliminary search for the factors which affect demand and supply of child labour. The incidence of child labour is firstly examined with respect to the socio economie characteristics including dernographic, educational and economie poverty variables. Factor analysis is then conducted to identify patterns of these variables with the incidence of child labour for Indian states using Census data. These possible relationships are formally modelled in an overlapping generations framework which derives two postulated models. The models are estimated using Kmenta’s pooled method which combines variations due to time and state specific factors. These results clearly indicate the presence of vicious and virtuous spirals consisting of the above factors for different states. The supply factors appear to dominate and their roles require further indepth examination